Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
impossible123
01 Jun 24 08:12
Joined:
Date Joined: 07 Sep 15
| Topic/replies: 12,725 | Blogger: impossible123's blog
The market is treading cautiously given the renewed optimism from connections about an improvement from that cataclysmic performance seen in the 2000G; the majority of the public are less convinced and forgiving.  He's 'evens' to be placed; 1.72 (4-places); 1.5 (5-places).

I'd go for the last latter to maximise return. Caveat emptor.
Pause Switch to Standard View Will City Of Troy bomb again???
Show More
Loading...
Report acey deucy June 1, 2024 10:49 AM BST
I would not touch him with a barge pole.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps June 1, 2024 11:02 AM BST
same happened last year and most had egg on chin..

i dont believe it would be running unless was ready to rock.
Report Cider June 1, 2024 11:07 AM BST
Think it's a win bet myself. Looks a pretty thin field for quality outside of COT, and 2000 was too bad to be true, so can't be judged on that alone I feel. Could easily blow out again, but he's not 6-4 either.
Report Mat22 June 1, 2024 11:13 AM BST
Very Thin. plus i have made plenty of money forgiving horses bad runs for one reason or another.  Never be scared of a price.
one last chance for me..... if it get beats so be it. if i dont back it and wins easy it would hurt more he he he Cool
Report A_T June 1, 2024 11:49 AM BST
has aidan settled on a reason for the guineas flop? he blamed himself for flaws in preparation but has also cited getting upset in the stalls. it can't be both
Report formoftheace June 1, 2024 11:56 AM BST
Has to be a place lay…..probably get a wild result today imo….
Report Cider June 1, 2024 12:17 PM BST
has aidan settled on a reason for the guineas flop?

doesn't really matter when they are selling a potential stallion, all comments come with a dose of salt. actions speak louder than words, he hasn't been found an injury and packed off to stud. they're going in again.
Report kincsem June 1, 2024 12:33 PM BST
acey deucy
I would not touch him with a barge pole.


I would not touch the barge pole.
Report tanglefoot June 1, 2024 12:38 PM BST
Excessive heart rate at the start of Guineas sounds like a lot of pony to me,when I saw the horse in the ring I thought aw ah signs don’t look promising
Report Cider June 1, 2024 12:41 PM BST
Far from certain, but he has not gone from leaving Haatem for dust to struggling to lay up with him from half way. That is not a 'training on' issue. Personally I feel like the price justifies the risk as the COT we saw in all his other races wins 80% of the time up against this oppo (assuming the distance is no issue). If he is shot as a racehorse, so be it.
Report barstool June 1, 2024 1:01 PM BST
He will be as fit as a fiddle today, no chances will have been taken, as they seem to have been for the Guineas.

That said, I cannot back it, but would not want to lay it either.

All adds to the interest.
Report acey deucy June 1, 2024 1:04 PM BST
Like i said i would not touch him with a barge pole......Not stoopid enough to leave him out the placepot though.Wink
Report OilyWragg June 1, 2024 1:08 PM BST
Wont be backing it but surely Aiden O'Brien's judgement has to be taken on trust, the master trainer surely isnt bluffing, expect COT to run well but well enough to win?
Report EastLower Gooner June 1, 2024 1:09 PM BST
Prediction…COT’s next start will be the July Cup Plain
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! June 1, 2024 1:23 PM BST
Times says its a
BUST
Silly
Report impossible123 June 1, 2024 1:47 PM BST
I hope he can do a Slip Anchor ie set the pace; slip 6 lengths clear off Tattenham Corner and sail hope with the rest in vain pursuit. Non-backers eating humble pie. Here's hoping anyway.

My prediction: (1) City Of Troy (2) Ancient Wisdom (3) Ambiente Friendly

Good luck all!
Report Cider June 1, 2024 4:36 PM BST
bosh
Report Rico-Dangleflaps June 1, 2024 4:37 PM BST
acey deucy 01 Jun 24 10:49 
I would not touch him with a barge pole.


abso pmsl..how this clown hasnt vanished with embarassment is a mystery Laugh
Report Kriskin June 1, 2024 4:41 PM BST
Very impressive winner.  Looked all class today
Report Regbutler June 1, 2024 4:45 PM BST
Impossible 1.47 post...

Nice one, hope you got the forecast anyway?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps June 1, 2024 4:46 PM BST
impossible123 01 Jun 24 13:47 
I hope he can do a Slip Anchor ie set the pace; slip 6 lengths clear off Tattenham Corner Shocked
Report Regbutler June 1, 2024 4:55 PM BST
Was referring to his result predictions, Wazza

Got tactics wrong but result right
Report Regbutler June 1, 2024 4:55 PM BST
Was referring to his result predictions, Wazza

Got tactics wrong but result right
Report impossible123 June 1, 2024 4:57 PM BST
Regbuttler, yes only for a £1 (fun bet). But, 14/1 (boosted 28/1) with 'b]'billie' for The Derby. However, an expensive flop in the 2000G; it knocked off 75 running bets at from 16/1 to 5/1.

Anyway, a good Green from this result.
Report casemoney June 1, 2024 4:59 PM BST
Listen it Boiled over in the stalls at Newmarket , the Steam off its pish was the problem
Report A_T June 1, 2024 5:05 PM BST
after the guineas aidan said he'd prepared the horse badly.

seems he is so incompetent he can't train one for the guineas yet at the same time the greatest trainer ever,
Report Cider June 1, 2024 5:11 PM BST
Or he is selling a potential stallion so it will never be the fault of the horse. And he is fiercely loyal to people that work for him, so will never undermine them publicly.

For us on the outside it's all about clues isn't it. With AOB we can pretty much forget about anything he says. However, putting the champion 2yo's rep on the line again when there was any easy out was much more indicative (imo).
Report casemoney June 1, 2024 5:14 PM BST
we all knew a potential superstar all looking forward to the Guineas , It just stinks really not what the sport needs tbh

How can you bet his horses or have a bet where his horses are in the race ?

One word RANK
Report Cider June 1, 2024 5:15 PM BST
Appleby is the complete opposite, he is very direct and will often give us a decent steer on their true chances.
Report Mat22 June 1, 2024 5:16 PM BST
He is pretty good this Mattie Cool
Report Cider June 1, 2024 5:18 PM BST
all the clichés can be trotted out, they can't talk and they aren't machines. Any horse can blow out, for whatever reason he did in that race. Another cliché, it was way too bad to be his true running. So effectively, easier to forgive.
Report A_T June 1, 2024 5:19 PM BST
before last year when was the last time a derby winner finished out with the washing in it's previous race? i can't remember any. we're all mugs to them
Report Cider June 1, 2024 5:28 PM BST
Adayar was beaten in a listed race. I suppose going for an often brutal G1 is a bit different to running in a trial. We're in the here and now, and I stated that there was every reason to forgive the COT flop imv, it worked out this time. I'm not sure we've been in this scenario too many times where a brilliant 2yo who raced like he had stamina in abundance flopped in his first try as a 3yo in a G1 over a mile.
Report impossible123 June 1, 2024 5:33 PM BST
The one trained by Bolger; he said after his 2000G flop the horse would not be running at Epsom. Low and behold the horse turned up, and duly won!
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 5:35 PM BST
All the genius's  on here and yet not a mention as to the reason last years winner and COT went for the Guineas before the Derby?

The answer is obvious and had been mooted but not a peep on this Forum but the experts come out of the woodwork post race and slag the jockey on the 2nd and laude the winning trainer as a Genius who had Paddington in handicap company, now says COT his best ever Derby winner.

Might well be so would Shep have beaten him iyo genius's and do any of you know the 2K Guineas obvious answer?
Report Hayden June 1, 2024 5:36 PM BST
Well done impossible , you've been positive about the winner on numerous threads over the last few days despite the view being massively in the minority  Happy
Report A_T June 1, 2024 5:36 PM BST
new approach was second at newmarket and the curragh - beaten by a top class miler
Report kincsem June 1, 2024 5:45 PM BST
City Of Troy did not last 5f in the 2000 Guineas.  At the end of the 12f Derby his jockey could not pull him up?
Report Cider June 1, 2024 5:50 PM BST
Great to see the grammar king swoop in to deign us with his impenetrable 'expert' opinion. After the race !
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 5:50 PM BST
Clue, it will be the same next year and always as long as they have the best juvenile!!!
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 5:50 PM BST
Clue, it will be the same next year and always as long as they have the best juvenile!!!
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 5:51 PM BST
Btw Cider, just the ability to read suffices!! HTH
Report Cider June 1, 2024 5:54 PM BST
Pity you struggle with the writing bit. At least, in a moderately coherent style.
Report impossible123 June 1, 2024 5:55 PM BST
'Hayden', thanks. Swings and roundabouts. I'd 'lay' of just over £200 to ensure a Green no matter what. If only he'd won the 2000G. If so, £1.5k to the good. I'm only a small recreational punter.

Now, I hope Kyprios runs in the Gold Cup on 20th June, and can oblige.
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 5:56 PM BST
So you have a problem with grammar Cider but still cannot answer like your fellow experts, not much of a coherent deflection btw?
Report Cider June 1, 2024 6:07 PM BST
No I can't easily decipher your ramble, I'd have thought it was obvious enough that winning a guineas and derby gives the horse immortal status, put it in the top bracket commercially etc. The need for speed in the bloodlines. It was pretty obvious that he was doing his best work right at the end of his races as a 2yo (even after the post), and would likely appreciate a trip as a 3yo.
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 6:09 PM BST
A further clue for Cider et al, AOB took the flack for the Guineas but has not mentioned why COT was in the race, the real reason!!!

The answer lies in previous statements and reports from "Connections" and not just concerning COT (Ambition) may help?
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 6:10 PM BST
Apologies Cider must have typed over your drivel and you have not a clue!!!
Report Cider June 1, 2024 6:17 PM BST
My free tip is to stay off the beer when posting. Plus, if you state an opinion pre race, it tends to carry more credibility. Whether the forum can understand it is not a given, to be fair.
Report CagliariG June 1, 2024 6:23 PM BST
Another defeat for you then Cider unless you can point out any post race claims of mine? Descending to personal attacks seems your stock in trade when faced with questions regarding your own forceful posts and yet I have claimed nothing and asked a simple question of your ilk?
Report Mat22 June 1, 2024 10:36 PM BST
ignore him Cider Tobymugs another wanabe winner but sadly a loser. Cool
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com