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HappyHibby
16 Jan 24 08:02
Joined:
Date Joined: 18 Oct 02
| Topic/replies: 4,271 | Blogger: HappyHibby's blog
only synthetic flat racing today...

there's always Australian Open tennis for anyone interested i suppose.
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Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 8:09 AM GMT
Rybakina 1.13 to beat Pliskova...

probably the most ridiculous 1.13 i have ever seen in my lifetime tbh.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 8:19 AM GMT
Rybakina loses here opening serve and goes out to 1.27...
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 8:21 AM GMT
2-0 Pliskova...

Rybakina 1.41 now.
Report Trident • January 16, 2024 8:29 AM GMT
Won't be any jumps this week, I expect. It's going to get even colder!
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 8:30 AM GMT
pre-match win predictor...

Rybakina 81%...

Pliskova 19%...

so roughly 1.25 v 5 (i think).
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 8:30 AM GMT
probably spot on tbh Trident.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 9:13 AM GMT
Pliskova misses 3 set points...

Rybakina takes the 1st set in a tiebreak...

Rybakina 1.07 now...

having traded at a high of 1.71 for reasonable money.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 9:55 AM GMT
Rybakina gets the job done...

plenty of scope for profit for Rybakina layers tho...

1.13 was madness imv.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 10:07 AM GMT
Newcastle gone now ?????

CryCryCry
Report N-east Correspondent • January 16, 2024 10:55 AM GMT
think that's the jump meeting on Thursday HB
no word of AW being off today
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 11:25 AM GMT
Newcastle disappeared on the Horse Racing home page tbh NeC...

i see it's back now tho.


Crazy
Report doorman99 • January 16, 2024 1:55 PM GMT
Hibby, give us one of these each day whilst no jumping can you please. Seem to know your stuff on the tennis, thanks in advance.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 1:57 PM GMT
well i will try my best tbh doorman...

i follow Rybakina very closely and i normally have a fair idea what price i would think about backing her at...

will pop something on here for tomorrow's games at some point tho doorman...

but don't lose money on my say so.
Report swiftynifty • January 16, 2024 2:02 PM GMT
i thought she won.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 2:05 PM GMT
Rybakina won swifty yes...

she was the wrong price tho...

imv.
Report doorman99 • January 16, 2024 2:05 PM GMT
Nice one, no won't but such short price trades on tennis, need to get back into it whilst weather bad.
Report swiftynifty • January 16, 2024 2:05 PM GMT
i'd rather have backed her than layed her.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 2:08 PM GMT
swifty...

i think if you backed her 8 times at 1.13 to beat Pliskova...

you'd make a loss over the 8 games...

that's how i look at it tbh.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 2:08 PM GMT
will take a look doorman...

leave it with me.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 2:26 PM GMT
doorman...

having had a quick look nowt is standing out for Wednesday tbh...

i like to go on first instinct tbh...

if i think 'how the hell is she that price' it's a good sign...

and nothing really stood out tbh...

will take another look later but i'm thinking it's a learning day tomorrow tbh...

sorry to be a spoil sport.
Report chavman • January 16, 2024 2:42 PM GMT
Thread title could do with a bit of work imo
Report doorman99 • January 16, 2024 2:44 PM GMT
No worries. Now Wincanton gone, any word from Ludlow?
Report ribero1 • January 16, 2024 3:22 PM GMT
Newbury gone.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 3:47 PM GMT
serves them right for switching to ATR tbh.
Report doorman99 • January 16, 2024 3:49 PM GMT
Totally agree, an awful decision.
Report mitolo • January 16, 2024 3:50 PM GMT
well done hh. the first sensible thing youve ever come out with, after 1 million attempts

lore of averages
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 3:51 PM GMT
what else did they do that was a shocker ?

was it not a Christmas fair that went t1ts up or something ?

cost them thousands.
Report The Pies • January 16, 2024 4:17 PM GMT
It's enabled them to up prize money by £800k this year when the Jockey is standing still and it appears ARC is reducing theirs.
Report doorman99 • January 16, 2024 4:36 PM GMT
But we have to watch Josh, Mick and co instead of Lucky and Lydia, that's the problem.....
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 4:41 PM GMT
i won't be watching them...

i can 100% guarantee that.
Report 1st time poster • January 16, 2024 4:50 PM GMT
unless you can be arsed dancing your way round the dedicated  streaming service on a busy sat,when was the last time your heard anytyhing more than a min before race and next to nothing post race at a big sat newbury meeting from lucky/lydia/melish etc,morew likely watching a maiden from tramore or down royal
Report doorman99 • January 16, 2024 5:09 PM GMT
Hennessy day (Coral Gold Cup). They made a good job of that.
Report acey deucy • January 16, 2024 5:11 PM GMT
Sad to see my Hero Andy Murray go out with a whimper.Sad
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 5:13 PM GMT
he's been finished for ages acey...

should jack it in tbh.
Report acey deucy • January 16, 2024 5:22 PM GMT
Far from finished he can still give the top guys a fright as he has shown...I agree he Wont Win another Grand Slam though.
Report mitolo • January 16, 2024 5:25 PM GMT
yet more bollox from the poofter

its uncommon to have a clash on rtv and 95.364% of the time there isnt one. and even if there was a clash every race every day and it resembled celebrity squares its still miles in front of the garbage channel
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 5:34 PM GMT
he's finished acey...

he knows himself he's finished...

just a case of finding the right time to say enough is enough...

probably get a wildcard at Wimbledon and that will be that.
Report acey deucy • January 16, 2024 5:38 PM GMT
Naw a couple of Years left yet.
Report HappyHibby • January 16, 2024 5:39 PM GMT
i mean he could carry on playing until he's 50 if he wanted to...

plenty of low grade tennis going on..

but at the top level he's finished...

game set and match finished.
Report HappyHibby • January 17, 2024 6:31 PM GMT
doorman...

even tho she will probably win...

Rybakina at 1.06 against Blinkova is a price i couldn't have personally...

i've seen Blinkova a few times and altho she will never win a big tournament...

on her day she can be decent...

if you are trading i wouldn't go OTT...

lay at 1.07 and back at anything around 1.2ish would be reasonable but clearly it is up to you...

and again i repeat...

don't lose your dough on what i say...

but if you want a bit of early morning entertainment and are happy to lose a few peanuts then you could do worse than this imv.
Report HappyHibby • January 17, 2024 6:33 PM GMT
Ostapenko at around 1.28 is too short also imv...

Tomljanovic is pretty decent imv...

she will have the home crowd...

again don't go overboard on my say so...

and i would trade out if you get a profit that suits you (if that is the way it goes)...

and again don't lose money on my account but for a bit of fun you could do worse imv.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 8:16 AM GMT
Raducanu v Wang...

pre-match win predictor 65% v 35%...

so roughly 1.5 v 3.0 (i think)...

Betfair had Raducanu at 1.32 pre-match...

which i thought was interesting.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 9:17 AM GMT
Blinkova breaks...

Rybakina 1.19 now.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 9:22 AM GMT
Blinkova 3-1...

Rybakina now 1.23/1.24 ish.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 9:42 AM GMT
1st set Blinkova...

Rybakina now 1.47...
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 9:48 AM GMT
Rybakina pre-match win predictor 85%...

1.17 (i think)...

1.06 on here.
Report sageform • January 18, 2024 9:49 AM GMT
Back to the thread title. I can't see any turf racing before Lingfield on Sunday so we need to get used to AW flat. Monday only one meeting at Warwick but then it gets better on Tuesday with Newbury.
Meanwhile enjoying Raducanu comeback so far.
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 9:51 AM GMT
Boulter gawn Raducanu just about to be gawn.Plain
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 9:52 AM GMT
Raducanu just about to fold like a cheap suit.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 9:55 AM GMT
Blinkova breaks in set 2...

Rybakina 2.3 now...

looks like Elena has fluffed her lines...


AGAIN.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:00 AM GMT
Rybakina breaks back...

1.48 Rybakina now...

SurprisedSurprisedSurprised
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 10:13 AM GMT
Raducanu feigning illness...Fooling nobody.Plain
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:16 AM GMT
what's wrong with her now acey ?

broken leg ?

arm fell off ?
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 10:16 AM GMT
Even the commentators thinks she is putting it on.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:17 AM GMT
my god...SurprisedSurprisedSurprised
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 10:18 AM GMT
Taking the p1sh big time.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:20 AM GMT
somehow Rybakina levels...

1 set all...

Rybakina 1.16 now.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:20 AM GMT
Brit commentators slagging off Emma ???

SurprisedSurprisedSurprisedLaughLaughLaugh
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 10:22 AM GMT
Acting career awaits ffs.
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 10:22 AM GMT
Had me well fooled.Plain
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:24 AM GMT
she'll be presenting The One Show in a few years i reckon acey.
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 10:26 AM GMT
Possibly.Grin
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:34 AM GMT
Rybakina in big trouble now...

Blinkova breaks in final set...

looking grim for Elena fans imv.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 10:50 AM GMT
Emma's gone...

good learning curve tho...

i blame the strong wind personally.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:01 AM GMT
Rybakina somehow levels at 4-4...

1.26 Rybakina now.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:07 AM GMT
Blinkova breaks again...

serving for the match...

Rybakina 3.3 now.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:10 AM GMT
Rybakina breaks back...

5-5...

Rybakina 1.28 now.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:10 AM GMT
who will fall over the line here ?
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:14 AM GMT
hideous stuff now...

Blinkova breaks again...

6-5 up...

Rybakina 3.2 now.
Report acey deucy • January 18, 2024 11:21 AM GMT
First to Ten ffs to long.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:21 AM GMT
Rybakina breaks back...

6-6...

super tie break now...

Rybakina 1.67 now.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:54 AM GMT
well played Blinkova...

back to the drawing board Rybakina...

lassies tennis...

unbelievable.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:54 AM GMT
£3.3m matched.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 11:57 AM GMT
Ostapenko 5-0 up...

oh dear...

CryCryCry
Report 1st time poster • January 18, 2024 12:31 PM GMT
EMMA is alergic to winning apparently the only cure is to win more
so the DR said thats you well and truely  FOOKED EMMA LaughLaugh
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 12:39 PM GMT
small profit there on Ostapenko if you wanted it doorman...

after a 1st set whitewash i reckon that would've been a good move tbh.

5-3 Tomljanovic 2nd set...

Osta 1.38...
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 12:44 PM GMT
Tomljanovic takes set 2...

Osta 1.55 now.
Report doorman99 • January 18, 2024 1:12 PM GMT
Good stuff hibby!
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:17 PM GMT
it's a rollercoaster doorman...

hope you had some fun at least.
Report doorman99 • January 18, 2024 1:20 PM GMT
Ya ace thanks
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:24 PM GMT
Osta wins 2-1...

always entertaining imv.
Report doorman99 • January 18, 2024 1:29 PM GMT
My trading advice would be to lay whoever goes odds on first in the golf and work from there. Last week great fun with Rory, the water magnet, 1.4 but sure he will have gone lower than that and Henley in Usa 1.8, they came 2nd and nowhere near.
Report Hayden • January 18, 2024 1:29 PM GMT
Traded lying in bed Hibby , both Ostapenko and Rybakina are on my 34 player trading list so compelled to get involved.

Good call mate  Happy
Report doorman99 • January 18, 2024 1:30 PM GMT
Ya superb, hibby knows his tennis.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:31 PM GMT
oh golf doorman...

not for me tbh...

the slobbering commentators would push me over the edge tbh.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:31 PM GMT
thanx Hayden...

whoever advised you to put Rybakina on the list is a sensible chap imv.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:32 PM GMT
i wouldn't go that far doorman tbh...

most games i look at i think the odds look like someone is way too short...

i just got lucky today in picking out two that actually worked out tbh.
Report Hayden • January 18, 2024 1:34 PM GMT
Good long term Golf strategy that Doorman , i get involved but never lay above 1.25 ( have fudged to 1.29 on rare occasions ) in any sport in-play which is just my personal choice , keep some risk back for the basement ballpark odds though.


Good luck  Happy
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:34 PM GMT
Tausan v Azarenka still going on...

should be a good 3rd set imv.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:35 PM GMT
the 1.25 in play thingy is sensible tbh Hayden...

i think if it was me i'd go a bit further tbh...

but if you found a nice price that makes constant profits then why change it tbh...

think i'd go 1.1 and under if i did it tbh.
Report 1st time poster • January 18, 2024 1:37 PM GMT
problem with betting on tennis,womens tennis especialy is you might, god forbid be tempted to watch it Devil
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:38 PM GMT
Hayden...

you seen anywhere that gives you a pre-match win predictor % at all ?
Report Hayden • January 18, 2024 1:44 PM GMT
I do go under Hibby or at least have that option , work out the risk i'm prepared to lose on the match , use 1.25 as a starting point but play either 70/30% or 80/20% so i've always got reserves for the much lower odds if/when they appear , that strategy works great because it gives you more scope to green back earlier than a flip flop if you hit a spot that instinct tells you to take the money there and then.
Report Hayden • January 18, 2024 1:47 PM GMT
1st time poster

I have that exact feeling about flat racing , no interest with in-running or watching replays and all that stuff so rarely watch a race live , just follow the exchange odds.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 1:49 PM GMT
HappyHibby

Hayden...

you seen anywhere that gives you a pre-match win predictor % at all ?

----------------------------------------------------------------------

????
Report Hayden • January 18, 2024 2:00 PM GMT
Never look tbh mate as i never back pre-match , used to use tennis court site but that was years ago , my betting partner has created a software package predicting outcomes but it doesn't fit with the way i play the game as i'll never go back to backing before the game starts again for sure.
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 2:10 PM GMT
no that's fine Hayden thanx...

just out of interest...

how did your mate price up the Rybakina game pre-match ?
Report HappyHibby • January 18, 2024 2:11 PM GMT
pre-match pricing up is something i'm keen to develop tbh...

i think it's the key to success personally.
Report Hayden • January 18, 2024 2:35 PM GMT
It wouldn't be for me in all honesty , there's far too much either guesswork or research required in the following.....

-Are the protecting points from last years tournament
-Are they motivated
-Are the sufficiently fit
-Which players are most vulnerable in the very early rounds
-Do they want to exit fairly early to acclimatise for a bigger tournament next week
-Are they in the event just to please the sponsors
-What are the head to heads

There are more but majority of those become less oblivious when the match has started and many in-players don't use any criteria apart from what they see in front of them , so the above is not taken into a/c

If i was involved in the tour and travelled around the globe i'd say pre-match would be a fantastic way to make money but you only tend to find out the strange occurences after the horse has bolted , whereas in-play gives you many chances to read between the lines.
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