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oneten
29 Nov 24 11:21
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Date Joined: 16 Apr 02
| Topic/replies: 873 | Blogger: oneten's blog
I surely hope so.
Only problem for me is that he isn't a jockey yet but I believe the 10lb off it's back will prove decisive.
To my mind there is only one horse in the line up that could scupper the party and that is Sunday soldier who I am hoping has finished improving and is now a shade too high in the weights , but being 3 from 3 at the course cannot be totally discounted.

However , All the glory will find this assignment a whole lot easier than her recent engagements and could be aptly named today ,  so I am confident she fully deserves a max each way wager.
As her jockey is inexperienced and not yet strong enough in a finish i expext he will be outridden by the other jockeys, so I will be prudent and lay off my stake somewhere sub 1.5.

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Replies: 15
By:
sparrow
When: 29 Nov 24 12:08
He has already ridden 3 winners so not totally inexperienced.
By:
oneten
When: 29 Nov 24 12:23
Morning sparrow, 30 odd rides is very inexperienced in my book. Far too green to be able to judge pace yet or know when to push on. Every race will be a sharp learning curve for him at the moment, hence why hes allowed to claim 10lb.
In the right instances though , that 10lbs is once heck of a given.
By:
stewarts rise
When: 29 Nov 24 12:29
You sound confident with your selection and good luck to you, not up to speed with NH this season as yet but notice a couple of other 7lb claimers with mounts and Connor McCann has a very good record at this track with 4 winners, 2 2nds and a 3rd from his 9 rides here whereas Benjamin Macey has never ridden on this tight track before also he is only 1-24 in hurdle races McCann is 5-22.
  Maggs is much more experienced and is 14-100 over hurdles with 17 2nds, so purely on those stats on a thread basically about apprentice weights think i'd prefer to side with McCanns horse Starlyte. Simply Red has changed stable again to Ellison but from a fair mark and Maggs back on top could be an EW option.
By:
Hushwing.
When: 29 Nov 24 12:43
10lbs outweighs any lack of inexperience which is never really an issue these day.

She should win this ,  the weakest race attempted in some time and well treated.

I won't be laying anything off Grin
By:
oneten
When: 29 Nov 24 12:57
I can't disagree with anything you've written and the others all have far better stats. I just think this Glory is running into form and just has too much weight off its back today.
The track will suit her perfectly as her best runs have come at Market Rasen.

I hear what you are saying re the opposition but surely Simply Red is a non stayer who is better over 2miles ? Will be tailed off imo.

Re the Lucinda Russel horse , you are bang on re the conditional and it would be great if the jonjo nag had the experience of that pilot. But in my opinion Starlyte will need to take a big step up today on anything it has achieved so far to beat
Glory. Who in my mind has been running creditably in far better races so just needs to run anywhere near her norm to collect.

Thanks and good luck to you too.
By:
oneten
When: 29 Nov 24 12:59
Sorry the above post was to Stewarts
By:
sparrow
When: 29 Nov 24 14:27
Well done, winners.
By:
ashleigh
When: 29 Nov 24 14:27
well done oneten, he rode it well.Happy
By:
mfw
When: 29 Nov 24 14:27
Excellent. Well done
By:
Hushwing.
When: 29 Nov 24 14:29
never in doubt , well done

10lbs off???? Crazystill ridiculous isnt itGrin
By:
stewarts rise
When: 29 Nov 24 14:29
Well done Oneten, won easily, jockey looked decent.
By:
wondersobright
When: 29 Nov 24 14:29
macey has a fair record
By:
shoodacoodadidnt
When: 29 Nov 24 14:31
and the forecast - nice post!
By:
stewarts rise
When: 29 Nov 24 14:31
WD Hushwing as well.
By:
oneten
When: 29 Nov 24 14:46
Thank you all. Nice to see it all play out that way.
I hope I wasn't the only one backing it ?


Yes Shooda , I saw the forecast as well though I didn't do it as I was more interested in place laying Simply Red as he was so short at evs and was tailed off as I said i thought he would be.
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