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sparrow
01 Feb 24 15:13
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Date Joined: 20 Jul 02
| Topic/replies: 57,982 | Blogger: sparrow's blog
9/2 OR 11/1 Plain
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Report ladycarla February 1, 2024 3:16 PM GMT
4/5 without Fav
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 3:22 PM GMT
Just thinking of people who might just have wanted to back the second fave to win.
Report Hayden February 1, 2024 3:34 PM GMT
In the case of fairness sparrow despite them being separate markets let's compare the places...



Bookmakers place 1.90 vs 9/2 at one fifth odds a place 1,2,3

Exchange place 1.25 vs 11.0 at one fortieth odds a place 1,2,3

Just thinking about the people who might just have wanted to back the second fav on the exchange. 

Infinitely more punters against the long odds on who'd want to back e/way in that race rather than win only.
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 3:49 PM GMT
Yes lets just have each way markets and pinch a penny or two here and there.
Report s.kenbo February 1, 2024 3:58 PM GMT
20/80 backers on here get a 10/1 second and only break even.
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 4:00 PM GMT
Crumbs off the table merchants.
Report Hayden February 1, 2024 4:16 PM GMT
It's not a penny or two for anyone playing to leave the bet stand though is it.....

£100 e/way bookmakers at 9/2 ...lose £10

£100 e/way exchange at 11/1......lose £75.00 +commission

If you want mathematical long term examples to prove taking 9/2 vs 11/1 and 1.90 vs 1.25 for that shape of bet then fine although using either method is doubtful to produce a long term profit of any note , but wait for the race cards to present themselves in a favourable way and play a multi then i know it's extremely fruitful.

To put some perspective on this race the only time you'll have a smile on your face is when a 2/13 shot gets beat and only then if your 2nd fav wins the race , otherwise e/way exchange today loses £75 so think about how many times the win side is going to happen , on the other bookmaker side you lose a tenner which allows 7 or 8 times the losers , i remember you stated once you change the ration of win & place but in the race today that still won't favour the exchange value debate as say £50/£150 is mathematically no better.

As i've always said you can be a one-dimensional exchange player but to take advantage of every opportunity you need BOTH accounts.
Report Hayden February 1, 2024 4:26 PM GMT
Yes Ken on this example you'd almost nick your total stake back less commission but only be playing £40/£160 in comparison so if it did win you'd get £550 back on the win side with a bookmaker but only £480 from exchange less commission.

When the place is THAT over broke it makes exchange value a fallacy , wait for the opportunities presented by the race cards on given days and you compound an over broke as opposed to an over round.
Report DIFERENT GRAVY 12 February 1, 2024 4:32 PM GMT
Hayden, you talk far too much sense to be on this forum, fck off!
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 4:34 PM GMT
Found out about Dylan Johnston yet,  Gravy?
Report DIFERENT GRAVY 12 February 1, 2024 4:39 PM GMT
Yes thanks.
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 4:40 PM GMT
Expected you to tell us on the thread you started and never returned to.
Report s.kenbo February 1, 2024 4:50 PM GMT
Sparrow starts these threads frequently. There’s no point in explaining to him the logic of needing both accounts. He’s a dinosaur who thinks his way is the only way! I know he’s a place backer. I hope he wasn’t taking 1.25 about that though. If he backed it to win then he got better value than customers betting with the books. He got the same return as them though!
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 4:53 PM GMT
No kenbo I had no bet and am not interested in that sort of punting. Betting with bookmakers is of no interest to me anymore but if you can make it pay then well done.
Report s.kenbo February 1, 2024 4:55 PM GMT
Thank you!!
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 5:10 PM GMT
You're welcome. Be Lucky.
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 5:12 PM GMT
By the way had I remained wedded to the bookmakers then you could call me a dinosaur.
Report s.kenbo February 1, 2024 5:18 PM GMT
You have a good point there. You were ahead of your time when you signed up on here.
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 5:25 PM GMT
I have seen plenty come and go on here in my near 22 yearson here and have heard it all before about how it should be done so excuse my scepticism. Apart from that I learnt plenty before that on both sides of the game with my dad an on course clerk in the days most on here would never have witnessed.
Report Hayden February 1, 2024 5:29 PM GMT
No offence intended sparrow.

Wasn't trying to tell you how it should be done , just explaining a different dimension that can get it done.


Good luck tonight  Happy
Report sparrow February 1, 2024 5:31 PM GMT
None taken hayden. I know your position on all of this by now so be lucky yourself.
Report The Management February 1, 2024 5:54 PM GMT
A brief synopsis:

Hayden likes an Each Way bet (or multiple) in Filthy Each Way races.
Sparrow does not.

See you all again, the next time there is a Filthy Each Way race. Grin
Report Hayden February 1, 2024 6:05 PM GMT
Think it's been exhausted now TM and each to their own , sometimes the grass can be greener though i reckon Grin
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