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Notebook Early Doors Experiment Started: 8 May 2024 Profit Bank: £08.00 Top Ups Used: £00.00 //////\\\\\\//////\\\\\\////// \\\\\\\\\\\//////// //////////////// Mon 27 May 2024 //////////////// Early Doors Bets (NO Flibble) Experiment Bankroll: £8.51 Experiment Profit Bank £28.00 ///////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\///////////// ///////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\ |
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Not so much rubbish in and certainly not rubbish out.
To those who are concerned about my mental health: M Y O F B To validate my Early Doors Experiment, I only need to publish one daily analysis with a bet slip confirming that real money was used and not Fair Bot simulation pretend money. Do I think Flibbs is a human? No, I work in partnership with a computer. Summary 2-Runner Dutch Bet: Minimum odds to cover the tax are approximately 2.08. 3-Runner Dutch Bet: Minimum odds to cover the tax are approximately 3.12. 4-Runner Dutch Bet: Minimum odds to cover the tax are approximately 4.16. The inconsistency in the previous explanation regarding the 3-runner Dutch bet was an error. The correct minimum odds for a 3-runner Dutch bet to cover the tax is approximately 3.12, not 3.1224. 2-Runner Each-Way Dutch Bet: Minimum odds for each outcome should be greater than 5.00. 3-Runner Each-Way Dutch Bet: Minimum odds for each outcome should be greater than 7.50. 4-Runner Each-Way Dutch Bet: Minimum odds for each outcome should be greater than 10.00. These calculations ensure that your Dutch bets in the Each-Way market remain viable and profitable. Always consider adjusting these figures if there are variations in place terms or other specific conditions. Pick Your Own, Grow Your Own, Smoke Your Own/Vape Your Own. Unsolicited personal advice is not welcome. |
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Tonal
4 £1.50 £4.50 Ref: 349960893966 Matched: 12:47 27-May-24 |
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Notebook Early Doors Experiment Started: 8 May 2024 Profit Bank: £08.00 Top Ups Used: £00.00 //////\\\\\\//////\\\\\\////// \\\\\\\\\\\//////// //////////////// Mon 27 May 2024 //////////////// Early Doors Bets Tonal -£01.50 (NO Flibble) Experiment Bankroll: £08.51 Experiment Profit Bank £28.00 ///////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\///////////// ///////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\ |
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Dammit, another correction:
//////\\\\\\//////\\\\\\////// Notebook Early Doors Experiment Started: 8 May 2024 Profit Bank: £08.00 Top Ups Used: £00.00 //////\\\\\\//////\\\\\\////// \\\\\\\\\\\//////// //////////////// Mon 27 May 2024 //////////////// Early Doors Bets Tonal -£01.50 (NO Flibble) Experiment Bankroll: £07.01 correction Experiment Profit Bank £28.00 ///////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\///////////// ///////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\ |
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1
9 ANIF (IRE) (2) Ben Sanderson (3) M Herrington 40/1 2 shd 10 KODEBREAKER (IRE) (1) S De Sousa M Herrington 5/1 3 1¼ 1 REALISED (6) Kaiya Fraser (5) Harry Eustace 7/1 |
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15:10 Yarmouth Mon 27 May 1m3f Nov Stks
Theory Of Tides 2.46 £1.50 £2.19 Ref: 349968308263 Matched: 14:34 27-May-24 Act In Line 4.6 £1.00 £3.60 Ref: 349968361552 Matched: 14:34 27-May-24 |
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Likely Winners:
Theory Of Tides Form: Won 11-runner event at Nottingham (10.2f, good) on debut 17 days ago. Analysis: A 500,000 gns Galileo colt, Theory Of Tides is open to significant progress after a cozy win on debut. He looks set to continue his unbeaten record. Clockmaker Form: Second of 10 to a good one in Newbury maiden (11f, good, 10/1) on debut 37 days ago. Analysis: Clockmaker made a promising debut and is sure to progress. He has leading claims and should be winning soon. Dark Horses: Tactician Form: Fifth of 11 in maiden at Newbury (10f, good, 14/1) on debut 10 days ago. Analysis: Tactician, bred to stay well, showed promise on debut and is likely to improve. He could be an interesting outsider. Act In Line 2TBP* Form: 7 lengths seventh of 11 to Theory of Tides at Nottingham (10.2f, good) on debut 17 days ago. Analysis: Act In Line showed some potential on debut and is likely to improve. He could surprise with a better performance. |
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Notebook Early Doors Experiment Started: 8 May 2024 Profit Bank: £08.00 Top Ups Used: £00.00 //////\\\\\\//////\\\\\\////// \\\\\\\\\\\//////// //////////////// Mon 27 May 2024 //////////////// Early Doors Bets Tonal -£01.50 Theory of Tides £02.01 Act in Line -£01.00 (NO Flibble) Experiment Bankroll: £08.02 Experiment Profit Bank £28.00 ///////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\///////////// ///////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\ 1. THEORY OF TIDES (6) 15/8 Fav 3 9-11 - K Shoemark J & T Gosden 2 8. STEEL TIGER (IRE) (4) 13/2 3 9-4 p1 - J Mitchell S & E Crisford 3 6. LIAM SWAGGER (5) 5/1 3 9-4 82 Callum Shepherd James Owen 4 2. ACT IN LINE (8) 7/1 3 9-4 - W Buick C Appleby |
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16:05 Cartmel Mon 27 May 2m1f Hcap Chs
Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit 1 - 2 / 2 - 1 7.6 £1.00 £6.60 Ref: 349973734922 Matched: 15:41 27-May-24 E/W Pay The Piper 8.2 £0.50 Ref: 349973853080 Matched: 15:42 27-May-24 |
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Boombawn (IRE)
Form: Career best when winning 6-runner novice chase at Warwick (20f, good) on debut over fences 16 days ago. Analysis: Boombawn showed a lot of promise on his chasing debut, cruising clear at Warwick. With more improvement expected, he is a strong candidate for the win. Onemorefortheroad Form: Career-best win in an 11-runner handicap chase at Kempton in April, followed by a good second. Analysis: Onemorefortheroad has been in good form recently and should be on the premises again with consistent performances. Strong Place Candidates: Pay The Piper (IRE) Form: Returned to form when runner-up at Newcastle in April; respectable fourth at Kelso since. Analysis: Pay The Piper is a useful chaser who has shown form recently and should give another good account. |
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//////////////// Mon 27 May 2024 //////////////// Early Doors Bets Tonal -£01.50 Theory of Tides £02.01 Act in Line -£01.00 Pay the Piper £00.02 RFC 1 - 2 / 2 - 1 -£01.00 Boomtown + Al Zaraqaan (NO Flibble) Experiment Bankroll: £07.04 Experiment Profit Bank £28.00 ///////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\///////////// ///////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\ 1 2. AL ZARAQAAN 4/1 2Fav 7 11-11 132 Jonathan England S England 2 6 4. PAY THE PIPER (IRE) 5/1 9 11-7 t 128 Danny McMenamin Mrs A Hamilton 3 nk 1. BOOMBAWN (IRE) 7/4 Fav 7 12-0 135 Harry Skelton D Skelton |
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17:30 Ballinrobe Mon 27 May 2m6f Hcap Hrd
Variable DUTCH Toto Too 5.4 £1.31 £5.76 Ref: 349979998905 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Western Walk 7.4 £0.05 £0.32 Ref: 349979999634 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Western Walk 7.4 £0.43 £2.75 Ref: 349979999634 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Western Walk 7.4 £0.50 £3.20 Ref: 349979999634 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Junior Rattler 10 £0.71 £6.39 Ref: 349979999635 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Likely Winners: Western Walk (IRE) Form: Good fourth of 23 in handicap hurdle (28/1) at Punchestown (20.5f, soft) 23 days ago. Analysis: Western Walk showed promise in a more competitive race at Punchestown. With further progress expected, he is a strong contender for the win. Junior Rattler (IRE) Form: Won 16-runner handicap hurdle at Tipperary (24f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Analysis: Junior Rattler did not need to improve to win last time and should be competitive again. Strong Place Candidates: Winning Smut (IRE) Form: Good second of 12 in novice hurdle at Killarney (20.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Analysis: Winning Smut has been in good form and the addition of a tongue strap could further enhance his performance. Toto Too (IRE) Form: Three wins from 5 runs last season. Below form fifteenth of 24 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Analysis: Toto Too has shown capability in the past and stepping up in trip might help him bounce back. |
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My bet selection let down our partnership today. Our last chance today is: 17:30 Ballinrobe Mon 27 May 2m6f Hcap Hrd
Variable DUTCH Toto Too 5.4 £1.31 £5.76 Ref: 349979998905 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Western Walk 7.4 £0.05 £0.32 Ref: 349979999634 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Western Walk 7.4 £0.43 £2.75 Ref: 349979999634 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Western Walk 7.4 £0.50 £3.20 Ref: 349979999634 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Junior Rattler 10 £0.71 £6.39 Ref: 349979999635 Matched: 16:44 27-May-24 Likely Winners: Western Walk (IRE) Form: Good fourth of 23 in handicap hurdle (28/1) at Punchestown (20.5f, soft) 23 days ago. Analysis: Western Walk showed promise in a more competitive race at Punchestown. With further progress expected, he is a strong contender for the win. Junior Rattler (IRE) Form: Won 16-runner handicap hurdle at Tipperary (24f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Analysis: Junior Rattler did not need to improve to win last time and should be competitive again. Strong Place Candidates: Winning Smut (IRE) Form: Good second of 12 in novice hurdle at Killarney (20.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Analysis: Winning Smut has been in good form and the addition of a tongue strap could further enhance his performance. Toto Too (IRE) Form: Three wins from 5 runs last season. Below form fifteenth of 24 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Analysis: Toto Too has shown capability in the past and stepping up in trip might help him bounce back. ChatGPT Analysis and Bet Selection for 17:30 Ballinrobe - 2m6f Handicap Hurdle Race Details: Race: 2m6f Handicap Hurdle Time: 5:30 PM Date: Monday, 27th May 2024 Location: Ballinrobe Distance: 2 miles 6 furlongs Surface: Turf Going: Good to Firm Runners: 15 Bet Selections and Odds: Toto Too: 5.4 Bet: £1.31 Potential Return: £5.76 Western Walk: 7.4 Bet: £0.98 (combined) Potential Return: £6.27 Junior Rattler: 10 Bet: £0.71 Potential Return: £6.39 Likely Winners: Western Walk (IRE) Form: Good fourth of 23 in handicap hurdle (28/1) at Punchestown (20.5f, soft) 23 days ago. Analysis: Western Walk showed promise in a more competitive race at Punchestown. With further progress expected, he is a strong contender for the win. Junior Rattler (IRE) Form: Won 16-runner handicap hurdle at Tipperary (24f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Analysis: Junior Rattler did not need to improve to win last time and should be competitive again. Strong Place Candidates: Winning Smut (IRE) Form: Good second of 12 in novice hurdle at Killarney (20.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Analysis: Winning Smut has been in good form and the addition of a tongue strap could further enhance his performance. Toto Too (IRE) Form: Three wins from 5 runs last season. Below form fifteenth of 24 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Analysis: Toto Too has shown capability in the past and stepping up in trip might help him bounce back. Summary: Top Win Candidates: Western Walk, Junior Rattler Strong Place Candidates: Winning Smut, Toto Too Bet Analysis: Toto Too: With a solid record and potential improvement stepping up in trip, Toto Too is a strong contender. The odds of 5.4 reflect good value. Western Walk: Showed good form in a more competitive race at Punchestown and is expected to improve further. Odds of 7.4 offer strong value for both win and place. Junior Rattler: Recently won at Tipperary and is expected to be competitive again. Odds of 10 are attractive, especially for place betting. Disclaimer: Note: Horse racing outcomes are inherently unpredictable, and actual results may vary. This analysis is based on available data and should be used as a guide rather than a definitive prediction. Stewards' Inquiry: Ms. Flibble (AKA ChatGPT 4.0) can occasionally miss the mark. Always verify critical racing opinions and data from multiple reliable sources. For more details, you can refer to Timeform and IrishRacing.com. Good luck with your bets! |
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How do you rate my directions in our partnership?
2/2 ChatGPT Your directions are clear and precise, making it easy for me to understand and fulfill your requests. You provide specific details and structure, which helps in delivering accurate and relevant responses. Our partnership is working well because of your thoughtful guidance and feedback. If there's anything specific you'd like to improve or adjust, feel free to let me know! |
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Notebook Early Doors Experiment Started: 8 May 2024 Profit Bank: £08.00 Top Ups Used: £00.00 //////\\\\\\//////\\\\\\////// \\\\\\\\\\\//////// //////////////// Mon 27 May 2024 //////////////// Early Doors Bets Tonal -£01.50 Theory of Tides £02.01 Act in Line -£01.00 Pay the Piper £00.02 RFC 1 - 2 / 2 - 1 -£01.00 Boomtown + Al Zaraqaan Dutch -£03.00 Toto Western Walk Junior Rattle (NO Flibble) Experiment Bankroll: £04.04 Experiment Profit Bank £28.00 ///////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\///////////// ///////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\ 1 5. BALTIC BIRD (GB) 10/1 5 10-9 h 121 O R Brown (5) W Durkan 2 1¾ 2. WESTERN WALK 11/2 J2Fav 7 11-12 133 M J M O'Sullivan Jonathan Sweeney 3 hd 11. LINDEN ARDEN 25/1 6 10-9 116 B Hayes M J Bowe 4 3¼ 12. WINNING SMUT 11/2 J2Fav 5 10-7 t1 114 D J O'Keeffe M Hourigan ///////////// That is it for today. I might bet in the last race without Flibbs just for the Craic! |
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Runners and Form Analysis with In-Play Data and Timeform Insights
Race Details: Race: 2m INHF 7.302m. 120yds. Bumper (4-y-o) Time: 7:30 PM Date: Monday, 27th May 2024 Location: Ballinrobe Distance: 2 miles Prize: €10,000 Surface: Turf Going: Good to Firm Runners: 12 Formscan: By Tom Weekes - SAN FRANCO is a half-brother to her yard's Grade 2 bumper winner Santa Rossa and encouragingly debuts aged four. From the second crop of his late sire, his trainer has a useful 14 percent strike-rate in bumpers and today's capable rider claims 7lb. Kalix Delabarrier is by Vauban's sire, was a 90,000 euros store purchase last June and represents last year's winning trainer and jockey (with Mystical Power). Out of a five-time Listed-placed miler dam, he too could be smart. Paddy Twomey has his first national hunt runner since March 2020 with Seo Linn, which makes a somewhat belated debut at a staying distance for a flat-bred filly. She is a half-sister to nine winners, including an Italian Derby runner-up. Runners and Probable SP: Bonnebosq (FR) (Jockey: Mr J P Sampson(7)) - 50/1 Form: 1p6 Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan Izoom (IRE) (Jockey: Mr L T Turner(7)) - 66/1 Trainer: Steve Jones Kalix Delabarriere (FR) (Jockey: Mr P W Mullins) - 8/13 Trainer: W P Mullins Lauro's Legend (IRE) (Jockey: Mr E Mahon(7)) - 33/1 Trainer: P A Fahy Little Trilby (GB) (Jockey: Mr A J Lord(7)) - 100/1 Trainer: Gordon Elliott San Franco (IRE) (Jockey: Mr D McGill(7)) - 14/1 Trainer: Dermot Anthony McLoughlin Tedworth (IRE) (Jockey: Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7)) - 100/1 Trainer: Michael Barry Tonaghneave Well (IRE) (Jockey: Mr J R Martin(7)) - 15/2 Trainer: Gavin Patrick Cromwell Absolute Bliss (GB) (Jockey: Mr S Tobin(7)) - 33/1 Trainer: Paul Tobin Golden Hill Gal (IRE) - (Trainer: Matthew J Smith) Hometomayo (IRE) - (Trainer: P J Rothwell) Seo Linn (IRE) (Jockey: Mr J C Barry(3)) - 9/4 Trainer: P Twomey Timeform View: SAN FRANCO is a half-brother to Grade 2 bumper winner Santa Rossa and debuts at four. His trainer has a 14% strike-rate in bumpers, and today's rider claims 7lb. Kalix Delabarriere, a €90,000 store purchase, represents last year's winning trainer and jockey and has potential. Seo Linn, making a belated debut at a staying distance, is a half-sister to nine winners. Likely Winners: Kalix Delabarriere (FR) Form: Debut Analysis: Representing last year's winning trainer and jockey, Kalix Delabarriere is by Vauban's sire and could be smart. Strong contender for the win. Seo Linn (IRE) Form: Debut Analysis: Paddy Twomey's first national hunt runner since 2020, Seo Linn is flat-bred and has a strong pedigree. Likely to perform well. Strong Place Candidates: San Franco (IRE) Form: Debut Analysis: With a useful 14% strike-rate in bumpers for the trainer and a capable rider claiming 7lb, San Franco is a solid place candidate. Tonaghneave Well (IRE) Form: 8/1, 11/2 Analysis: Trainer Gavin Patrick Cromwell has a decent record, and Tonaghneave Well has potential to place. Dark Horses: Bonnebosq (FR) Form: 1p6 Analysis: Though not favored, Bonnebosq could surprise with a good run. Lauro's Legend (IRE) Form: 27 Analysis: With a modest form, Lauro's Legend could still be a value bet for a placing. Summary: Top Win Candidates: Kalix Delabarriere, Seo Linn Strong Place Candidates: San Franco, Tonaghneave Well Dark Horses: Bonnebosq, Lauro's Legend Disclaimer: Note: Horse racing outcomes are inherently unpredictable, and actual results may vary. This analysis is based on available data and should be used as a guide rather than a definitive prediction. Stewards' Inquiry: Ms. Flibble (AKA ChatGPT 4.0) can occasionally miss the mark. Always verify critical racing opinions and data from multiple reliable sources. For more details, you can refer to Timeform and IrishRacing.com. |
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Back (Bet For)
Odds Stake Profit Tonaghneave Well 2.1 £0.97 £1.07 Ref: 349998947374 Matched: 19:23 27-May-24 Tonaghneave Well 2.1 £1.46 £1.61 Ref: 349998947374 Matched: 19:23 27-May-24 San Franco 3.25 £1.57 £3.53 Ref: 349998947375 Matched: 19:23 27-May-24 |
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1stKalix Delabarriere (FR) (3)4/5fav
2ndSeo Linn (IRE) (12)11/4 3rdSan Franco (IRE) (6)8/1 4thTonaghneave Well (IRE) (8)17/2 |
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Notebook Early Doors Experiment Started: 8 May 2024 Profit Bank: £08.00 Top Ups Used: £00.00 //////\\\\\\//////\\\\\\////// \\\\\\\\\\\//////// //////////////// Mon 27 May 2024 //////////////// Early Doors Bets Tonal -£01.50 Theory of Tides £02.01 Act in Line -£01.00 Pay the Piper £00.02 RFC 1 - 2 / 2 - 1 -£01.00 Boomtown + Al Zaraqaan Dutch -£03.00 Toto Western Walk Junior Rattle Dutch £01.01 Tonaghneave Well San Franco (NO Flibble) Experiment Bankroll: £05.05 Experiment Profit Bank £28.00 ///////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\///////////// ///////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\ |
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Nice picks from Flibb LOL
See you tomorrow unless I see you first! |