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formoftheace
21 Mar 24 20:42
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Date Joined: 17 Apr 12
| Topic/replies: 24,923 | Blogger: formoftheace's blog
20.00 wtf

Place lay all day imv……

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Replies: 38
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 20:44
Mikka
Poor gelding. Seventh of 10 in handicap at this C&D (33/1) 1 day ago. More needed.

I wouldn't place lay, my numbas say he's strong.
By:
formoftheace
When: 21 Mar 24 20:45
Just watched the race again….strange….think I’ll give the place lay a miss and just watch the antics….
By:
hulk23
When: 21 Mar 24 20:45
what are you on gaze ?

i mean in the race.  but if you want to tell us anything else then feel free ....
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 20:48
My numbas say fav wins or very likely to top 2, so I'll back 2 places for safety. Second place Higher law.
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 20:49
but I'll wait to see if there isn't a big drift before the off
By:
formoftheace
When: 21 Mar 24 20:51
A few strange outfits in the race. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bama Lama win this,stable is wild atm…
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 20:51
the fav looks so awful on paper, the only thing going for him is the power of money and magic carrots
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 20:52
it's not like they could train him better in half a day
By:
hulk23
When: 21 Mar 24 20:54
could go under 3.0 soon Shocked
By:
hulk23
When: 21 Mar 24 20:55
yah, 2.88 

could see that coming ...
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 20:56
I'm laying, these odds are ridiculous
By:
hulk23
When: 21 Mar 24 20:58
drifts

£108 looking for 3.2 to stem it
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 21:00
I laid 2.8, will let it run.
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 21 Mar 24 21:03
Oh-oh, yes, I'm the great pretender
Pretending that I'm doing well
My need is such, I pretend too much
I'm lonely, but no one can tell
Oh-oh, yes, I'm the great pretender
Adrift in a world of my own
I played the game but to my real shame
You've left me to grieve all alone
Too real is this feeling of make-believe
Too real when I feel what my heart can't conceal
(Oh-oh-oh-oh-oh-oh-oh-oh-oh)
Yes, I'm the great pretender

Just laughin' and gay LIKE A CLOWN

I seem to be what I'm not, you see
I'm wearing my heart like a crown
Pretending that you're still around
Too real is this feeling of make-believe
Too real when I feel what my heart can't conceal
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 21:03
noo, higer law 1.07. oh well, nice profit still
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 21:04
Today I lost twice to horses that came back from 120 IR. The first time was in the first race of the day.
By:
HappyHibby
When: 21 Mar 24 21:27
you've got this game by the nuts aceform.
By:
formoftheace
When: 21 Mar 24 21:32
Not quite hibb I should’ve played there but as you know it’s a strange barn…
By:
HappyHibby
When: 21 Mar 24 21:35
you didn't play ? SadSadSad
By:
formoftheace
When: 21 Mar 24 21:39
Unreal but there you go

New season starting on Saturday could be my last….
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 21 Mar 24 21:50
formoftheace 21 Mar 24 19:45 
Just watched the race again….strange….think I’ll give the place lay a miss

try and keep up hibs ffs.
By:
hulk23
When: 21 Mar 24 21:53
Poor gelding. Seventh of 10 in handicap at this C&D (33/1) 1 day ago. More needed.

can't lay those comments at 2.68 pre-race too often ...
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 22:08
Yeah but it's similar to those rags who lose by 50 lengths LTO and then win at 6/4
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 22:08
In this case I ultimately opted for a lay because 1 day really is no time to improve a horse magically.
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 21 Mar 24 22:09
gaze you spew some absolute and utter tripe ydc..
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 22:09
The sample size of big steamers from 1 day off is really tiny to make any conclusions.
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 21 Mar 24 22:10
have ewe posted your last 30 days yet or are ewe still editing?
By:
Gaze733
When: 21 Mar 24 22:11
you're a nutter, reeko
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 21 Mar 24 22:12
done ya bollox?

no probs..understandable
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 21 Mar 24 22:14
Can’t see your recent activity?
From 20 Feb 2024 to 20 Mar 2024, you've won

+ £9,432.71


March 2024
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+ £358.56
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10 seconds gaze...after ewe.
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 21 Mar 24 22:41
poor gaze...scarpered as no prophet.
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 22 Mar 24 00:08
its very difficult to make a profit from pretend bets
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 22 Mar 24 00:09
200 lay, lost my money, i'll soon get it back with a 300 lay, and then a 500 lay .  As if !!
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 22 Mar 24 11:07
Gaze will soon be inducted into the Fantasy Island hall of fame.
By:
spyker
When: 22 Mar 24 12:37
I wouldn't place lay, my numbas say he's strong.

Would you care to explain how please? I'm not saying it  (or any other horse) is unbackable as I often take leaps of faith, just that it is unbackable on form and therefore any 'numbers'?  You then place lay a  horse that is strong in your numbers - you can't have much faith in those numbers.
Sometimes a horse is backed not on form or numbers and this is clearly one of those cases. Surely you would have taken the 20's yesterday (or bigger on here) having spotted that a horse strong on your numbers was such a price, you certainly would have had something at bigger prices when it started to be backed.
Hollyer (sic) than a colander on Linidsfarne.....
By:
Gaze733
When: 22 Mar 24 13:00
Of course he was weak on paper, but I have been burned countless times laying horses that steam from double digits to fav status, that's what makes them strong.
But in this case I made a judgement call that the horse couldn't have improved that much in 1 day so I laid him. If he was off 30 days I woulda place backed him.
By:
Gaze733
When: 22 Mar 24 13:04
A horse that didn't place in 8 out of 8 career runs can't be numerically strong, only those in the know would back him in the evening.
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 22 Mar 24 14:40
gaze,Charles Byrnes looking for a bookie.
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