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askjack
23 May 24 10:43
Joined:
Date Joined: 22 Nov 08
| Topic/replies: 1,172 | Blogger: askjack's blog
Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks
13:58 Market Rasen Thu 23 May - 2m Novice Hurdle
Overview
Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns.

Trading Opportunities Analysis
ITTAACK BLUE

Current Form: Consistent performances with strong finishes.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 1.75
IP Lo: 1.56
Conclusion: Good for back-to-lay strategies given consistent performances and strong market backing.
REACH FOR THE MOON

Current Form: Showing promise with notable performances.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 5.8
IP Lo: 2.9
Conclusion: Strong candidate for back-to-lay due to consistent performances and market support.
UPFORDEBATE

Current Form: Mixed results but capable of strong runs.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 1000
IP Lo: 16
Conclusion: Potential value for back-to-lay if in-running support continues.
INDEPENDENT JIMMY

Current Form: Fairly consistent with potential for improvement.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 1000
IP Lo: 5.6
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, suitable for speculative bets.
GLEN ROAD

Current Form: Less impressive recent performances.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 1000
IP Lo: 23
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, speculative bet.
HAPPY COUNTY

Current Form: Limited recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 1000
IP Lo: 40
Conclusion: High-risk, speculative bet.
STRIP LIGHT

Current Form: Poor recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 1000
IP Lo: 40
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, less favourable for back-to-lay strategies.

Summary

Best Back-to-Lay Candidates:

ITTAACK BLUE
REACH FOR THE MOON
UPFORDEBATE
INDEPENDENT JIMMY

Three Runners Most Likely to Win:

ITTAACK BLUE
REACH FOR THE MOON
UPFORDEBATE
Speculative Outsider Bet:

INDEPENDENT JIMMY
These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting. For more detailed race analysis, you can refer to sources like The Sun's Racecard and Timeform.
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Report askjack May 23, 2024 10:52 AM BST
Yesterday was a good day.

Today started with a full-blown "Weston" but things can only get better.

Further races will be added during the day.
Report askjack May 23, 2024 11:51 AM BST
Notebook Early Doors Experiment
           
Early Doors Bets                     
               



My Bets (NO Flibble)



Experiment Bankroll:              £08.43

Experiment Profit Bank            £22.00

///////////////////////////////////////////

Monthly Software Liabilities
ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles)        -£18.98
Fairbot                          -£10.00

Total                            -£28.98
Report askjack May 23, 2024 12:17 PM BST
Suitable Races for IPLO Analysis

13:58 Market Rasen - Early Doors - done
14:28 Market Rasen
14:58 Market Rasen
15:58 Market Rasen
16:28 Market Rasen
17:03 Market Rasen

15:50 Lingfield
16:50 Lingfield

17:50 Catterick

Criteria

Currently equal to or more than 8 runners (Min for 3tbp)

All runners have IP Hi/Lo data.

Two more races will be chosen for analysis and published.
Report askjack May 23, 2024 12:44 PM BST
Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks
15:50 Lingfield Thu 23 May - 6f Handicap

Overview
Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns.

Trading Opportunities Analysis
KRYSJANJORD

Current Form: Consistent performances with strong finishes.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 4.8
IP Lo: 4.7
Conclusion: Good for back-to-lay strategies given consistent performances and strong market backing.
AMROON

Current Form: Showing promise with notable performances.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 5.1
IP Lo: 4.9
Conclusion: Strong candidate for back-to-lay due to consistent performances and market support.
SIR BOLTON

Current Form: Mixed results but capable of strong runs.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 5.6
IP Lo: 5.4
Conclusion: Potential value for back-to-lay if in-running support continues.
KATIE G

Current Form: Fairly consistent with potential for improvement.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 9
IP Lo: 8.6
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, suitable for speculative bets.
LITTLE WHITE DOVE

Current Form: Showing promise with some notable performances.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 9.6
IP Lo: 9.2
Conclusion: Speculative but could offer value if in-running support reappears.
JUSTAHUNCH

Current Form: Mixed recent performances.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 15
IP Lo: 14
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, speculative bet.
FORGOTTEN TREASURE

Current Form: Limited recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 15
IP Lo: 12.5
Conclusion: High-risk, speculative bet.
MANALI

Current Form: Poor recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 32
IP Lo: 22
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, less favourable for back-to-lay strategies.
MAJOLICA

Current Form: Poor recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 120
IP Lo: -
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, less favourable for back-to-lay strategies.

Summary

Best Back-to-Lay Candidates:

KRYSJANJORD
AMROON
SIR BOLTON
KATIE G
Three Runners Most Likely to Win:

KRYSJANJORD
AMROON
SIR BOLTON
Speculative Outsider Bet:

KATIE G

These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting. For more detailed race analysis, you can refer to sources like The Sun's Racecard and Timeform.
Report askjack May 23, 2024 1:19 PM BST
///////

Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks
17:25 Limerick Thu 23 May - 2m2f Handicap Chase
Overview
Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns.

Trading Opportunities Analysis
GENERAL CLERMONT

Current Form: Strong recent performances.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 5.5
IP Lo: 4.8
Conclusion: Good for back-to-lay strategies due to consistent performances.
MAHLERS COVE

Current Form: Promising recent runs.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 5.6
IP Lo: 5.0
Conclusion: Strong candidate for back-to-lay strategies.
PRINCE OF AIR

Current Form: Mixed but capable.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 8
IP Lo: 6
Conclusion: Potential value for back-to-lay if support continues.
THE DECLAIMER

Current Form: Fairly consistent.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 8
IP Lo: 5.8
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, suitable for speculative bets.
LAKOMET OF SAINTS

Current Form: Inconsistent.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 9.6
IP Lo: 8.6
Conclusion: Speculative bet, the potential for value.
BARBAHA QUEEN

Current Form: Limited form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 13.5
IP Lo: 11.5
Conclusion: High-risk, speculative bet.
DRUIM SAMHRAIDH

Current Form: Limited recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 21
IP Lo: 9.6
Conclusion: High-risk, speculative bet.
ADDED BONUS

Current Form: Mixed recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 30
IP Lo: 20
Conclusion: High-risk, speculative bet.
BROWN MONDAY

Current Form: Poor recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 60
IP Lo: 24
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, less favourable for back-to-lay strategies.
GRIZABELLA

Current Form: Poor recent form.
Key Data:
IP Hi: 90
IP Lo: 30
Conclusion: High-risk candidate, less favourable for back-to-lay strategies.

Summary

Best Back-to-Lay Candidates:

GENERAL CLERMONT
MAHLERS COVE
PRINCE OF AIR
THE DECLAIMER

Three Runners Most Likely to Win:

GENERAL CLERMONT
MAHLERS COVE
PRINCE OF AIR

Speculative Outsider Bet:

THE DECLAIMER

These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting. For more detailed race analysis, you can refer to Irish Racing.
Report askjack May 23, 2024 1:26 PM BST
13:58 Market Rasen
Thu 23 May 2 TBP
Back (Bet For)

Upfordebate
3.4
£1.00
£2.40
Ref: 349485097617
Matched: 13:25 23-May-24
Report askjack May 23, 2024 2:02 PM BST
Notebook Early Doors Experiment
           
Early Doors Bets                     
Upfordebateets                   £01.38         



(NO Flibble)



Experiment Bankroll:              £08.43

Experiment Profit Bank            £22.00

///////////////////////////////////////////

Monthly Software Liabilities
ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles)        -£18.98
Fairbot                          -£10.00

Total                            -£28.98
Report askjack May 23, 2024 2:06 PM BST
Notebook Early Doors Experiment
           
Early Doors Bets                     
Upfordebateets (IP Geen-up)         £01.38         



(NO Flibble)



Experiment Bankroll:              £09.81

Experiment Profit Bank            £22.00

///////////////////////////////////////////

Monthly Software Liabilities
ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles)        -£18.98
Fairbot                          -£10.00

Total                            -£28.98
Report askjack May 23, 2024 3:41 PM BST
15:50 Lingfield
Thu 23 May 6f Hcap

Back (Bet For)
Win
Krysdanjord
4.1
£2.00
£6.20
Ref: 349493578437
Matched: 15:31 23-May-24

Back (Bet For) 3tbp

Katie G
2.78
£1.69
£3.01
Ref: 349493612082
Matched: 15:31 23-May-24
Report askjack May 23, 2024 3:56 PM BST
Notebook Early Doors Experiment
           
Early Doors Bets                     
Upfordebateets (IP Geen-up)         £01.38         
Krysdanjord                        -£02.00
Katie G 3tbp                        £02.77


(NO Flibble)



Experiment Bankroll:              £10.58

Experiment Profit Bank            £22.00

///////////////////////////////////////////

Monthly Software Liabilities
ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles)        -£18.98
Fairbot                          -£10.00

Total                            -£28.98
Report askjack May 23, 2024 5:09 PM BST
17:25 Limerick Thu 23 May

Win
Mahlers Cove
5.2
£0.03
£0.13
Ref: 349495894190
Matched: 16:42 23-May-24
Mahlers Cove
5.2
£1.47
£6.17
Ref: 349495894190
Matched: 16:42 23-May-24

E/W
General Clermont
4.38
£1.00
Ref: 349495996511
Matched: 16:10 23-May-24
Report askjack May 23, 2024 5:21 PM BST
General Clermont
4.5
£1.00
If Win
£4.38
If Placed
-£0.13
If Unplaced
-£2.00
Ref: 349502990017
Matched: 17:20 23-May-24
Report askjack May 23, 2024 5:50 PM BST
Notebook Early Doors Experiment
           
Early Doors Bets                     
Upfordebateets (IP Geen-up)         £01.38         
Krysdanjord                        -£02.00
Katie G 3tbp                        £02.77
General Clermont                    £07.91
Mahlers                            -£01.50


(NO Flibble)



Experiment Bankroll:              £16.99

Experiment Profit Bank            £22.00

///////////////////////////////////////////

Monthly Software Liabilities
ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles)        -£18.98
Fairbot                          -£10.00

Total                            -£28.98
Report askjack May 23, 2024 5:54 PM BST
Here's the analysis for the 20:00 Limerick 2m7f Handicap Chase on May 23:

Race Overview:
The 2m7f Handicap Chase at Limerick features a competitive field with various horses presenting different strengths and weaknesses. Here are the main contenders:

Kilmurry Jj (Odds: 3.95)

Jockey: J. P. Shinnick
Details: With a relatively low price, Kilmurry Jj is one of the favourites, indicating good recent form or strong past performances.
Chainofconsequence (Odds: 9.8)

Jockey: Mr. A. P. Ryan
Details: Has decent odds and could offer value given the right conditions on race day.
Stormy Master (Odds: 10.5)

Trainer: Ray Hackett
Jockey: Liam Quinlan
Details: Returning after 338 days, this 10-year-old will need to show that it's still competitive. Blinkers are on, suggesting they are aiming to improve focus.
Cosmic Blizzard (Odds: 12)

Jockey: C. M. Quirke
Details: Has mid-range odds, indicating potential but also room for improvement.
Getaway Master (Odds: 12.5)

Details: As a reserve, Getaway Master might not run but has a fair chance if included in the final lineup.
Tuff Days (Odds: 13)

Jockey: M. P. O'Connor
Details: Another mid-range contender, requiring a bit of luck to finish strongly.
Lilian Bland (Odds: 13)

Jockey: Richard Deegan
Details: Similar standing to Tuff Days, will need to perform better than recent runs to be a threat.
Glenmalure Lodge (Odds: 17)

Jockey: S. D. Torrens
Details: Longer odds suggest an outsider, but surprises do happen in horse racing.
Carrolls Cottage (Odds: 18)

Jockey: Niall Moore
Details: Another horse with longer odds, requiring a standout performance to win.
Father Jed (Odds: 23)

Jockey: S. F. O'Keeffe
Details: The least favoured based on odds, but the unpredictability of horse racing means it can't be entirely ruled out.

Analysis:

Favourites: Kilmurry Jj is the clear favourite with odds of 3.95, suggesting strong recent form or historical performance.

Value Bets: Chainofconsequence and Stormy Master could offer good value with odds around 9.8 and 10.5 respectively.

Outsiders: Horses like Father Jed and Carrolls Cottage with odds of 23 and 18 respectively are less likely to win but could place well under favorable conditions.

Conclusion:
For those looking to back a horse, Kilmurry Jj appears to be a safe bet, while Chainofconsequence and Stormy Master could be good value bets. Always consider the form, conditions, and jockey/trainer expertise when placing bets.

For more details, you can visit the Racing Post or At The Races websites​ (At The Races)​​ (Racing Post)​.
Report askjack May 23, 2024 6:51 PM BST
Win
Kilmurry Jj
3.8
£0.13
£0.36
Ref: 349511965519
Matched: 18:45 23-May-24
Kilmurry Jj
3.8
£0.88
£2.46
Ref: 349511965519
Matched: 18:45 23-May-24

3tbp
Chainofconsequence
3.05
£1.09
£2.23
Ref: 349512167969
Matched: 18:47 23-May-24

Cosmic Blizzard
3.3
£1.00
£2.30
Ref: 349512167970
Matched: 18:47 23-May-24

Stormy Master
3.65
£0.91
£2.41
Ref: 349512169174
Matched: 18:47 23-May-24
Report askjack May 23, 2024 8:13 PM BST
Notebook Early Doors Experiment
           
Early Doors Bets                     
Upfordebateets (IP Geen-up)         £01.38         
Krysdanjord                        -£02.00
Katie G 3tbp                        £02.77
General Clermont                    £07.91
Mahlers                            -£01.50
Kilmurry jj                         £05.21
Dutch                               £02.19
Cosmic Blizzard
Chainofconsequence
Stormy Master                       


(NO Flibble)



Experiment Bankroll:                £24.39

Experiment Profit Bank              £22.00

////////////////////////////////////////

Monthly Software Liabilities
ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles)        -£18.98
Fairbot                          -£10.00

Total                            -£28.98
Report askjack May 23, 2024 8:47 PM BST
////////////////
Friday 24:05:2024
\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

Notebook Early Doors Experiment
           
Early Doors Bets                     
                     


(NO Flibble)



Experiment Bankroll:                £08.39

Experiment Profit Bank              £38.00

////////////////////////////////////////

Monthly Software Liabilities
ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles)        -£18.98
Fairbot                          -£10.00

Total                            -£28.98
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