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04 Feb 24
20:09
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Date Joined:
25 Apr 11
Real Madrid to win btts 5/2 on Betfair, I’m finished for the day, I’m not having bet, this bet can’t lose?
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Replies: 35
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Feckaff. Ure finished for the day.no bet. Feckaff
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Interesting last few minutes 1-1 draw Real Madrid matched 1.07
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It can't lose but it lost ?
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That was a kick in the goolies. Got greedy and just layed my stake back and bang! I Should have took the certain profit in injury time but couldn`t see them scoring. Eejit!!!!!!!!!!
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Doesn't help right now, mighty mac, but long term probably the right strategy
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if ath madrid havnt scored and if they do in injury time writes off a real win,where was the certain profit to trade out ?
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Sickening it is Reg. If you lay off for full profit they never equalise. When you don`t they always score. 94th Minute
 Feel like chucking it. Was waiting on them for a 4 timer. First three won. |
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Acca was with other bookie 1stTP. You`re right though if with Sports Book 90 minutes winner whatever.
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the bet was never a winner or in a position to be traded for profit as a winner
cant see how you could ever lay it to get your stake back,wityhout been pn a loser or ever take a certain profit |
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1tp,I'm guessing mighty mac is saying he had backed Real and they were 1.1 or whatever, at which point he only laid back to cover his stake, as opposed to laying back more so as to lock in a profit
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sorry i thought he was commenting on the bet put up in openning thread as though he,d done it
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My first 3 teams won earlier. Real was my 4th. I layed them at 1.25 earlier on Exchange for my stake I had with other bookie just in case. They were 1.08 at 90th minute. Would have cost me another 24 quid on the 300 I stood to win.
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No worries mate. Reg was referring to my 4 team acca. I`m an eejit. Cost myself 300 for the sake of an extra 24 stinking quid.
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yep i thought you,d done bet mentioned in thread openner
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I understand 1stTP.
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yep ive had few lately psg when 2 up etc,might start doing the 2 up offer on skybet for slightly skinnier odds
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What makes it worse is that if I had put the bet on BF Sportsbook, I would have got paid out, as they pay on a winner if team leading after 90 minutes.
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... but I put it on with other bookie because odds were better.
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Now you've put up the figures mighty mac, I can see why you're annoyed with yourself
But, I've watched games where the opposition look a million to score an equaliser, wasn't watching tonight's game |
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It`s funny how one gets beat with a late injury time goal so often but one never gets an injury time goal to win a bet .... well I don`t. Always to beat you, never to win. Gambling scrambles your brain.
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not the 1st to front up simmonie and get a bloody nose
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That`s LIfe guys. Damned if you do, damned if you don`t.
Good luck with your bets Reg and 1stTP. |
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Mighty mac, it's easier to remember the near misses that cost you rather than when one goes your way.
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mightymac
with amount of injury time now and champions lg the lg of injury time goals,i,d stick with your betfair concession sounds a good one |
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1tp...probably already factored into the prices, but would a blind lay of the correct score at 90 min in any live match yield a profit, would you think?
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above my paygrade that one reg
all concessions cost but if the alternative is a loser,still worth it didnt city injury time winner at geordies help you out mightymac ? |
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It did indeed 1stTP but I was talking about laying off from a winning position late on. I think you either do it all the time or never. When I pick and choose I always loose whatever, lol.
I don`t think so Reg. I would assume that Betfair Sports Book wouldn`t give that 90 minutes WIN concession if it happened all the time. I would think vast % of teams winning at 90th would win the match. Perhaps someone who has the stats could answer that question. |
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Sorry, mighty mac, perhaps I didn't word it correctly
I was suggesting that with the amount of injury time goals these days, with the extra minutes added on because of VAR...especially in the Premier League... That, would you make a profit by blindly laying the correct score at 90 minutes, or backing another goal to be scored etc,whatever method you choose? |
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Betfair must be losing millions on 90 min payouts at this point.
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lots of games in african cup havnt got started till the 90th min
 , seen no stats but ch lg and seria A seem to me to be full of late goals ,followed by EPL |
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unlucky mightymac, my thinking was real madrid didnt get the second goal to secure the win, the longer the game went on this made an equalizer more likely.
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mightymac.REG etc
if you just put your bets on,didnt watch the games live,lay off,cash out,bet in running etc,would you guess that over the yrs you,d be worse off or better off ? |
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That is a good question 1stTP. I honestly don`t know but probably still lose long term. I think the only way you can win consistently is to lay off and take a profit if your team goes in front. Take the money and move on to the next bet. It`s a lot healthier too.
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