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onlooker
07 Jul 23 18:45
Joined:
Date Joined: 18 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 40,518 | Blogger: onlooker's blog
Dead-Heat 2nd in a 3-way PHOTO Finish

Passed practically every other horse in  the Final Furlong - weaving in and out up the far rail  - But ...

Would you Back it Next Time ?

06Jul23
Bel Hc 6K    1m    Y    9-9 p    3/15 btn 1L What Adaay 9-1    12/1    J M Sheridan    55    55    —
14Jun23
Lim Hc 6K    6½f    Y/Sft    9-3 p    5/14 btn 2½L Cnodian 9-7    8/1    G F Carroll    57    46    63
01Jun23
Fai Hc 6K    6f    Gd    9-13 p    3/18 btn 7½L Secret Road 9-12    17/2    S Foley    59    32    53
16May23
Sli Cl 6K    6f    Gd/Y    9-5 p    5/13 btn 4L It'll Do My Day 9-2    100/30    R Whearty7    58    49    62
13May23
Nav Hc 6K    5½f    Sft    9-5 p    3/23 btn 3¼L Markievicz 8-5    16/1    R Whearty4    58    30    65
14Apr23
Dun Hc 6K    7f    St    9-11 tp    5/14 btn 1½L Storm Eric 9-10    7/1    S Foley    59    22    67
06Apr23
Bel Hc 6K    1m    Hy    9-8 tp    7/14 btn 8L Tellthemi'mhere 9-11    9/1    S Foley    61    1    56
24Mar23
Dun Hc 8K    1m    St    9-13 tp    5/13 btn 3L Ellabella 9-9    11/1    S Foley    62    38    67
16Mar23
Dun Hc 5K    5f    St    10-0 tp    7/12 btn 8L Sam's Xpress 8-8    7/2    C T Keane    63    34    60
10Mar23
Dun Hc 6K    7f    St    10-0 tp1    5/14 btn 2¾L Mullacash Buzz 9-7    18/5    C T Keane    63    36    69
17Feb23
Dun Hc 6K    7f    St    9-2 p    3/14 btn 1½L Jered Maddox 9-13    4/1    R Whearty7    63    41    68
15Feb23
Dun Hc 5K    6f    St    10-0 p    4/13 btn ½L Hero Of The Hour 9-5    4/1    W J Lee    63    45    74
01Feb23
Dun Hc 5K    7f    St    10-2 p    3/13 btn 4¼L Circles 9-4    9/2    C T Keane    65    46    74
27Jan23
Dun Hc 6K    7f    St    9-11 p    5/13 btn 3¼L Macadam's Rock 8-13    11/2    C T Keane    65    51    72
04Jan23
Dun Cl 5K    7f    St    9-11 p    5/14 btn 3½L Capuchinero 9-9    9/2    Sam Ewing3    66    44    71
16Dec22
Dun Hc 6K    7f    St    9-10 p1    6/14 btn 3¼L Is That Love 9-6    7/1    W M Lordan    67    38    70
09Dec22
Dun Hc 6K    6f    St    9-9    4/14 btn 1¼L Inishmot Prince 9-7    5/1    R P Whelan    67    62    78
30Nov22
Dun Hc 5K    6f    St    9-7    4/12 btn 1¼L Inishmot Prince 9-9    7/1    R Whearty7    67    64    77
23Nov22
Dun Hc 5K    7f    St    9-5    2/14 btn hd Linus Larrabee 9-1    11/1    R Whearty7    67    63    77
11Nov22
Dun Hc 6K    6f    St    9-6    7/14 btn 5¼L Hodd's Girl 9-6    11/2    Gavin Ryan    72    45    68
09Nov22
Dun Cl 5K    6f    St    9-11    7/14 btn 4¾L Gobi Star 9-12    7/1    J Coen5    72    30    73
16Oct22
Naa Hc 8K    6f    Sft    8-8    13/14 btn 10½L Earls 9-7    10/1    S Foley    72    34    49
07Oct22
Dun Hc 6K    7f    St    9-4    3/14 btn 1¼L Super Over 9-13    8/1    James Ryan7    72    41    78
26Sep22
Dro 3yHc 8K    5f    Y/Sft    8-1    4/7 btn ¾L Shoebox King 8-9    6/1    J Powell7    70    48    77
23Sep22
Dun Hc 6K    6f    St    9-6    3/14 btn ¾L Rocky Dreams 9-12    33/1    R Whearty4    70    61    75
03Sep22
Nav Hc 6K    5f    Y/Sft    10-4    15/20 btn 14L Ever Rock 9-10    40/1    D O'Connor    75    20    35
24Aug22
Bel Hc 7K    5f    Gd    9-7 h    4/10 btn 3¾L Tide Of Time 9-4    33/1    D O'Connor    76    34    71
04Aug22
Leo Cl 5K    7f    Gd    9-2 h1    10/10 btn 21L Cedar Rapids 9-1    8/1    G F Carroll    —    —    16
28Jul22    Changed Trainer notification: Richard Fahey to James McAuley
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Report stewarts rise July 7, 2023 7:07 PM BST
The support for it suggested it was well fancied but the sharp 5fs put me off, layed it at 3.6 and backed IR at 23, was hoping it would get up on the line. If it stays around same mark with a similar 5lbs claimer think you'd want to back it over 6/7fs in similar company. Entered at Dundalk next Wed over 1m.
Report saddo July 7, 2023 7:27 PM BST
Is this one of them cryptic freds?
Report ProSniper July 7, 2023 7:32 PM BST
It's a dancing fred, saddy. It opens @ 6:30pm and you must wear scarlet to enter..
Report onlooker July 7, 2023 7:49 PM BST
You never know with James McCauley   - stewarts

Probably go and run it in a Claimer over 1m2f next - or something strange like that.

Don't know what he is feeding them - His earlier Winner set of in front - and that was that.

Wouldn't mind some it myself.
Report onlooker July 7, 2023 8:19 PM BST
Not being evasive - saddo.

There are enough Answers on here - let alone clues   ...

- aswell as another Thread on the race  (Bellewstown 6:30) - which I  cross-referenced on, too.
Report onlooker July 7, 2023 8:58 PM BST
Morning price: 10/1 11/1 12/1 11/1 10/1 8/1 15/2 7/1 13/2 11/2 9/2 3/1 9/4)
(Ring price: 9/4 85/40 9/4 85/40 2/1) SP 2/1fav

slowly into stride and towards rear, no impression 1 1/2f out, pushed along and headway on inner early final furlong, 5th over 100 yards out, kept on well between horses closing stages, just failed
Report saddo July 7, 2023 8:59 PM BST
Now now onlooker, If I filled over a foot of column space I'd find room for the name of the hoss, or the race.
Report onlooker July 7, 2023 9:14 PM BST
I posted All it's Form.

All you had to do was - look up it's latest outing ... where it shows that it finished 3rd

06Jul23  Bel Hc 6K    1m    Y    9-9 p    3/15 btn 1L What Adaay 9-1    12/1    J M Sheridan    55    55    —

- and you have got the horse.
-----------------

How else do you make your Bets Selections? - for all the other races.

Any method less than the above - and you are Beaten before you put a bet on.
Report stewarts rise July 15, 2023 2:49 PM BST
Chance to test the form of that race with the not quite so fast finishing My Girl Sioux, who by and large went unnoticed running on strongly into 4th, looks to have a good draw today, looks to be improving after running a decent race behind h'cap blot So Majestic 3 runs ago, extra furlong should help, not certain to appreciate the soft ground by Sioux Nation but the dam was by Mastercraftsman which certainly did, hopeful of a big run, think Distillate which would have been my pick has a big draw disadvantage to overcome.
Report stewarts rise July 15, 2023 3:07 PM BST
Ran a cracker, possibly the extra furlong was too far but travelled very strongly most of race, traded about just over 2.5 IR, find a race soon as will Distillate.
Report roadrunner46 July 15, 2023 6:05 PM BST
No, unluckiest horse was a jumper who smashed into the last fence taking out the poles on the outside , when it was going to beat its stable mate, 400/500 bet on that, that followed another big bet on a horse that broke down after 2f on the flatSad
Report stewarts rise July 16, 2023 11:35 AM BST
Roadrunner had the cheek to call Onlooker an aftertimer! At least he posted his actual bets Roadrunner in his story, not like your aftertiming where you can't even post the horses name.
Report shoodacoodadidnt July 16, 2023 11:43 AM BST
For anyone who cares - the horse's name was Scarlet Dancer - I was the other poster - have a look at the race - was pretty incredible - not quite Arazi but getting there. :)
Report CagliariG July 16, 2023 11:44 AM BST
Stewarts,do you concentrate mainly on Irish racing? Not something I get involved in tbh but you seem to have a grasp of the apprentices etc,did wonder during our team compy?
Report stewarts rise July 16, 2023 12:37 PM BST
Yes Glen i do like low grade irish racing the h'caps. They tend to have really good apprentices coming through regularly and if you cotton on to them early claiming 7/10lbs then they are worth their weight in gold. Try to avoid the better class races where O'Brien the clan are involved and multiple entries.
  Pretty sure i was the first poster to mention Raquel Blackmore when she was a 10/7lb claimer and how strong she was and Micky Sheehy and Sam Ewing were others who caught my eye a couple of years ago, Wesley Joyce was another but had a bad injury and more recently Adam Caffrey and Robert Whearty are worth a good look when on a horse with a bit of a chance. Caffrey and Whearty in particular have had loads of rides but still claim 5 and 7lbs respectively. I really believe that Caffrey will be irish champion jockey in the not to distant future, the clock in his head and judgement of pace and ability to get a horses head up on the line is 2nd to none. Have a look at his ride on Zig zag zyggy in Scarlet Dancers race, the only place the horses head was in front was on the line, not before and not after absolutely brilliant.
  When replacing an established jockey on some horses can mean turnarounds of 10lbs to a stone with other horses for a couple of lengths. As you know i look for decent priced horses that i can bet EW 1st 4/5 like that MGS yesterday backed at 21 on here, put a keep bet lay in at 3 to double stake, which was matched and backed at 14/1 with 2 bookies 1st 5.
  I find not many english people like myself are interested in low grade irish racing as (it's all bent) and obviously just like here there are plenty of not offs but you can usually spot them and as i'm not backing short prices doesn't really affect my thinking.
  Usually the draw pays a large part in a poor run which is why initially i was looking to back Distilate (look at my Irish horse ratings) thread to find out why i quite fancied it, but was mainly to do with a horse called So Majestic, but having seen that a low draw was not the place to be yesterday, i doubted it could win, but still ran best of those drawn low finishing 6th, so backed MGS instead drawn in 22 of 22.
  If you look at form in races that most people aren't interested in, then you can usually get an edge i find.
Report freddiewilliams July 16, 2023 2:07 PM BST
Fav yester that reigns broke on
Report stewarts rise July 28, 2023 2:21 PM BST
Fancy him tonight Onlooker? Gone up 3lbs, no 5lb claim could make it difficult, presume he's running Pulse Of Shanghai to make the pace for him but whether he can peg him back is debateable, Eruption looks best in of the front 3 last time but 13 draw may be aq disadvantage, interesting sprint.
Report stewarts rise July 2, 2024 5:59 PM BST
wonder if this will prompt Onlooker to get typing again, nearly a year since it's Arazi type performance, usually manages to be slowly away but led this time.
Report stewarts rise July 6, 2024 3:17 PM BST
Wonder if Scarlet Dancer will blitz out of the stalls again under this young Kidd, must have a good chance of following up if doesn't blow the start again. Tricky sprint with others who have developed a bad habit of blowing the start. American In Paris would have an ew chance if getting away on terms, ran a cracking race here last year when drawn opposite side, Wesleys horse Iva Batt also looks well h'capped now.
Report stewarts rise July 6, 2024 3:32 PM BST
The Kidd couldn't quite keep his mount going collared towards the finish, traded under 1.5 though finished 4th with American In Paris trader about 2.6 i think holding on for 5th for ew backers.
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