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06 Jul 22
15:57
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25 Aug 05
Bollin Neil trading at evens when 15 lengths back. Finished 20 lengths back.
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Replies: 8
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anything on the snaff 3 out attracts backers..2 bob in ev box it goes short quick.
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You are onto something Rico. Now we have Red Royalist. 50s at the off. Cantering at 3f, traded 5/2. Finished last.
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are punters lazier than ever then and do no homework iyo?
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They are just very bad at applying Bayes Theorem whereby the A Priori probability of winning needs to be taken into account. They seem to be ignoring the fact that before the race the horse was 50/1
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What about the ever changing/new pictar theorem?
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horse travels well..trading at 20..punter clicks £100 at 1.1..£1-3 in every box..
get 20--3/1..averages 6/1..not value = long term loss..simples. |
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Punter is hamstrung by BF bots. No over-ride he misses the '20' by split second, he misses the 10 by split second, he ends up with sfa.
And goes mad. |
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The only way is to average up and down the ladder. Using such a wide override when markets are as thin as Rizla skin.. is senseless.
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