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kingsnake5
11 Sep 24 13:35
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Date Joined: 22 Apr 04
| Topic/replies: 1,568 | Blogger: kingsnake5's blog
Maddelina     Each Way.    Sire I've been following
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Report kingsnake5 September 11, 2024 1:39 PM BST
THECOFFEEPODDOTCO     Same race as above
Report Regbutler September 11, 2024 1:58 PM BST
Callisto dream
Trainer good strike rate at track
Report Regbutler September 11, 2024 2:24 PM BST
Got on at 5
Nice start to the day
Report TameTheTiger September 11, 2024 2:25 PM BST
The difference between winning and losing is the price you take. Well done Reg !
Report Regbutler September 11, 2024 2:28 PM BST
Indeed ttt.... Missed all up to about 7 though
Report TameTheTiger September 11, 2024 2:31 PM BST
Nobody will ever get top price all of the time, but if you can consistently get 4/1 for an 11/4 SP you'll be quids in.
Report Regbutler September 11, 2024 2:34 PM BST
I know ttt, didn't pick this one out until about midday, so may have missed higher prices by then anyway... Get a winner, still not happy, gamblers mindset
Report kingsnake5 September 11, 2024 2:36 PM BST
Maddelina     Should go better second time out.   Not long had wind operation
Report Rico-Dangleflaps September 11, 2024 2:47 PM BST
had it descent form reg,wd.
Report askjack September 11, 2024 2:51 PM BST
The King of Laybet might be worth looking at !5:05 Lingfield:

Here’s an early odds and False Favourites (FFs) analysis for the 15:05 Lingfield race:

Key Points:
Matharu:

Win Odds: 3.00 - 3.15
2TBP Odds: 1.65 - 1.68
Popular with the market, but liquidity is building slowly.
FFs Status: Not a clear False Favourite at these odds, but keep monitoring closer to race time.
Lazieelunch:

Win Odds: 3.2 - 3.45
2TBP Odds: 1.77 - 1.8
Solid contender, but odds are slightly higher than Matharu, indicating similar market sentiment.
FFs Status: Similar to Matharu, but not a standout False Favourite as of now.
Anthropologist:

Win Odds: 10.0 - 12.0
2TBP Odds: 4.4 - 5.2
Drifting, but there may be interest closer to race time if liquidity increases.
Enchanted Eye:

Win Odds: 12.0 - 14.5
2TBP Odds: 4.7 - 5.8
Good each-way potential if odds drift further, though liquidity is not yet strong enough to make this a reliable FFs candidate.
Recommendations:
Matharu and Lazieelunch are the market leaders and should be monitored closely for any changes that could mark them as False Favourites nearer to the race.
Enchanted Eye and Anthropologist may be value plays if liquidity improves, especially for 2TBP and place bets.
Reassess FFs status 10-15 minutes before the race to catch any final market movements.
Report askjack September 11, 2024 2:57 PM BST
Recommended s£ Experiment Bet:
Selection: Lazieelunch
Bet Type: £1 Win and £1 2TBP

Reasoning: Strong contender with fair odds for both Win and 2TBP markets.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps September 11, 2024 3:08 PM BST
enni thing running of figga of ate konn figga ray shuns today please?
Report askjack September 11, 2024 3:28 PM BST
WTF language is that Flaps? My last experiment today will be 16:15 Lingfield. If I have time, I'll post predictions and FFs checks of all runners.
Report askjack September 11, 2024 3:52 PM BST
For this race, considering the balance of risk and the odds, here’s how I would distribute the s£:

s£2 on Time Tested (Win) – The favourite is a strong contender, so a slightly higher stake here ensures good coverage.
s£1 on Commander Crouch (2TBP) – This bet offers favourable odds for a top 2 finish, and a smaller stake provides some return if Time Tested underperforms.
This should provide a well-rounded approach for this race.
Report askjack September 11, 2024 4:05 PM BST
I'm on Commander Crouch e/w modest real money bet. PYO
Report askjack September 11, 2024 4:25 PM BST
Missed the break but still came 3rd. AI s£ prediction lost.
Report kingsnake5 September 11, 2024 4:44 PM BST
Hollie Doyle.  was Skybet price boost
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