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28 Oct 22
17:30
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Date Joined:
22 Apr 04
He is my latest jockey to follow in Ireland, this young lad looks so calm and cool in a race, take a look at his winning ride on Saltonstall last weekend, how confident a ride did he give that, last to 1st in the straight, yes the horse itself was in form and a very good miler but to have the audacity to ride it like that as a 7lb claimer was quite amazing to me at least, had a few rides last year but this is his 1st full season riding.
He's riding at 10% sr, but with another 30 horses placed in 1st 4, thats 43/127 horses in 1st 4, better than 1 in every 3. All his winners so far have been on older horses 4+ but i'm sure that will change as they put him on younger horses in future.
Has 3 rides tonight don't hold too much hope for horse in 5.30, drawn out wide but other 2 rides look interesting.
His ride on Carnival Girl seems to hold a very decent chance and i've backed EW 1st 4 and 1st 5, other horse Pulse of Shanghai is a multiple course winner and is drawn in 1, feel sure he'll try to make all on this and could trade a fair bit shorter IR, 1m may be slightly too far, will come back to Carnival Girl later.
He's riding at 10% sr, but with another 30 horses placed in 1st 4, thats 43/127 horses in 1st 4, better than 1 in every 3. All his winners so far have been on older horses 4+ but i'm sure that will change as they put him on younger horses in future.
Has 3 rides tonight don't hold too much hope for horse in 5.30, drawn out wide but other 2 rides look interesting.
His ride on Carnival Girl seems to hold a very decent chance and i've backed EW 1st 4 and 1st 5, other horse Pulse of Shanghai is a multiple course winner and is drawn in 1, feel sure he'll try to make all on this and could trade a fair bit shorter IR, 1m may be slightly too far, will come back to Carnival Girl later.
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Carnival Girl runs in the 6.30 Maiden race and looks well overpriced at 33/1, didn't have her 1st run till a year ago at Newmarket for Godolphin a decent 4th to Golden Lyra with a certain Nashwa 1/2 length in front of her, nto ran 3rd of 9 at Lingfield btn 2 lengths, nearly all the horses behing her down to 7th have won races since with ORs from 75-85. Upped in distance nto weakened final furlong btn 3 1/2 lengths in a race thats had a few winners from, all 3 races started favourite.
Horse got shipped over to France running in the provinces and generally disappointed on turf but nearly lost her maiden tag on final outing.
Godolphin got rid in the summer and now racing for Mcguinness, 1st run over 7fs finishing strongly btn just 3/4 length by an 81 rated horse, 4th horse came out and won by 9 lengths on turf over further now rated 85.
Young lad takes 1/2 stone of tonight, there may well be better horses in this race but surely she's not a 33/1 shot back up to 1m, she takes a bit of rousting along and wears a visor, related to lots of good winners.
Horse got shipped over to France running in the provinces and generally disappointed on turf but nearly lost her maiden tag on final outing.
Godolphin got rid in the summer and now racing for Mcguinness, 1st run over 7fs finishing strongly btn just 3/4 length by an 81 rated horse, 4th horse came out and won by 9 lengths on turf over further now rated 85.
Young lad takes 1/2 stone of tonight, there may well be better horses in this race but surely she's not a 33/1 shot back up to 1m, she takes a bit of rousting along and wears a visor, related to lots of good winners.
That was disappointing, hope his last ride does better.
The horse i quite liked Carnival Girl ran poorly no excuses and can't be attributed to the jockey but i'll continue to give a brief (or long winded) appraisal of his rides, unless you tell me you're not interested.
Has 3 rides again today at Galway and can give decent chances to 2 of them, as some will know i like to find value in EW bets rather than backing favs.
His ride in the 2.15 maiden Jackandthefox doesn't appear to have much chance of winning but as it was its debut run behind Vocal Studies where he missed the break but did run on, wouldn't be the greatest surprise if he improved on that run to be a big priced outsider who grabs 3rd/4th, what i find daft is that Good Time Johnny who also missed the break and finished behind Adams horse is 14/1 against Jackinthefox at 80/1, i'm definitely laying AJ Martins horse for a place.
Adams next ride is for the only other trainer bar McGuinness that he's ridden a winner for, ridden Speckled Meadow on all 4 runs this year 2613 all over further than todays 7fs, but a prominent racer and had led 2fs out when won over 1m and heavy ground should help. Have backed EW 1st 5 at 6/1.
Last ride, which is most interesting to me is Stellify in 4.00, from my viewpoint really fits the bill, just 1 win from 37 races on turf but 14 places in 1st 4. If you take away runs on Good or GF ground that becomes 12 places from 25 runs, clearly a better horse when the ground is soft 272234 and last when gurgled at Killarny recently, Heavy form 22317,10,3 oddly that 10th place was in this race last year and i'm hoping that was down to being over the top as didn't race afterwards last year, in the 2020 renewal was unlucky not to win, again on heavy when got sandwiched out and forced wide home turn, ran on well just btn from todays mark, won his only race at the Curragh a week later from 5lb higher, interestingly it was 7lb claimer Sam Ewing who rode that day and was on a hat trick, don't expect Adam will be on a hat trick but could possibly be on for an EW double these last 2 rides, have backed Stellify at 12/1 1st 5.
Has 3 rides again today at Galway and can give decent chances to 2 of them, as some will know i like to find value in EW bets rather than backing favs.
His ride in the 2.15 maiden Jackandthefox doesn't appear to have much chance of winning but as it was its debut run behind Vocal Studies where he missed the break but did run on, wouldn't be the greatest surprise if he improved on that run to be a big priced outsider who grabs 3rd/4th, what i find daft is that Good Time Johnny who also missed the break and finished behind Adams horse is 14/1 against Jackinthefox at 80/1, i'm definitely laying AJ Martins horse for a place.
Adams next ride is for the only other trainer bar McGuinness that he's ridden a winner for, ridden Speckled Meadow on all 4 runs this year 2613 all over further than todays 7fs, but a prominent racer and had led 2fs out when won over 1m and heavy ground should help. Have backed EW 1st 5 at 6/1.
Last ride, which is most interesting to me is Stellify in 4.00, from my viewpoint really fits the bill, just 1 win from 37 races on turf but 14 places in 1st 4. If you take away runs on Good or GF ground that becomes 12 places from 25 runs, clearly a better horse when the ground is soft 272234 and last when gurgled at Killarny recently, Heavy form 22317,10,3 oddly that 10th place was in this race last year and i'm hoping that was down to being over the top as didn't race afterwards last year, in the 2020 renewal was unlucky not to win, again on heavy when got sandwiched out and forced wide home turn, ran on well just btn from todays mark, won his only race at the Curragh a week later from 5lb higher, interestingly it was 7lb claimer Sam Ewing who rode that day and was on a hat trick, don't expect Adam will be on a hat trick but could possibly be on for an EW double these last 2 rides, have backed Stellify at 12/1 1st 5.
Think Martin will have some explaining to do if his horse lands this gamble, btn over 40 lengths by the fav a week ago, having it's 1st run on the flat as a 7 yo! Has won over jumps but much further.
£1 EW Trixie won't break the bank - let's see how he does.
Thought i was going barmy when i saw the money for AJ Martins horse, never sighted!
Backers liked that one didn't they backed into about 3/1.
Not to be, found one too good but the place double landed, as well as the winner. Think you probably made a small loss on the trixie Longbridge but thanks for showing an interest.
£5.63 returned to £8 staked - and some fun watching three races.
Tanks @stewarts rise for providing some cheap fun.
Tanks @stewarts rise for providing some cheap fun.
Cracking claimer isn't he, hope his other ride on Skontonovski is just as good, but a tough race.
Won 4 of last 5 rides, not bad is he! Just wish i'd backed them!
good spot Stewarts, that last winner all best runs over 7f including CD off 4lb lower
one to come in last and well fancied
one to come in last and well fancied
Yep stewarts knows the secret.
242 rides thats the reason he's now making hay.Thats the key , unlike billy this kid has learnt ringcraft.
242 rides thats the reason he's now making hay.Thats the key , unlike billy this kid has learnt ringcraft.
Must have a good chance on his last ride as well ZZZ.
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