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EARLY DOORS EXPERIMENT 14:00 Newbury Fri 17 May 1m Hcap
Mrs Flibble/ChatGPT 4.0 (free edition) Opinions NOT Tips
Based on the form, recent performances, and odds, here are three picks for a Dutch bet:
1. DARVEL (IRE) (6):
◦ Odds: 4.5
◦ Recent Form: Won decisively at Bath (8f, good to soft) after a six-month break.
◦ Analysis: A 3 lb rise is manageable, and he’s shown enthusiasm in recent races, making him a strong contender.
2. JOHNJAY (11):
◦ Odds: 4.1
◦ Recent Form: Third at Bath (8f, good to soft) 4 weeks ago after a 10-month break.
◦ Analysis: Consistent performance and likely to be in the shake-up from the same mark.
3. MARSH BENHAM (IRE) (1):
◦ Odds: 9.6
◦ Recent Form: Entitled to improve after a recent effort at Brighton.
◦ Analysis: Step back up in trip should suit, making him a valuable inclusion in a Dutch bet.
Straight Win Bet
For a straight win bet, selecting a horse with a good combination of recent form and favorable conditions is crucial. Based on the data:
• DARVEL (IRE) (6):
◦ Analysis: Strong recent performance, manageable weight rise, and good enthusiasm shown. He's likely to be in form and can potentially secure a win.
Place Bet
A place bet focuses on horses likely to finish in the top positions. Considering consistency and recent form:
• JOHNJAY (11):
◦ Analysis: Returned from a long break with a strong performance, indicating fitness and readiness. Consistent previous form suggests a good chance of placing.
Outsider Longshot
For an outsider longshot, we look for a horse with higher odds but a potential to surprise:
• LANDLORDTOTHESTARS (IRE) (4):
◦ Odds: 9
◦ Recent Form: No longer looks progressive but back on turf which might suit better.
◦ Analysis: With a potentially sharper performance expected back on turf, this horse could outperform expectations at higher odds.
Summary of Bets
• Dutch Bet: DARVEL (IRE) (6), JOHNJAY (11), MARSH BENHAM (IRE) (1)
• Straight Win Bet: DARVEL (IRE) (6)
• Place Bet: JOHNJAY (11)
• Outsider Longshot: LANDLORDTOTHESTARS (IRE) (4)
This strategic approach covers different betting angles, providing a balanced mix of safer bets and potential high-reward options.
Always remember to bet responsibly and within your means.
Mrs Flibble/ChatGPT 4.0 (free edition) Opinions NOT Tips
Based on the form, recent performances, and odds, here are three picks for a Dutch bet:
1. DARVEL (IRE) (6):
◦ Odds: 4.5
◦ Recent Form: Won decisively at Bath (8f, good to soft) after a six-month break.
◦ Analysis: A 3 lb rise is manageable, and he’s shown enthusiasm in recent races, making him a strong contender.
2. JOHNJAY (11):
◦ Odds: 4.1
◦ Recent Form: Third at Bath (8f, good to soft) 4 weeks ago after a 10-month break.
◦ Analysis: Consistent performance and likely to be in the shake-up from the same mark.
3. MARSH BENHAM (IRE) (1):
◦ Odds: 9.6
◦ Recent Form: Entitled to improve after a recent effort at Brighton.
◦ Analysis: Step back up in trip should suit, making him a valuable inclusion in a Dutch bet.
Straight Win Bet
For a straight win bet, selecting a horse with a good combination of recent form and favorable conditions is crucial. Based on the data:
• DARVEL (IRE) (6):
◦ Analysis: Strong recent performance, manageable weight rise, and good enthusiasm shown. He's likely to be in form and can potentially secure a win.
Place Bet
A place bet focuses on horses likely to finish in the top positions. Considering consistency and recent form:
• JOHNJAY (11):
◦ Analysis: Returned from a long break with a strong performance, indicating fitness and readiness. Consistent previous form suggests a good chance of placing.
Outsider Longshot
For an outsider longshot, we look for a horse with higher odds but a potential to surprise:
• LANDLORDTOTHESTARS (IRE) (4):
◦ Odds: 9
◦ Recent Form: No longer looks progressive but back on turf which might suit better.
◦ Analysis: With a potentially sharper performance expected back on turf, this horse could outperform expectations at higher odds.
Summary of Bets
• Dutch Bet: DARVEL (IRE) (6), JOHNJAY (11), MARSH BENHAM (IRE) (1)
• Straight Win Bet: DARVEL (IRE) (6)
• Place Bet: JOHNJAY (11)
• Outsider Longshot: LANDLORDTOTHESTARS (IRE) (4)
This strategic approach covers different betting angles, providing a balanced mix of safer bets and potential high-reward options.
Always remember to bet responsibly and within your means.
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Sleeper Trade
Darvel 4.60 £8.00 £28.80 Ref: 348767425758 Matched: 02:32 17-May-24 |
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Mrs Flibble Experiment - 14:00 Newbury Fri 17 May 1m Hcap
Notebook Sleep Trade £0 Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors My Bets (NO Flibble) Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £5.31 Experiment Profit Bank £11 |
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Mrs. Flibble has been upgraded to ChatGPT 4.0 FREE Edition!
I had noticed that Flibble had been acting strange over the last few days, and now we know why. Her opinions on race outcomes have been getting progressively "cheeky," and the formatting has been changing almost daily. Example from yesterday: "Considering these horse details, it's essential to acknowledge that I'm not a betting expert, but the lineup you've presented offers an intriguing range of choices." This is the first time I really noticed that she referred to herself in the first person or as a person at all! This is a big upgrade with implications for all users of ChatGPT, in my opinion. The Sleeper Trade is a bet taken at the odds offered with no tick offset. With luck, the price will come in and produce an overnight profit. I'm looking forward to seeing if Flibble picks more or fewer profits from the early door selections. |
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Mrs Flibble Experiment - 14:00 Newbury Fri 17 May 1m Hcap
Notebook Sleep Trade £8 (cashout regardless of P/L around 1.30 pm) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors My Bets (NO Flibble) Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £8.31 Experiment Profit Bank £8 |
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Are you Wondering why I'm up at 04:36 watching Australian racing?
I'm testing (sim mode) a strategy that auto places a Dutch on the 2 front runners 1 minute AFTER the off. The conditions to place the bet are, the odds are equal to or lower than SP. Well, the idea is to auto-select front-runners that might steal the race. It might take a while to work out the best setting and timings but I feel it's worth "giving it a go! Every experiment takes a lot of work to get a strategy to run at the absolute optimal settings. Test and adjust is the name of the game! |
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Optimal Races Times
5f 45 secs 6f 58 secs 7f 73 secs 1m 86 secs 1m 1f 102 secs 1m 2f 116 secs 1m 3f 130 secs 1m 4f 145 secs 1m 5f 161 secs 1m 6f 178 secs 1m 7f 200 secs 2m -- 222 secs 2m 1f 240 secs 2m 2f 258 secs These timings place the bet 15 seconds before the end. Hopefully, when the jockeys start the "vinegar strokes" and push to the line with maximum effort. |
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At the moment I'm using 45 secs across the board.
I'll need a condition that selects each race by distance of race and the number of seconds to place the bet into the market. Hmm... interesting problem. |
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It's time to pack it up for the night and grab a nap :)
See you around 1 pm unless I see you first! |
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May 17, 2024 3:52 AM BST
The Sleeper Trade is a bet taken at the odds offered with no tick offset. With luck, the price will come in and produce an overnight profit. /////////////// The sleeper trade is not going well. Darvel Liability: £8.00 Cash Out £4.34 Profit: -£3.66 There are still 4 hrs before they are off and running. I'm not panicking just concerned. A check of the jockeys reveals nothing to explain why Johnjay turned into a steamer instead of Darvel. Johnjay Mikkel Mortensen Licence Apprentice Lowest riding weight in last 12 months 7-12 % 2ND 3RD 4THS WINNINGS TOTAL EARNINGS £1 STAKE 2yo AW 0 0 — 0 0 0 — — 0.00 2yo turf 0 3 0 0 1 1 — £2,790 -3.00 3yo AW 0 18 0 2 1 2 — £5,370 -18.00 3yo turf 0 10 0 0 1 2 — £1,949 -10.00 4yo+ AW 2 26 8 6 3 1 £12,212 £33,166 -1.50 4yo+ turf 5 22 23 2 3 2 £28,735 £36,900 +5.08 TOTAL 7 79 9 10 9 8 £40,947 £80,175 -27.42 Darvel Olivia Tubb Licence Apprentice Lowest riding weight in last 12 months 8-3 % 2ND 3RD 4THS WINNINGS TOTAL EARNINGS £1 STAKE 2yo AW 0 3 0 0 2 0 — £1,497 -3.00 2yo turf 1 5 20 1 2 0 £3,245 £6,412 -0.50 3yo AW 0 7 0 1 1 1 — £3,235 -7.00 3yo turf 3 12 25 1 3 1 £12,231 £17,446 +34.00 4yo+ AW 3 27 11 3 3 3 £11,698 £22,315 +1.20 4yo+ turf 8 41 20 3 8 5 £39,535 £56,074 +3.42 TOTAL 15 95 16 9 19 10 £66,709 £106,978 +28.12 |
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Maybe the market odds reflect Roger Teal's superior trainer record?
Johnjay Roger Teal Lambourn, Berks RTF 36% Horses running to form in last 14 days % WINNERS / HORSES TOTAL EARNINGS £1 STAKE BEST IN CATEGORY RPR 2yo AW 9 60 15 11 8/29 £52,814 -1.85 Gussy Mac 91 2yo turf 12 85 14 19 10/36 £211,446 -2.58 Dancing Gemini 110 3yo AW 17 145 12 21 14/53 £111,060 -16.38 Caragio 93 3yo turf 10 157 6 22 7/54 £150,936 -96.17 Dancing Magic 104 4yo+ AW 40 315 13 65 18/62 £418,478 +38.62 Ocean Wind 109 4yo+ turf 30 284 11 51 16/58 £933,049 +14.83 Oxted 123 TOTAL 118 1046 11 189 53/120 £1,877,782 -63.52 Oxted 123 Darvel Patrick Chamings Baughurst, Hants RTF 20% Horses running to form in last 14 days % WINNERS / HORSES TOTAL EARNINGS £1 STAKE BEST IN CATEGORY RPR 2yo AW 0 1 0 0 0/1 — -1.00 Spanish Storm 29 2yo turf 0 1 0 0 0/1 £431 -1.00 Spanish Storm 41 3yo AW 2 28 7 1 2/14 £9,610 +17.00 Top Class Angel 81 3yo turf 2 21 10 0 1/12 £6,760 -7.50 Coco Bear 81 4yo+ AW 20 249 8 47 14/34 £128,041 -79.30 Spanish Star 86 4yo+ turf 23 270 9 54 10/36 £258,066 -3.22 Spanish Star 99 TOTAL 47 570 8 102 20/49 £402,908 -75.02 Spanish Star 99 |
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It's a young pups race riding horses with experience ffs.
Anything could win! I never intended to back the full bollixs of today's stake allowance. |
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askjack - there used to be a free bot known as the discombobultor, provided by a forum member Mr Magoo,it was all about placing in running bets at certain minutes or seconds after the start of the race, depending on the distance, backing the shortest horse.
Not sure if Magoo is still around? |
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Thanks for that, oily.
I'll look into it. |
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Including results for What is the meaning of the word discombobulate?
Search only for What is the meaning of the word discombobulator? Informal. to confuse or disconcert; confound; bewilder: The speaker was completely discombobulated by the hecklers. If nothing else, I adding "discombobulated" to my Tits vocabulary. LOL I'll keep looking. |
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Nothing doing on a betting bot. However, I did find out that some people can be discombobulated sexually.
Strange words you search for often turn up unexpected results! |
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With 1/2 hr to go it looks like I'm going to take a loss on the Sleeper Trade :(pissed off face)
I'll give it until 10 minutes before the off. The plan is to cash out and accept the loss. Then put a £1 back on Darvel to win to recover the losses. Mrs Flibble thinks it's a good plan. |
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Mrs Flibble Experiment - 14:00 Newbury Fri 17 May 1m Hcap
Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel My Bets (NO Flibble) Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £5.15 Experiment Profit Bank £8 //////////////// Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit Darvel 7.6 £1.00 £6.60 Ref: 348804176530 Matched: 13:45 17-May-24 |
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Darvel, looking like a discombobulated tit goes into the titbag
Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £4.15 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! |
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Back (Bet For)
Odds Stake Profit It Aint Two 5.2 £1.00 £4.20 |
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In the titbag
Darvel, looking like a discombobulated tit goes into the titbag Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) It' Aint Two -£1.00 Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £3.15 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! |
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In the titbag
Galant Lion trots up and climbs into the titbag. Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) It' Aint Two -£1.00 Gallant Lion -£1.00 Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £2.15 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! Fairbot Simulation Land Home to The Potato People is imminent. |
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In the kitbag
Defence Missle climbs into the kitbag. Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) It' Aint Two -£1.00 Gallant Lion -£1.00 Defence Missle Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £2.15 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! Fairbot Simulation Land Home to The Potato People is imminent. |
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3TBP Defence Missle get in boom!
Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) It' Aint Two -£1.00 Gallant Lion -£1.00 Defence Missle £3.31 Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £5.46 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! Fairbot Simulation Land Home to The Potato People is fading. |
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Devoted Queen BOOM!
Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) It' Aint Two -£1.00 Gallant Lion -£1.00 Defence Missle £3.31 Devoted Queen £3.13 Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £8.59 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! Fairbot Simulation Land Home to The Potato People is memory. |
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Night Lark 3tbp - 5:30 Newbury Fri 17 May 7f Nov Stks
In the Titbag Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 Night Lark 3tbp -£2.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) It' Aint Two -£1.00 Gallant Lion -£1.00 Defence Missle £3.31 Devoted Queen 3tbp £3.13 Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £6.59 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! Fairbot Simulation Land Home to The Potato People is memory. |
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Dutch goes tits up and in the BAG!
Notebook Sleep Trade -£3.16 (cashout 13:54) Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -Darvel -£1.00 Night Lark 3tbp -£2.00 My Bets (NO Flibble) It' Aint Two -£1.00 Gallant Lion -£1.00 Defence Missle £3.31 Devoted Queen 3tbp £3.13 Dutch- First Conquest Dark Tornado -£2.00 Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £4.59 Experiment Profit Bank £8 Onward and upward! Fairbot Simulation Land Home to The Potato People is a recent memory. //////////////////////////// I am waiting for the night racing. //////////////////////////// |