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Gaze733
06 Jun 23 20:20
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 12,282 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
E.g. Greek giant at 2.2, the second fav was at 9.1 and the rest at double digits. In races where the second fav is at 3.5, third at 5.0 and fourth at 6.0 there's a better chance the fav will lose.
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Report UnluckyForSome June 6, 2023 8:32 PM BST
You are just trolling at this point Laugh
Report Regbutler June 6, 2023 9:08 PM BST
Are you suggesting shorter priced favs win more often than longer priced favs?
Think you might be onto something there
Report geoff m June 6, 2023 9:18 PM BST
Well i never .Got this game by the bollax has Gaze.
Report Gaze733 June 6, 2023 9:33 PM BST
Sometimes a fav is at evens and the second fav is at 2/1, other times the second fav is at 8/1. I'd rather lay the fav in the first case because the second fav is good enough to beat him. Whenever I see these obvious favs with no real opposition according to odds, they never lose.
Report tanglefoot June 6, 2023 9:59 PM BST
Keep going Glaze that golden goose is just around the corner.
Report Shanelee1966 June 7, 2023 7:33 AM BST
[img]https://community.cdnbf.net/community.betfair.com/user/shanelee1966/ec2...
Report Shanelee1966 June 7, 2023 7:34 AM BST
Be careful, i`ve only ever known one who gave away secrets on here.
Never to be seen again a few weeks later........
Report howard June 7, 2023 10:24 AM BST
It all depends on how much better the fav ( if it's a younger horse taking on more exposed types )  is than it's rating whether it is suited to the distance and the surface turf or AW.  All this requires talent experience and hard work to study each individual race and horses. Something you strongly appear incapable of doing.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps June 7, 2023 10:56 AM BST
more complete and utter unconsequential nonsense from the forums greatest ever spazmoider..



ʷᵃˡᵒᶠˢ
Report sageform June 7, 2023 11:52 AM BST
How do you define useless? All rated below 50, 55, 60?
Report Gaze733 June 7, 2023 12:01 PM BST
those with double digit odds
Report longbridge June 7, 2023 12:09 PM BST
"Sometimes a fav is at evens and the second fav is at 2/1, other times the second fav is at 8/1. I'd rather lay the fav in the first case because the second fav is good enough to beat him."

My constant struggle to guess Gaze's motivation is definitely trending more towards "longest-running windup on the Forum" with that one.
Report Manoleeds June 7, 2023 12:31 PM BST
Ignoring overrounds if  a favourite is evens, the oddscompiler's view  it is equally likely that it will win or that something else will. If it is more likely to win because the next shortest price is 10/1, then it won't be even money anymore.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- June 7, 2023 1:01 PM BST
Surely it's easily searchable how favs get
on in differing standards of racing.
Report sageform June 7, 2023 1:11 PM BST
The idea that all horses with double digit odds are useless is laughable. Do you mean opening show, 5 minutes before the off or SP? Almost all horses with 6 runs and still rated below 50 are useless but if the race is 0-50, one of them will be favourite and one will win.
Report geoff m June 7, 2023 1:41 PM BST
Surely  where the second fav is at 3.5, third at 5.0 and fourth at 6.0 you would lay em all to a liability of everything you had in your account and just take the guaranteed 10% return whatever the outcome.
Report Tiger Tiger June 7, 2023 2:09 PM BST
Gaze, logged on to your latest forum post/venture at 13.59, took me 5 minutes to create an easy system for you,and 5 more to post it, backfitted of course -

National Hunt only,
6 year old clear favs in Class 1 to 4 races
Its last race was in a Class 2 to 5 race
Has had between 5 and 9 runs this season
Give them a miss if they fell or were pulled up lto.

Easy peasy for you to work out, justs 5 minutes every day, just a couple of bets a week and a 39% strike rate.

Let me know how much you lose.
Report Gaze733 June 7, 2023 2:10 PM BST
@geoof didn't say it's a 4 runner race
Report Gaze733 June 7, 2023 2:11 PM BST
@tiger what's the roi?
Report Tiger Tiger June 7, 2023 2:12 PM BST
At Bfsp - 13.23% over the last 18 years.
Report Gaze733 June 7, 2023 2:22 PM BST
not bad, only mugs would lay those
Report geoff m June 7, 2023 2:29 PM BST
Gaze73307 Jun 23 14:10Joined: 15 Mar 12 | Topic/replies: 9,527 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
@geoof didn't say it's a 4 runner race.



Some of your comments beggar belief.
So what happens if there are more than 4 runners??
Report Gaze733 June 7, 2023 3:19 PM BST
I was just testing you, you passed!
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