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28 May 24
12:55
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Date Joined:
18 Jul 02
Hi all,
Does anyone know how this 7.5% probability claculation works which creates the new beacons:
'We measure the percentage probability difference between this anchor price and the current live price; if there is a move of at least 7.5%, it triggers a Beacon to display next to the horse.'
so for a horse at decimal 9.0 (10% win probability) would the triggers be at 5.71 (17.5% win prob) or 40.0 (2.5% win probability) or something different?
Does anyone know how this 7.5% probability claculation works which creates the new beacons:
'We measure the percentage probability difference between this anchor price and the current live price; if there is a move of at least 7.5%, it triggers a Beacon to display next to the horse.'
so for a horse at decimal 9.0 (10% win probability) would the triggers be at 5.71 (17.5% win prob) or 40.0 (2.5% win probability) or something different?
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I would be surprise if it was anything more than simply: anchor price 10, triggers 9 and 11, anchor price 5 triggers 4.6 and 5.4. It is meaningless anyway imo.
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Anchor price usually taken from scraps at silly prices the night before/early morning while ignoring 33s into 14s late on. Meaningless nonsense.
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Jorge Alvares
10.5 >> 7.0 cold beacon .... |
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'gamble' not landed
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as bettinghelp said - the "anchor" price would have been set when it was 4-1 early on.
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