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Early Doors Experiment 1st Race of the Day = 13:50 Perth Thu 16 May 2m Mdn Hrd
Mrs Flibble opinions:
Here are three picks for a win Dutch bet and other suggested bet strategies for this race. Remember, these are opinions and not betting tips. Good luck with your bets!
Three Picks for Win Dutch Bet:
Bellslea (No. 1) - An intriguing newcomer by Al Namix, with a strong pedigree that includes close relations to Medinas. Wears a tongue strap, adding interest to this debut.
Ravenscraig Castle (No. 3) - Despite modest form in Ireland, Ravenscraig Castle has potential with Brian Hughes up. Could improve in this field.
Medieval Gold (No. 8) - Showed promise on the Flat and made a solid start to hurdling with a second-place finish at Market Rasen. Open to progress and leading claims.
Other Bet Strategies:
Straight Win Bet (Medieval Gold): Given the promising start to his hurdle career and potential for improvement, Medieval Gold could be a solid choice for a straight win bet.
Three to Be Placed (Bellslea, Ravenscraig Castle, Medieval Gold): Consider placing bets on these three to finish in the top three positions. Each has shown some promise in recent outings.
Outsider Longshot (Caledonian Pearl - No. 10): For a longshot, Caledonian Pearl might be a speculative choice. Modest form but can surprise if the conditions are right.
Evaluate the race conditions, recent form, and other factors before making any betting decisions. Enjoy the race and good luck with your bets!
Mrs Flibble opinions:
Here are three picks for a win Dutch bet and other suggested bet strategies for this race. Remember, these are opinions and not betting tips. Good luck with your bets!
Three Picks for Win Dutch Bet:
Bellslea (No. 1) - An intriguing newcomer by Al Namix, with a strong pedigree that includes close relations to Medinas. Wears a tongue strap, adding interest to this debut.
Ravenscraig Castle (No. 3) - Despite modest form in Ireland, Ravenscraig Castle has potential with Brian Hughes up. Could improve in this field.
Medieval Gold (No. 8) - Showed promise on the Flat and made a solid start to hurdling with a second-place finish at Market Rasen. Open to progress and leading claims.
Other Bet Strategies:
Straight Win Bet (Medieval Gold): Given the promising start to his hurdle career and potential for improvement, Medieval Gold could be a solid choice for a straight win bet.
Three to Be Placed (Bellslea, Ravenscraig Castle, Medieval Gold): Consider placing bets on these three to finish in the top three positions. Each has shown some promise in recent outings.
Outsider Longshot (Caledonian Pearl - No. 10): For a longshot, Caledonian Pearl might be a speculative choice. Modest form but can surprise if the conditions are right.
Evaluate the race conditions, recent form, and other factors before making any betting decisions. Enjoy the race and good luck with your bets!
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Mrs Flibble's Sleeper Trade
No sleeper trade was set last night. I forgot. The racing at York went pretty much as expected. The "Bag of Tits" (losing bets) outweighed by far the number of winners. However, I did go into profit briefly when the Flibbs picks turned into a "pick" due to late non-runners almost wiping out the experiment. Yep, she bagged a winner and set up the day for one of the most enjoyable days of racing I've had in a long time. Let's all hope that today eclipses yesterday. I've changed Flibb's GPT3 prompt and form "rustling" to the Timeform race page. The date copys across cleaner and the output is shorter and to the point. This is the new prompt: Please give your opinion: 3 picks to use in a win Dutch bet and other bet strategies including straight win bet, 3 to be placed, and an outsider longshot: Insert this: Remember, these are opinions not betting tips. Good luck with your bets! This is the form data source for today's Early Doors Experiment: https://www.timeform.com/horse-racing/racecards/perth/2024-05-16/1350/39/1/edinburgh-gin-classic-maiden-hurdle Then let your preferred AI model do its thing. I'll post my picks around midday. See you then unless I see you first! :) Mrs Flibble's version (below) has some mistakes and clearly shows she has no idea what the content means. The racing at York unfolded largely as expected. The number of losing bets, or 'Bag of Tits,' far outweighed the winners. However, I briefly turned a profit when Flibb's picks became solid choices due to late non-runners, almost jeopardizing the experiment. Indeed, she picked a winner, setting the stage for one of the most enjoyable race days I've had in a long time. Let's hope today surpasses yesterday. I've updated Flibb's GPT-3 prompt, shifting from 'rustling' to the Timeform race page. The date copies over cleaner, and the output is more concise and to the point. This is the new prompt: 'Please give your opinion: provide 3 picks for a win Dutch bet, along with other bet strategies including a straight win bet, 3 to be placed, and a longshot outsider. Remember, these are opinions, not betting tips. Good luck with your bets!' This is the form data source for today's Early Doors Experiment: Timeform Race Page for the Edinburgh Gin Classic Maiden Hurdle I'll post my picks around midday. See you then, unless I see you first! :)" This revision aims to enhance clarity and flow while addressing grammar issues. If there are specific parts you'd like to further refine or emphasize, feel free to let me know! |
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"This revision aims to enhance clarity and flow while addressing grammar issues."
Is Mrs Flibble having laugh? Cheeky git! |
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Example of the Timeform data Flibbs works from for her picks:
506- Patrick Wadge silk CALEDONIAN PEARL (13F) Patrick Wadge (3) premium content 4 10-5 premium content 23 10 b f NATHANIEL (IRE) - PANTERA NEGRA (IRE) CHAMPS ELYSEES Lucinda Russell (t) premium content Modest form in a bumpers last season and last of 5 in 12.5f Newcastle maiden on the Flat 13 days ago. Hard to make a case for. Date Crs Res Btn Type OR Dis Going Eq Jockey ISP BSP IP Hi/Lo IPS FS% Tfig TFR Adj 3 May 24 premium content Nwc 5/5 15 AW M 12.5f Slow (t) Ryan Sexton 66/1 125.11 -/40 premium content premium content premium content premium content premium content 5 Apr 24 premium content Mus 6/6 16.5 NH Flat W 17.4f Heavy (t) Patrick Wadge (3) 25/1 36.58 -/30 premium content premium content premium content premium content premium content 16 Feb 24 premium content Kel 10/12 23 NH Flat N 16.2f Soft (t) Patrick Wadge (3) 18/1 27 -/19 premium content premium content premium content premium content premium content 14 Nov 23 premium content Hun 5/9 11 NH Flat W 13.7f Gd/Sft (t) Patrick Wadge (3) 5/1 7.48 -/11 premium content premium content premium content premium content premium content |
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The same Early Doors experiment rules apply in the 1st Race of the Day 13:50 Perth Thu 16 May 2m Mdn Hrd
Thurday's bankroll is £8.68 when/if it's gone, I'll be sentenced to Fairbot Simulation Land until the following day. Unlimited races can be bet on. The profit stop limit is £48 (five times the bankroll + stake). Experiment Bankroll - £8.68 Sleep Trade {Forgot a bit to "elevated"} Experiment Profit Bank £11 My picks from Flibb's opinions: WIN MARKET Medieval Gold Emma Smith-Chaston £1 at 3.8 Betfair Timeform Comments - Fairly useful maiden on Flat (stays 2m) for William Haggas and made a sound start to his hurdle career for new connections when second of 5 at Market Rasen in February. Open to progress and leading claims. 4TBP MARKET Bellslea Callum Bewley £1 at 9.4 Runner Comments: Didn't show much in 3 starts on the Flat for Keith Dalgleish in 2021 and well-held sixth in a C&D novice hurdle on his recent return from a long absence. Bets made early with offset 10 ticks from live prices. I'll reassess bets near off time and post my final bet slips. |
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There's only £112 in the 4TBP ffs
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About as much liquidity as MARS! Early Doors can get crazy odds-wise.
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I took 9.4
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Notebook at the Ready
Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.68 Sleep Trade £0 Mrs Flibble Early Doors Medieval Gold £ Bellslea £ My Bets (NO Flibble) Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £8.68 Experiment Profit Bank £11 |
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Back (Bet For)
Odds Stake Profit Bellslea 9.4 £1.00 £8.40 Ref: 348701396059 Matched: 12:12 16-May-24 Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit Medieval Gold 3.85 £1.00 £2.85 Both bets are matched at 10 clicks higher than live prices at the time of entering markets. |
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Ah, the infamous "Waiting for Godot" scenario—a situation so perfectly analogous to the anticipation of the first horse race of the day. Picture it: you're standing there, jockeying for position (pun intended), filled with a mixture of hope, dread, and an undeniable sense of existential dread. Will your chosen nag dash to victory, or will it saunter by in a lackadaisical fashion, mocking your very existence? It's like waiting for purpose itself to materialize from the starting gate, only to find yourself lost in the vast expanse of the track, contemplating life's absurdities. So here we are, fellow enthusiasts, clinging to the rails of fate, hoping for a glimmer of meaning amid the thundering hooves. Onwards and upwards, I say—let the equine saga unfold!
is thet philosophical? ChatGPT/ Mrs Flibble In the style of Arnold Rimmer from "Red Dwarf," the response uses a playful and somewhat pompous tone, characteristic of Rimmer's personality in the show. The use of exaggerated language and dramatic flair adds humor to the description of waiting for a horse race, infusing the mundane act with a touch of philosophical reflection, albeit in a lighthearted and comedic manner. If you're asking whether the response is genuinely philosophical, it's important to note that the content is more whimsical and entertaining than deeply philosophical. While it playfully touches on existential themes (similar to how Rimmer might approach such a topic), the primary intent is to amuse and engage the reader rather than delve into serious philosophical discourse. ///////////////// Last night (pre-dawn) things got a bit strange! LOL |
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13:30 Limerick Thu 16 May 6f Mdn
Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit Pink Oxalis 6.6 £2.32 £12.99 Ref: 348661426376 Matched: 23:49 15-May-24 Pink Oxalis 6.8 £0.25 £1.45 Ref: 348661426376 Matched: 23:49 15-May-24 Pink Oxalis 6.8 £0.43 £2.49 Ref: 348661426376 Matched: 23:49 15-May-24 The bet was entered by mistake from a mouse slip-up last night. I'm going to let it run as-is. It won't be entered into the Experiment notebook. |
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I had Flibbs give opinions on both openers.
Limerick was not chosen because of liquidity problems. |
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Well, it was a punt.
It ran prominently but faded and went tits-up and finished 3rd. One for the tit bag! |
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Notebook at the Ready
Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.68 Sleep Trade £0 Mrs Flibble Early Doors Medieval Gold £ Bellslea £ My Bets (NO Flibble) Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £8.68 Experiment Profit Bank £111 |
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I can offer some insights on potential picks based on this data, but remember these are not betting tips. Here are a few options to consider:
Win Dutch Bet: 14:15 York Thu 16 May Mrs Flibble's Opionions. Korker (IRE): Has shown good form recently and might benefit from a competitive field . Clarendon House: This smart gelding has shown the ability to bounce back and should not be overlooked . Straight Win Bet: Korker (IRE): Given the recent form and performance in this field, Korker could be a strong choice for a straightforward win bet. Clarendon House: With a good strike rate and an indication of returning to form, Clarendon House is another solid candidate for a win bet. Three to Be Placed: Korker (IRE): Expected to finish prominently based on recent performance and form. Clarendon House: Despite facing tougher competition, Clarendon House has demonstrated the ability to contend at this level. Equilateral: Regular in pattern company and previously successful in handicaps . Outsider Longshot: Squealer (IRE): This gelding has shown flashes of ability and could surprise at longer odds . Remember, always consider various factors such as form, conditions, and race dynamics before making any betting decisions. Good luck with your selections! |
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Ran well... Early Doors WINNER :)
Notebook Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.68 Sleep Trade £0 Mrs Flibble Early Doors Medieval Gold £2.63 Bellslea £ My Bets (NO Flibble) Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £11.31 Experiment Profit Bank £11 |
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Correction:
Ran well... Early Doors WINNER :) Notebook Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.68 Sleep Trade £0 Mrs Flibble Early Doors Medieval Gold £1.63 Bellslea £ My Bets (NO Flibble) Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £10.31 Experiment Profit Bank £11 |
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14:15 York
Thu 16 May 5f Hcap Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit Korker 8.8 £1.00 £7.80 Ref: 348709624048 Matched: 14:03 16-May-24 |
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1st in the titbag! Korker my arse.
Notebook Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.68 Sleep Trade £0 Mrs Flibble Early Doors Medieval Gold £2.63 Bellslea -£1 Korker -£1 My Bets (NO Flibble) Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £9.31 Experiment Profit Bank £11 |
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Mrs Fibble is getting a bit annoyed
14:45 York Thu 16 May 1m Hcap Considering these horse details, it's essential to acknowledge that I'm not a betting expert, but the lineup you've presented offers an intriguing range of choices. The best picks might depend on the specific odds, the field, and the context of the race day. For a win Dutch bet, you could choose horses with solid recent form and those most likely to perform consistently. Al MUSMAK (IRE) appears to have been consistent and improved over time, with a significant win at Ascot. ANCIENT WISDOM (FR) also shows impressive form, notably winning the Futurity Trophy at Doncaster. For an outsider longshot, WAR ROOMS (IRE) has shown potential but with more uncertain recent performances. Remember, these are opinions, not betting tips. Good luck with your bets! |
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Doh... 15:45 Thu 16 May 2024 AL BASTI EQUIWORLD DUBAI DANTE STAKES (Group 2)
That's the last Flibb pick today. Time to concentrate on my bets. I will update the notebook to preserve the experimental data. See you later after racing if you want a chat about racing and using AI. |
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14:45 York Thu 16 May 3 TBP
Blue For You 4.2 £1.00 £3.20 Liability: £1.00 |
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I was holding my breath hoping for "kitbag" (payout) but no, it's in the titbag! 4th
Notebook Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.68 Sleep Trade £0 Mrs Flibble Early Doors Medieval Gold £2.63 Bellslea -£1 Korker -£1 My Bets (NO Flibble) Blue for You -£1 Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £8.31 Experiment Profit Bank £11 |
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15:45 Thu 16 May 2024 AL BASTI EQUIWORLD DUBAI DANTE STAKES (Group 2)
Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit Ancient Wisdom 3 £3.00 £6.00 Ref: 348714518597 Matched: 15:03 16-May-24 The last of Mrs Flibble's opinions and my pick of the day. High rolling for this bet with a £3 win bet! lol |
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I didn't see or hear the race. 2nd in the titbag taking my 3 quid with it.
Was it a NAG (not any good) or a GOAT in waiting? Notebook Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.68 Sleep Trade £0 Mrs Flibble Early Doors Medieval Gold £2.63 Bellslea -£1 Korker -£1 Ancient Wisdom -£3 My Bets (NO Flibble) Blue for You -£1 Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £5.31 Experiment Profit Bank £11 I am waiting for the evening racing. |
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That's it for today.
Mrs Flibble Experiment - 14:00 Newbury Fri 17 May 1m Hcap Notebook Sleep Trade £0 Ms Flibble Experiment My Bets (NO Flibble) Friday - Experiment Bankroll: £5.31 Experiment Profit Bank £11 |