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Larabrown
16 Apr 23 14:39
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Date Joined: 04 Jun 20
| Topic/replies: 1,290 | Blogger: Larabrown's blog
Today's Racing Tips from Andy Holding
Today's Racing Tips from Andy Holding
Andy Holding | 08:37 Sunday 16th April 2023
Andy Holding is back with four tips from today's action.
14:25 WincantonSee All Odds

EL MUCHACHO (best price 9/2) stayed on well enough in the closing stages at Bangor last time out to suggest he has a future beyond two miles and with today’s test providing a decent opportunity to back up that view, Milton Harris’ grey can reward solid each-way support.

A dual winner earlier in the season over the minimum trip, the son of Walk In The Park faced the prospect of a whole half a mile further at the Welsh venue last time out and in what turned out to be a reasonably-run affair, he kept on well from two out to finish a creditable third to the useful Jungle jack (ran well at Aintree this week).

Although both his two victories came on soft ground, he’s more than capable of performing to a decent level under quicker conditions and with a cruising speed to suggest he’s likely to be going as well as anything turning for home, it’ll be just a case of whether he can finish the job off in the latter stages.

El Muchacho
El Muchacho
Wincanton 14:25
1pt E/W
5/1
14:35 CurraghSee All Odds

Time Tells All was always likely to be a popular choice second time around following his promising debut effort at Navan on his debut, but whether the overall level of form of that maiden at the Co Meath venue entitles him to be quite so short in the betting is open to debate (very slow time figure).
Both Cape Bridgewater and Deakin will also have their supporters, but the one they all might have to be all wary of is BRIGHT LEGEND (best price 6/1) who shaped with an equal amount of encouragement on his opening bow over today’s track.

Not expected to cut much ice judged on the market here 22 days ago, his starting price of 25-1 must have quadrupled when he fell out of the stalls and lost at least five lengths on the field, but to fair to the son of Zoustar, he didn’t make a bad job of the latter part of the race and it’s those closing stages that offer up plenty of hope for the future.

Despite not obtaining the clearest of runs inside the final two furlongs, Fozzy Stack’s inmate finished off his race with enough purpose to suggest he has a decent amount of ability and with the likes of Something Nice and Broadhurst already advertising the form of the race in a positive vein subsequently, a chance is taken he can follow suit over a trip that should play into his strengths.
Pause Switch to Standard View I suppose, at some point, we might...
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Report ashleigh April 16, 2023 2:43 PM BST
did they win.Laugh
Report 11kv April 16, 2023 2:52 PM BST
14.39  Nice post.

I won 26k on the double (e/w)

Thanks
Report Larabrown April 16, 2023 2:53 PM BST
Both winnings bets, yes. Do you not understand the notion of each-way betting? And this was yesterday FYI:



14:25 Aintree

WEST BALBOA (best price 7/1) hasn’t run since putting up a sterling effort in the Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton back in January, but that long pause isn’t such a bad thing considering the gruelling nature of that race and, off what still appears to be a fairly workable handicap mark, Dan Skelton’s mare can emulate the stable’s previous winner of this contest, Aux Ptite Soins.

Shaping as though slightly in need of the run following a 339-day break on her seasonal return, the daughter of **** was rather pitched into the lion’s den on just her fourth race under rules, but that didn’t stop her beating a 20-strong field of quality handicappers at the Sunbury venue, of which only four lasted the test.

Entered in the Grade 1 Mares Hurdles at the Cheltenham Festival until the five-day stage, it’s clear she’s held in some regard at home and with the seven-year-old having a similar profile to Roksana before she went through the ranks, there’s every chance this improving and game type can do the same.

West Balboa - 0.5pts e/w @ 7/1
15:00 Aintree

IRISH POINT (best price 7/1) presumably bypassed Cheltenham with a view to come here relatively fresh and with Gordon’s Elliott’s inmate arguably holding some of the best singular bits of form to his name, there’s a decent chance that prudent policy can by vindicated.

A creditable runner-up to subsequent Supreme winner, Marine Nationale, in the Grade 1 Royal Bond at Fairyhouse earlier in the season, he went on to fill out the same position when chasing home Ballymore second Champ Kiely in the Lawlor’s Of Naas at the same level next time out. Outpaced and never a factor when dropped back in trip behind Facile Vega at the DRF, the five-year-old made no mistake in much calmer waters at Naas last time and with today’s step back up in trip seen as a positive, another solid run should be forthcoming from this consistent sort.

Irish Point - 0.5pts e/w @ 7/1
15:35 Aintree

HOME BY THE LEE (best price 11/2) ran an extraordinary race in the Stayers’ Hurdle at Cheltenham a month ago and after leaving the impression he was probably pound-for-pound the best horse in the race, Joseph O’Brien’s gelding can back up that theory against similar opposition.

Well-positioned coming to the one in front of the stands first time, he made such an error it caused him to lose his hind end and, as a consequence, he got shuffled back right through the pack. Despite that potential race-ending incident, he somehow worked himself back into a challenging position approaching the last and he ended up finishing his race off as well as anything in a close-up fifth.

A convincing winner of his two previous starts against similar opposition to what he faces today, the eight-year-old can put matters of what happened 31 days ago right.

Home By The Lee - 1pt e/w @ 11/2
16:15 Aintree

ELDORADO ALLEN (best price 9/1) has been dining at the very top table for much of his life, backed up by the fact he’s yet to run in a handicap chase, so with connections probably coming to the conclusion his chances of winning at Graded level nowadays are remote, Joe Tizzard’s grey can hopefully make class tell.

Runner up in the Charlie Hall and Betfair Chases respectively, the nine-year-old grey hasn’t quite managed to run up to the same standard on three subsequent starts, but considering he’s been up against the very best chasers around, he deserves to be cut some slack.

An honourable last of seven finishers in the Gold Cup, he’s been dropped to mark which should give him a chance of being competitive again and with the ground coming in his favour, a chance is taken his can return to former glories.

Eldorado Allen - 0.5pts e/w @ 9/1
17:15 Aintree

Having already advised Corach Rambler and Mr Incredible several months ago, the temptation not to add another to the list has been a fairly easy one to resist up till now, but having looked at the race again with a totally blank canvas, it’s hard not to come to the conclusion GAILLARD DU MESNIL (best price 14/1) has to be worth a small interest at the current odds.

Although Ruler The World was still a maiden over fences coming into the National, it’s worth noting Mouse Morris’ second-season chaser had loads of top-class form in Grade 1’s, as well as being runner-up in an Irish National prior to coming here and that’s exactly what the son of Saint Des Saints has on his CV.



Proving that he stayed 3m5f well on only his fifth start over fences, it was that stamina he showed at the Co Meath venue which ultimately gained the day in the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham on his latest start. Whether he would have caught Malher Mission had he not tipped up at the second last is open to debate, but the way he powered up the hill was in the style of a horse who will keep galloping until he drops.

Added to the mix the touch of class he has to go alongside his sound jumping technique, and Willie Mullins’ inmate has every chance of being bang there at the business end with a clear round.

Gaillard Du Mesnil - 0.5pts e/w @ 14/1
18:20 Aintree

It’s been a while since Nicky Richards had a potentially top-class young horse in his care, but in the shape of FLORIDA DREAMS (best price 28/1), the Greystoke handler might just have one that takes him to a few big Saturday dates further down the line.

The Doyen gelding took a while to get into top gear when making a winning debut at Musselburgh back in January, but he looked really good in hitting the line hard and his winning time and backend sectionals backed up the visually impression he created.

Saved specifically for this race since, the rain that has fallen in the last 24 hours will have enhanced his chance and he could well turn out to be the joker in the pack.

Florida Dreams - 0.5pts e/w @ 28/1
Report Rico-Dangleflaps April 16, 2023 2:58 PM BST
I won 34k on the double (e/w)

Thanks
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