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Top 3 rated in each race as follows :-
1.20
Rocco Storm = 53
We'll Go Again = 53
Jackhammer - 51
1.50
Landofsmiles - 78
Powerful Position - 77
Jony Max - 75
2.20
Jelski - 84
lermoos Legend - 78
Sean Og - 69
2.55
Cofficionado - 64
Carmentis - 57
Balboa = 55
Gifted Angel = 55
3.30
My Gift To You - 64
Secret Secret - 55
Coal Fire - 54
4.05
Native Fighter - 58
Tip Top Tonto - 51
Unwanted Attention - 46
4.40
Shantou Sunset - 67
Bon Retour - 59
Jumping Susie = 56
Spot On Soph = 56
Good luck , Reynard .
1.20
Rocco Storm = 53
We'll Go Again = 53
Jackhammer - 51
1.50
Landofsmiles - 78
Powerful Position - 77
Jony Max - 75
2.20
Jelski - 84
lermoos Legend - 78
Sean Og - 69
2.55
Cofficionado - 64
Carmentis - 57
Balboa = 55
Gifted Angel = 55
3.30
My Gift To You - 64
Secret Secret - 55
Coal Fire - 54
4.05
Native Fighter - 58
Tip Top Tonto - 51
Unwanted Attention - 46
4.40
Shantou Sunset - 67
Bon Retour - 59
Jumping Susie = 56
Spot On Soph = 56
Good luck , Reynard .
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Replies: 36
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Sorry for aftertime, but how was Roccos Storm top there - first beaten in first circuit and didn't have anything going for it for me.
Not knocking it, but just wondering how top rated (went off around 40) |
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50's sorry
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Pittsburg 1.03 steelers
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lone danger wouldnt go past
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stu - Sorry about that . Didn't realise it was gonna run like a drain .
To make up for it I'll find you a 50/1 top rated that's going to bely it's odds at another meeting and post it on here as a special bonus for yourself  |
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PS. The first horse beaten was Bandit d'Ainay , but that's just me being pedantic
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JUst couldn't work out a factor that would put it anywhere near top, that's all? Wondered which factor gave it that score?
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stu • August 28, 2023 1:39 PM BST
JUst couldn't work out a factor that would put it anywhere near top, that's all? Wondered which factor gave it that score? Trainer Win/Place strike rate  |
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Fair enough - maybe my own reading was placing more emphasis on it's lack of a run (and I guess the market did that too)...
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raynards ratings are his ratings, doesnt really matter how he rates them. he doesnt charge for them and my guess is he probly get some decent price winners
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free speech boogie, it's a forum...
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OK stu , just for you ...............
Chepstow 2.50 Havana Sky - 53 Secret Bid - 52 Leguizamo = 50 History Awaits = 50 Currently available to back @ 65 on exchange (40/1 sportsbook)  Good luck , Reynard . |
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I've got some 4/1 about Milton Harris horse, Balboa in the next
Long way for him to send one up from Warminster And nice to see money for it, first time over obstacles Gl all |
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I've had a small interest on Cofficionado but agree with you regarding Balboa and interesting runner in the 1st time hood . Good luck to you , Reg
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I never back blind on any ratings, but GL with it.
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I don't expect anybody to back 'blind' on anything . Use in conjunction with ones own form assessment .
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Knew my fate early on
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OK stu , just for you ...............
Chepstow 2.50 Havana Sky - 53 The longshot top rateds not quite firing today then. |
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It's a long game if you're backing longshots though...
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what I meant earlier is that I wouldn't bet or 'use' a rating that I had no info on how it's constructed. Unless there was a massive winning record linked to the ratings I could see...
I'm just interested in how ratings are constructed though, in particular for top rated. |
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The formula is based on statistics eg. Trainer form , Jockey/Trainer comb , Course/Race history etc.
Ratings + Form analysis = PROFIT !!! |
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Do you adapt/change your ratings system e.g. weightings for different variables?
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I'm not willing to go into any further detail beyond my 3.08 post .
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Bad day at the office for the top rateds then today...
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1 in though, so something good.
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How are you doing overall in results, e.g. top rated? Have you recorded it.
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Yeah , I guess so . Grateful for small mercies me
 Definitely in profit but not all meetings posted on here . Of those that are I'm showing a level stake profit of somewhere between 10-20% (industry sp/Betfair sp) . |
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Long term game for sure yes, so just have to keep it above the line -commission...
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Should say 10-20% before commission (Industry sp not subject to commission) .
For example I posted my 2021 Derby ratings an hour before the race and backed Adayar @ 50/1 . But only documented it as a 16/1 winner because that was the returned sp . So in reality it was far more profitable for myself and my private clients than it was actually recorded |
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You also have private clients?
Didn't realise that... |
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Should have had that 80/1 instead!
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Never in a million years , stu
Ratings now developing seconditis  |
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Yes, you've had a few crossbars today, which is always annoying I know.
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When Michael Chapman has a winner I can afford to have a loser
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