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brians
01 Sep 24 10:14
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Date Joined: 23 Dec 02
| Topic/replies: 1,625 | Blogger: brians's blog
10 of the last 12 winners in the top 3 in betting. 10 of the last 12 winners had a rating above 103.
2nd fav today , Matilda Picotte is the only runner today with a rating higher than 103. It is 106.
3.8 on here 5/2 generally.
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Report kingsnake5 September 1, 2024 10:51 AM BST
SUPER SOX is a promising filly and has the physique to continue improving. A half-sister to a Group-placed sprinter, she has progressed with racing and while she has 6lb to find with Matilda Picotte on ratings, hasn't reached her peak as yet and is suited by today's conditions. Matilda Picotte, who finished third in the 2023 English 1,000 Guineas, is already a Group 2 winner and finished second in this race last year. She finished fifth at Riyadh in February, then disappointed at the Curragh in May but showed better form when admittedly well enough held in a Deauville Group 1 last month. Thornbrook holds Wendla on July form at Leopardstown.
Report kingsnake5 September 1, 2024 11:13 AM BST
Matilda Picotte (IRE)
Last Three Runs
Flat Statistics    Runs    Wins    Places    €Level
IRE    7    1    4    2.00
UK    7    3    2    7.33
Other    1    0    0   
4th Aug 24 Deauville(6f 101yds Flat, Standard) Rated 109 16/1 9-1 R P Whelan 7th of 15 runners, 5.51L behind Lazzat
25th May 24 Curragh(6f Flat, Good, good to firm in places) Rated 111 6/1 9-2 D P McDonogh 8th of 12 runners, 6.93L behind Mitbaahy
Nov 2023 Goffs Ireland Price: Withdrawn
13th Oct 23 Newmarket(7f Flat, Soft) Rated 104 2/1 9-0 Oisin Murphy 1st of 4 runners, by 2.75L and 2.75L from Lord Massusus and Audience
Report kingsnake5 September 1, 2024 12:29 PM BST
Brian.   Thanks for posting this stat.  I've been over it like a rash finding out that the jockey is due to be Bolgers stable jockey when Manning retires.

Cheers and good luck
Report whodareswins September 1, 2024 12:32 PM BST
Once the preserve of 3yos but from 2010 to last year horses older than 3yo at an SP less than 7/1 rated 97+ are 7 from 14 with the 2 highest rated at 112 and 113 both losers.
Report kingsnake5 September 1, 2024 1:14 PM BST
The draw is a concern no horse has won from 4 going back 2010 maybe if the jockey sticks with the favourite (next stall)

By the way it's family day at the course today.    I'm not touching the race
Report whodareswins September 1, 2024 2:05 PM BST
From 2003 winners have come from all stalls 1-12 except stall 6.  Paddy Twomey has a 45% win strike rate with his favourites  47% with female favourites. 

Kieran Cotter has not had a winner since 06/06/24  22 successive losers  3 placed first 3.  16 double figure SP.  Not had a runner since 17/08/24.
Report brians September 1, 2024 2:06 PM BST
Bet 365 offering 11/4 on a bet boost. Worth a tenner at that given that it is a better class horse than the rest. Maybe an improver might beat it but  11/4 is ok.
Report brians September 1, 2024 2:09 PM BST
Trainer worries me but not the draw in a smaller field than usual.
Report brians September 1, 2024 3:36 PM BST
Can't believe what I saw there. Mad jockey ran its legs off 20 lengths clear on the turn and the poor thing walked the last half furlong. Not surprisingly got caught by an outsider. Didn,t Mr Ahern get banned for something like this ?
Report kingsnake5 September 1, 2024 3:37 PM BST
Winner.   I'm lost for Words
Report kingsnake5 September 1, 2024 5:17 PM BST
Lucky Last.    LADY CHRISTA      Laybet

Skybet paying six places.     Family day????
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