AW Thread

The only one I'm interested in today is Enola Gay in 5.00 Newcastle. She still looked on good terms with herself LTO and went down all guns blazing against another mare who is also in top form. I think this stiffer track suits her better than Southwell. Dingle will run better now dropped back to his optimum trip and Hale End will probably get the run of the race. But I've played the slow starting, strong finishing Enola Gay. GL lads

Thanks WP. Best of luck with the very game filly.

Cheers Werbie. Yes Filly not mare! I hope to see you post your best bet here tomorrow.

Nice one Tiger. Followed you in.

I'll be looking but it will probs be an in running job with some more after timing

13/2 into 10/3...Timbeeerrrr!

Race didn't pan out for her. Big run from the 2nd.

One run too many for Enola? Dingle lands a right touch...not off a yard LTO.

Only bet today Princess Alice in the next, a bit thin now tho.

There was plenty of money for that one Saddo but it ran well below expectations. Banded "quality" racing on offer today and if I wasn't in both the needy and the greedy camps, I wouldn't even entertain having a bet. But something has to win, isn't that what they say?


Anyone sweet on one today?

Only one I'm looking to back is David's Diva at Kempton in the very last race of the day. She's lightly raced and has shown improved form in each of her 3 runs this AW season. She beat a couple of useful types for the grade LTO on the Tapeta but she has form on the Polytrack and appears versatile tactically.  With a touch more improvement likely the 5/2 - 9/4 looks very fair.

saddo, Hugh Taylor made it a 2-pointer, great minds were evidently thinking alike , but it was a ridiculously slow time, suggesting the winner had been allowed to crawl along on the front end and Danny was pissing against the wind in trying close from off the pace.

Whippin P, nice follow up win there.

Cheers Swift. It was slim pickings today so just happy to find one to have a go at.

Good spot! On a tough day yesterday Whippin.

hugh taylor, sullivan bay e/w 25/1, some tipping.

Good start for the odds on backers today...not! Out of the top Four!

I'm disappointed with, Hugh. He really should have posted that one on this thread.

Cheers Werbie! She looked like the winner throughout the race. Handicapper can't put up too much for it and she can probably go in again.

Kitbag not striking me as a poly animal so will try and get it short. Low grade stuff so won't be going mad

Unmatched

Good call Werbie. It would have been very short in the place market

Southwell used to be my fav track by a mile ( Probs not alone there ) but not since the fibresand disappeared. Quite like the field sizes tonight tho, so will have a look.

Crazy Maisie got a chance in the last (4.15 Chelmsford) for a Rab Havlin double (in Rab we trust )
three times he's ridden her and form 2-1-5 (hampered) only a 1lb above cd win in November
has won off a mark of 58 in past, trickish draw for a prominent runner but worth a small
dabble at 11/1 and 6/5 for 4 places

gl chaps

draw meant gave quite a bit of ground way ran well and touched 3.15 in-running (no trade)

got 4th so won a bag of crips

She was up there all the way NeC. Enjoy your crisps

Smith's crisps add your own Salt, Nec?

tesco's ready salted 6 pack is what my wife got earlier, though you only get about 12 crisps in a pack these days
so probably two packets (you only live once)

got one im looking at tonight but risky - arent they all!

More packaging than actual crisps!


There's nothing I'm especially sweet on this evening but Bobby Joe Leg might be able to follow up his recent win at Newcastle. He seemed to hit form at around this time last year and his current mark isn't beyond him.

What's your risky one, NEC?

Ustath - Jason Hart's only mount of the night, hit form this time last year (had run poorly in two comeback races) and has won off 58 in the past 50 tonight

risky due to bad run lto, but might still have needed run after break from April, another year older, add in stable form which is pretty grim viewing
however loves Southwell and this is a weak race, 4th of seven runners gets your win stake back but it's still risky 

gl chaps

Good reasoning NEC. I think you're right to be worried about the stable form but the course form is a plus. I hope it runs well for you NEC

ta and good lucky with Bobby Joe Legg has run up win sequences before and escapes penalty for apprentice race win

thought Back to Dubai might be the one in that race but not really that convinced in a trappy heat
our two pays 12/1 for a RevFore

Fell's form is abysmal though he did have a close third the rest have run like drains and that might be harsh on drains

Like you say, very trappy. More of token selection but he should still run well. The racing tomorrow is looking a bit better to me.
It looks a poor race with most having a dislike to winning. GL Nec

vwd Whippin Piccadilly

even the pre race drift didnt matter, mine poor

Cheers NEC. I no longer let a horse drifting put me off. I just think over a course of a season it levels out as long as my selection process remains sound.

Lingfield's lost is Wolverhampton's gain tomorrow with 4 races being shown on ITV. In their opening race, I can't see how a 10lb rise will stop Palace Boy. Artisan Dancer, who reoposses isn't a bad type, got the run of the race LTO and Palace Boy most certainly didn't. But the unfavouble race setup didn't stop PB powering clear to land a very nice gamble. He looks a class 3, maybe even a class 2 animal.

Well done with Bobby Joe Leg yesterday Whippin. While some of the others were trying to get organised, he got on with it.

Good thread lads..

Fancy two today

Dundalk 6-00 Dromantine

4yr old who kept on well winning comfortably over CD off 69 in 2yr old days for tonight's jockey, decent run when third again over CD last month and now wears first-time blinkers with that outside draw that I like at Dundalk..


Dundalk 7-00 Mauras Gift 

CD success in November 2022 off higher, two narrow misses of late and raised 1lb for both, Donagh O'Connor replaces usual apprentice

gl Billy just away to look at cards though got my wifes beady eye over me today

NIKKI'S GIRL (3.25) did not get the best of ride/luck last run. Last winning rider back up, claims 5.

Fair shout at 12/1.

ATHOLLBLAIR BOY (7.15) Got going a bit last time. Will do for the ew double at 10/1.

Good luck.

Well done WP

Newcastle 4-45 Novak

The 5yr old grey returns to the distance where he was only pipped by a neck just before Christmas for today's jockey in this grade, the well backed in-form favourite has to prove capable in this better grade..

I was very sweet on that one Billy Got a much better price than SP but nowhere near that tasty 5/1 a few of the bookies were offering. Some people on here don't think you need bookmaker accounts.....

Good luck to you and Barstool with those value priced plays

I think Bobby can bring the 3 timer up (in the right race) Werbie. Probably back at Newcastle. GL today lads

Long time since he's won off 60+ but he's in good form

One for tomorrow. The grandly named Winter Oaks at 3.10 Lingfield is just a fillies handicap and none are rated 90. That said, Andrew Balding has kept Eleanor Cross in training for Cheveley Park. Still a maiden but only raced 4 times so I will risk £1 each way.

The most competitive race on the card. GL Sage. I think I have one but I'll have to play closer to race time.

I hope you went in and had a single, Barstool. WD

Pity Nikki's Girl went on a tour of Wolverhampton.

Yes WP. Nice end to the day.

GL tomorrow.

Tropez Power -2.00 Lingfield

This horse travelled really well on his comeback at Newcastle after a 6 month break. Although he did meet some trouble in running this has been exaggerated in the reports. The jockey never got too busy with him after the slight interference and this looked like a classic comeback run where he wasn't expected to win. His last performance at Lingfield, in Feb 23, when 2nd, was in a fast time and better than any horse in this race has achieved over CD in the last 18 months on my figures. Available at 10.5 for the win and 2.36 to be in the 4, and with a draw in 4 that should be ideal, he looks primed for a big run under regular jockey Jason Hart. In what admittedly is a pretty competitive race, Starshiba also looks overpriced based on his course speed figures and might also be worth a small bet. Good luck today everyone.

Arctician 12.15 looks to have a decent ew shout at 12/1 with a decent draw to work from under David Probert, who has ridden a few of todays field in recent times. Ought to know the time of day with it at least.

Like your analysis cob - v competitive race that one, so my pick is LAY: Dragon Icon. On it's comeback this is a big ask IMO.

GL Barstool, found this race  a bit tricky for a bet but got Dayman and Thapa Vc just best with Arctician 3rd in

Oh So Grand is the jolly & although the top weight granted a clear run should win the Oaks race.
Should confirm the form with the Gosden rnr even though 4LB wrong from their last meeting,when
1st & 2ND (C&D).Made up a good bit of ground,going away from the field at the finish.Reproduces
that run will take some beating again in this.Not an original choice but do think she'll win.
2/1 on here atm.
   GL ALL

Well done with Athollblair yesterday Barstool.

Good luck today guys , lingers too tricky for me, calmer waters at Wolver hopefully

Solid enough run from Arctician to get second. See Paul Kealy in the Post put the winner up.

Good pick, UL. Hugh Taylor put up the winner too.

Thanks cobs, not aware of the HT selection, no doubt the reason for the 13/2.

Good run from yours Barstool. GL with your plays Penzance & Cobs. I'm looking at Wolverhampton for my best bet!

Like your analysis cob - v competitive race that one, so my pick is LAY: Dragon Icon. On it's comeback this is a big ask IMO.

Pretty pleased with that one as my play of the day!

WD Stu! Looked the first beat.

WD Stu, no complaints with mine, 5th obvs

cheers fellas, was a tough heat that.

One night Stand no match for Pepsi Cat 2 runs back.....

WD Penzance. Looked competitive enough on paper but she looked like Group class beast there.

nice one Penzance

Yeah well done! Not much pace on but she came from behind and shredded them!

Taking on the Cloud here

Well done Whippin!  Hope you were on.

I'll kick off today with a lay. 12.52 Ling. Cervetto been well backed, not convinced the combo of 7f and Polytrack will be his cup of tea. Horses that finished either side of him at Dundalk either stayers or moderate ratings. Leicester and Wolver runs not too exciting either imo. Currently 2.42. Good luck guys!

Moving on

Fair play Bobby you legend!

Bobby running up a sequence ( its in the trainers DNA )  Whippin, hope you were on.


Couple for tomorrow

Oliver show 7.00 Newc Came from bhnd in a slow run race at same track fin well. Entered in the lincoln but will need to go up a fair bit to get in currently 4s

Aim for the Moon 5.30 Newc Also running on from a way back steady run affair Kemp. Been on the radar since 3rd May last year so hopefully tomorrow shows what she's made of. Fair mark 5lb claim currenty 9s 

Good luck!

I did play Werbie. His record in class 5's isn't great but seeing how strong he was at the line LTO and the price tempted me in again. Incredibly, he looked even stronger at the line for his latest win....this improving 10yo can go in again!

GL with those Werbie. I have a few bets lined up for Newcastle too and I'll throw them on here.

Blue Prince not sure these are his conditions so its a lay

looks useful all right but maybe not today

Out of the places, well done.

Avery competitive looking Newcastle card this evening, and so it should eb with some decent prize money on offer.

5.00 - Plenty in with a chance. The 3 I'm looking at are Turpinator but I'd prefer him at 7F. Winter Crown who looks the best long term prospect for the upcoming Turf season but will he be ready for today? And Mighty Power who beat the likely favourite with a bit up his sleeve LTO but will need plenty of luck in running.

Any thoughts on this trappy race lads?

*A very

Thought Gulliver might get the strong pace he needs here the 2 draw wont matter too much and Billy the Kid might just be the one to get
this one home again, absolutely bolted in at Southwell at a Racing League fixture in August off a lb lower mark
a race where the form worked out pretty well and strong enough in the betting here (atm) to suggest its fancied

gl chaps

Couldn't rule him out NEC, but will he get the strong pace he needs here? I don't seen a whole lot of pace on. I will probably play IR on this one.

Whippin. Deffo improving at 10. Chaplins club won 9 races as an 8yo so you never know. Maybe Bobby's just getting going

So I've backed 2 at Newcastle but it has to be a rare event for me to bet there pre race.
Probably end in tears.
I liken it to bingo with such a wide range of goings and generally no pace.
Can be the British version of Dundalk

Not looked at the other races. Best of luck!

Got through on the PP, that's all I can say about that one.

Let's hope so Werbie!

Also, that'll shake the rust off Winter Crown

lost a few quid on Gulliver but tbh still feel sickened by that Musselburgh incident
might just have a watching brief tonight as it looks tough to say the least

Read about on here....sounded desperate. Yeah, no pace on for Gulliver there NEC. It's very tricky but there's a couple of Fahey horses I'm playing at what i consider very fair prices.

Parthenopeaus could be a spot of value to upset those at the top of the market in the 6.30. This horse took an age to get to the track debuting as a 5yo here a couple of weeks ago. The penny really dropped late on and he pushed one I consider to be a fair sort all the way to the line, even though that one got the run of the race. I think this extra furlong will be just the ticket. Hopefully he can make up for lost time starting tonight.

Unlucky with that one deffo got an engine!

Yes, race didn't pan out as well as did for the winner.

Oliver taking a bit of a walk surprised about that. Top2 will be difficult to beat tho

Nice one Werbie.... don't let the drift put you off

Cheers. Would have put me off 20 years ago

Still in the PP....7 & 10 in the last race. Won't pay much though.

Against Freetodream here

Not sure it will have the toe for this

The monkey How Impressive put his best hoof forward today. Interesting that they removed the visor but it might just be that Lingers is his place with form figs now reading 221

Good call Werbie

Thanks. Slim pickings today

Try and get Baldomero short in run

Could have gone a lot shorter