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madman9
13 Feb 24 11:42
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Date Joined: 13 Jun 08
| Topic/replies: 611 | Blogger: madman9's blog
we know willie will have lots of winers at chelts -anyone have a backing strategy only he knows what will have a good chance

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Replies: 9
By:
Ramruma
When: 13 Feb 24 15:03
Give over with "only he knows what will have a good chance". Look at the DRF. Eight Grade 1s in the bag but not always with the right horse. The man's a genius but he hasn't got a crystal ball. Most of them have a chance.

But in any case, to answer your question, we have four moles in the yard who can at least provide insight. Ruby on pretty much every panel that hasn't managed to sign up Jonny Dineen, Patrick's columns in the newspapers, the owners, and the market.

I'd not take everything Willie says literally without looking at the context, and especially what he has been asked. Agreeing with the questioner that Ballyburn is a fast 2-miler is not a commitment to run in the Supreme, for instance. The reality these days is all the big yards and all the big owners are playing poker with each other as to who runs where, right up to declarations time. Willie can't run a Gigginstown horse in a race without at least thinking about what his other owners have, but also what Gigginstown have with Gordon, for instance.

And then if you are going to do an acca, say a five-fold, do four-folds as well in case one flops.
By:
Hayden
When: 13 Feb 24 15:39
Willie has the depth of quality never been seen before flat or jumps and vast majority of times even he has only a marginal preference than we do as punters as to which of his runners will perform best on the day , whilst PT will be the envy of all with his choice of rides it's one hell of a difficult choice at times.
By:
leif
When: 13 Feb 24 15:45
Shovel it all onto Gallopin' Des Champs' back.
Count yourself very unlucky if you've not doubled your dough.
By:
brassneck
When: 13 Feb 24 17:04
As Willie will tell you himself"you don't have to tell Paul anything,HE knows more than i do"Wink
By:
differentdrum
When: 13 Feb 24 20:09
Have you got a blindfold?

Seriously, if you back the horses in the races they shouldn't be running in, that's probably the perfect strategy.

The perception is that every year on the eve of Cheltenham he turns into the training eqivalent of Bob Cooper.
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 13 Feb 24 20:26
Willie has 22 winners from his last 194 runners at the festival, backing each of them would have lost you more than 100 points.
By:
Hayden
When: 13 Feb 24 21:54
Certainly no surprise that Tiger as they all go there with high expectations and backed accordingly.

He's certainly not the trainer to back blindly as the required strike rate for profit would need to be astronomical.
By:
know all
When: 14 Feb 24 23:19
How times have changed, many long years ago we could back ruby on the outsider of 3 of mullings at 25/1 sp , and unbelievable prices we got we had a golden few years about 15 years cleaning up until it’s now got to a stage where you’d be lucky to make any profit backing like we used to do, people cottoned on all after the golden years and slim pickings now, so it’s a change tack and there is ways to make it with Willy but not as we used to
By:
trevor007
When: 15 Feb 24 11:26
Back Danny's rides in all graded races, he's never far away.
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