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askjack
14 May 24 22:27
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Date Joined: 22 Nov 08
| Topic/replies: 1,172 | Blogger: askjack's blog
Early Doors Experiment 1st Race of the Day = 14:00 Ffos Las Wed 15 May

Mrs Flibble comments and opinions.

Here's my assessment of this race and some potential betting strategies:

Dutch Bet (Back All):

Dexterity (IRE) - Sets the standard based on previous performances and has shown promise, particularly in the Perth race.

Boyles Hill (IRE) - Encouraging start in a bumper and bred for jumping, could improve further in this race.

De Tellers Fortune (IRE) - Showed improvement in a recent debut at Warwick and has an appealing pedigree.
Other Bet Strategies:

Straight Win Bet: Consider a straight win bet on Dexterity (IRE), who seems to be the class act in this field and could build on the promising second-place finish at Perth.

Each-Way (E/W): For an each-way option, Boyles Hill (IRE) could be a solid choice given the encouraging start and pedigree suited for jumping.

Outsider DoB (Double or Nothing): Look at De Tellers Fortune (IRE) as an outsider DoB pick. With an appealing pedigree and improvement shown in recent races, this horse could surprise with a strong performance.

Remember, these opinions are not betting tips. Good luck with your wagers!

Always review the latest form, track conditions, and any changes in the betting market before making final decisions on your bets. Enjoy the race and best of luck!

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Replies: 29
By:
askjack
When: 14 May 24 22:42
Mrs Flibble's Sleeper Trade

Unmatched bets Lay (Bet Against) Backer's odds Backer's stake Payout  Liability
Dexterity                   
2.94
1.52
£2.95
Ref: 348550106562
Submitted: 22:33 14-May-24
At In-PlayCancel Keep Take SP

Matched bets
Order by matched date
Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Dexterity
2.98
£0.89
£1.76
Ref: 348550106470

Matched: 22:33 14-May-24
Dexterity
3
£0.63
£1.26
Ref: 348550106470
Matched: 22:33 14-May-24
By:
askjack
When: 14 May 24 23:05
What a "bag of tits" was Mrs Flibble's comment on my performance yesterday.

I agreed with her!

I'm Looking forward not back dwelling on what could have been.

The same Early Doors experiment rules apply in the 1st Race of the Day 14:00 Ffos Las Wed 15 May

Wednesday's bankroll is £8.02 when/if it's gone, I'll be sentenced to Fairbot Simulation Land until the following day.

Unlimited races can be bet on.

The profit stop limit is £48 (five times the bankroll + stake).

Experiment Bankroll - £8.02

Sleep Trade {not available in-play}

Experiment Profit Bank £7

I will update this thread around midday.

I'll see you tomorrow unless I see you first.
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 06:58
From
Stored with zero-access encryption
coldjack
Star message
Sent
6:44 AMWednesday, May 15th, 2024 at 6:44 AM
To
studio@williamhill.co.uk

Website sent to https://www.hornetradio.fm/william-hill-radio

Subject Line: The Mrs Flibble Experiment - 14:00 Ffos Las Wed 15 May 2m4f Mdn Hrd Opinions

Content: Early Doors Experiment 1st Race of the Day
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 07:01
What are the odds that today is the day Mrs Flibble gets a mention?
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 07:56
Computer restart required - Sleeper Trade Stopped 07:49

Scratch trade.

Fairbot Auto Trade Settings

Offset 2, repeat success count 50, stop loss 5 ticks
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 08:29
Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors     
My Bets (NO Flibble)




Experiment Profit Bank £7
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 08:50
Full bollixs Back Bet

Impatient 3.3 £8.00 £18.40

Cashout by hand regardless of P/L at around midday.

Testing how my luck is today. :0
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 09:24
Dexterit Non Runner33.3%, Wed 15 May 07:34
Boyles Hill  Non Runner11.9%, Wed 15 May 07:37

That leaves De Tellers Fortune from Mrs Flibble's picks.

The Full bollixs Back Bet is still ticking along.
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 12:37
Full bollix cashout

Ref: 348576747574
Matched: 08:19 15-May-24
Impatient

Result: £0.60 green  Free bet

Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors     

My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)


Bankroll P/L                 £8.62

Experiment Profit Bank       £7

////////////////////////////////////////////

Withdrawals of two horses mean that leaves De Tellers Fortune from Mrs Flibble's picks.

Outsider DoB (Double or Nothing): Look at De Tellers Fortune (IRE) as an outsider DoB pick. With an appealing pedigree and improvement shown in recent races, this horse could surprise with a strong performance.

50% DoB = Back £1.60 AT 9.8 LAY £3.60 at 4.9 (1/2 odds double stake)

I'll watch the market and make the bet nearer the off-time.

To make the bet pay, De Tellers Fortune must drop to 4.9 IR be taken by the market and green up for £3.20

If it isn't taken the bet stake of £1.60 is lost.

Double or Bust (DoB)

Risk and reward?

Risky
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 12:58
Sporting Life Form

De Tellers Fortune20
Age: 5|  Weight: 11-4| J: N de Boinville| T: N J Henderson
6/1
€32,000 3-y-o, £135,000 4-y-o, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Has an appealing pedigree and won between the flags in Ireland last year. Transferred to a top yard and showed much more than on Rules debut when fourth at Warwick 3 weeks ago.

He's not without a chance to be in contention going over the last and that's all I need to win the DoB.

Good luck with your bet in the Early Doors and the rest of the day.
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 13:41
Unmatched bets
Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit

De Tellers Fortune
9.8

1.6
£14.08
Ref: 348600688675
Submitted: 13:38 15-May-24
At In-PlayCancel Keep Take SP
Lay (Bet Against)
Backer's odds
Backer's stake
Payout
Liability

De Tellers Fortune
4.9

3.2
£12.48
Ref: 348600762056
Submitted: 13:39 15-May-24
At In-PlayCancel Keep Take SP
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 13:58
The total liability for the DoB is just over £12 breaking the experiment rules. So, I've cancelled it.

FFS Mrs Flibble

I shoved him into the place market.

De Tellers Fortune
2.38
£1.60
£2.21
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 14:01
I'm betting like a bag of tits lol
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 14:13
Yes, a winner.

No regrets about taking a place.

Risk and reward when every penny counts...

Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors      £2.03

My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)


Bankroll P/L                 £10.63

Experiment Profit Bank       £7
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 14:37
14:45 York
Wed 15 May 6f Hcap
Mrs Flibble: Here are three picks and some bet strategies based on the provided horse race details. Remember, these are opinions and not betting tips.

Three Picks:

Aberama Gold (No. 4) - This smart sprinter tasted success several times last season, including notable wins over the C&D. Although the start to 2024 was quiet, the recent turf performances have been more promising. With each-way claims and considering the past successes, Aberama Gold could be one to watch.

Lethal Levi (No. 13) - Despite failing to score last term, Lethal Levi has shown good efforts in defeat. A recent run at Newmarket might have put him spot on for this sprinting contest, and reverting to sprinting could suit him well.

Summerghand (No. 6) - While Summerghand's efforts have been mixed, the eye-catching performance upon returning to turf suggests a potential resurgence. Though the latest race did not build upon that promising return, this seasoned competitor could surprise again.

Bet Strategies:

Straight Win Bet: Consider placing a straight win bet on a horse like Aberama Gold, who has the ability to shine over this distance and surface.

Each-Way Bet: For longer odds, an each-way bet on Lethal Levi could be worthwhile given his recent form and potential for improvement.

Outsider DoB (Double or Nothing): An outsider with potential for a Double or Nothing bet could be Summerghand. Despite some inconsistencies, the odds might be favorable for a higher-risk, higher-reward wager.

Remember to assess the field and conditions before finalizing any bets. Good luck with your wagers!

Dutch

Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit
Lethal Levi
6.6
£0.81
£4.54
Ref: 348604369759
Matched: 14:25 15-May-24

Summerghand
8.6
£0.63
£4.79
Ref: 348604369760
Matched: 14:25 15-May-24

Aberama Gold
9.8
£0.56
£4.93
Ref: 348604369761
Matched: 14:25 15-May-24
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 15:02
In the tits bag :(

Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors      £2.03
Flibbs                      -£2.00

 
My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)


Bankroll P/L                 £8.63

Experiment Profit Bank       £7
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 15:08
Mrs Flibble's pick:

5TBP
Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit
Commanche Falls
4.2
£2.00
£6.40
Ref: 348607298629
Matched: 15:01 15-May-24
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 15:09
Commanche Falls (No. 3) - This dual Stewards' Cup winner has performed well outside of handicaps, winning in listed/Group 3 company. His return in the Abernant Stakes suggests that he's ready to tighten up and perform well at longer odds.
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 15:28
In the tits bag :(

Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors      £2.03
Flibbs                      -£2.00
Flibbs                      -£2.00

My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)


Bankroll P/L                 £6.63

Experiment Profit Bank       £7
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 15:42
15:45 York
Wed 15 May Without Friendly Soul

My Bets (NO Flibble)

Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit
Francophone
8
£1.00
£7.00
Ref: 348610665663
Matched: 15:39 15-May-24
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 16:03
In the tits bag :(

Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors      £2.03
Flibbs                      -£2.00
Flibbs                      -£2.00

My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)
Francophone                 -£1

Bankroll P/L                 £5.63

Experiment Profit Bank       £7
///////////////

I'm going to take my dog for a walk.

There's still more than 50% left to bet.

Onwards and upwards!
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 17:07
17:20 York
Wed 15 May 1m4f Hcap

My Bets (NO Flibble)

Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit
Dancing In Paris
7.6
£0.70
£4.62
Ref: 348618700185
Matched: 17:04 15-May-24
Wahraan
6.8
£0.78
£4.52
Ref: 348618700184
Matched: 17:04 15-May-24
Asgards Captain
10
£0.53
£4.77
Ref: 348618700186
Matched: 17:04 15-May-24
By:
top2rated
When: 15 May 24 17:27
[   This image is no longer available.   ]

Love
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 17:28
Nice Dancing in Paris (if only)

In the tits bag :(

Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors      £2.03
Flibbs                      -£2.00
Flibbs                      -£2.00

My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)
Francophone                 -£1
Dancing in Paris             £3.05




Bankroll P/L                 £8.68

Experiment Profit Bank       £7
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 17:29
Correction: NOT in the tits bag!
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 17:46
17:50 Perth
Wed 15 May Without Bishop Hill

Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit
Love That
8.4
£1.00
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 18:04
Tits up most definitely!


Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors      £2.03
Flibbs                      -£2.00
Flibbs                      -£2.00

My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)
Francophone                 -£1
Dancing in Paris             £3.05
Love That                   -£2.00



Bankroll P/L                 £6.68

Experiment Profit Bank       £7
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 18:32
Ghaihaban get in the tit bag!

Tits up most definitely!


Experiment Bankroll at Start £8.02

Sleep Trade Scratch          £0
Mrs Flibble Early Doors      £2.03
Flibbs                      -£2.00
Flibbs                      -£2.00

My Bets (NO Flibble)
Sleep Trade 2                £0.6 free bet (every penny counts)
Francophone                 -£1
Dancing in Paris             £3.05
Love That                   -£2.00
Ghaihaban                   -£2.00


Bankroll P/L                 £4.68

Experiment Profit Bank       £7

I'm finished for the day.
/////////////////////////////

Thursday Experiment Bankroll: £8.68

Experiment Profit Bank        £11
By:
askjack
When: 15 May 24 18:56
top2rated

THANK YOU!
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