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the front of the market take out a huge chunk and in all likelyhood no suprise if any one of the front half dozen win ,it dont look a deep race and i like the chance of 2 at bigger prices ,GIOVANNI BAGLIONE from an up and coming yard who have decent stats wins to runs stats especially with 3 yos is a well bred type who cost a good bit and the trip should suit yard 1 from3 last 2 weeks .
also at a massive price probably pishing in the wind here but as said it dont look that deep a race and CONNIES ROSE this one travelled well for a good way and was green but plugged on well to finish 6th in a maiden class5 at chelms on debut should improve and the price just looks too big imo.
selections giovani baglione 11/1 each way & connies rose 100/1 b365 each way 90/1 e.w 4 places and 60/1 5 places b365 is the way i have played and will be playing in the 4 place markets on here . obviously backing in these type of races requires a lot of luck and guesswork but id rather be guessing at big prices than short.
selections giovanni baglione 11/1 each way bog & connies rose 100/1 each way
also at a massive price probably pishing in the wind here but as said it dont look that deep a race and CONNIES ROSE this one travelled well for a good way and was green but plugged on well to finish 6th in a maiden class5 at chelms on debut should improve and the price just looks too big imo.
selections giovani baglione 11/1 each way & connies rose 100/1 b365 each way 90/1 e.w 4 places and 60/1 5 places b365 is the way i have played and will be playing in the 4 place markets on here . obviously backing in these type of races requires a lot of luck and guesswork but id rather be guessing at big prices than short.
selections giovanni baglione 11/1 each way bog & connies rose 100/1 each way
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I think you've chosen a good race to look elsewhere. It's always dangerous to extrapolate from SFs gained on debut, but none of the runners with form have yet run to a SF of 62 that would be sufficient to win a 7f Novice here. In fact, they nearly all fall well short: Vespasian (49), Jade County (49), Applaud Now (57), Hold The Press (43) and Connie's Rose (40).
I've only had a brief look, but From a small sample size (9) Joseph Parr hasn't had a decent debutant on the AW since September 2020. However of the 4 debutants on, or prior to, this date 3 would probably win this comfortably. Could be random chance, change of philosophy or nothing at all.
There could be an argument that one should effectively treat Yukon Star as a debutant - given he had one run, was gelded and Godolphin persist with him.
Good luck.
I've only had a brief look, but From a small sample size (9) Joseph Parr hasn't had a decent debutant on the AW since September 2020. However of the 4 debutants on, or prior to, this date 3 would probably win this comfortably. Could be random chance, change of philosophy or nothing at all.
There could be an argument that one should effectively treat Yukon Star as a debutant - given he had one run, was gelded and Godolphin persist with him.
Good luck.
Vespasian by sire Acclamation,good sire a/w
Yukon Dream by sire Oasis Dream,good sire A/w,but been gelded ?
Applaud Now by sire Acclamation,colt,most prob winner
Difficult to beat these top three in betting
Yukon Dream by sire Oasis Dream,good sire A/w,but been gelded ?
Applaud Now by sire Acclamation,colt,most prob winner
Difficult to beat these top three in betting
Good luck foyles, as I've said before don't really bother much with novices but combined with Davros SFs could well be a race for an outsider.
I see where you're coming from Foyles and have followed you in on the 4,5 and 6 places on bet365
The horse looked a big type on its debut and hope the run, although 100 days ago, has brought it on.It didn't get the clearest of runs into the straight when the others quickened
Trouble is Kellys on board so it could be there for the run
I not a big fan of Kempton form at the other aw tracks so have had a bit on Applaud Now at the top of the market
Davros, we need to catch up, missed you!
The horse looked a big type on its debut and hope the run, although 100 days ago, has brought it on.It didn't get the clearest of runs into the straight when the others quickened
Trouble is Kellys on board so it could be there for the run
I not a big fan of Kempton form at the other aw tracks so have had a bit on Applaud Now at the top of the market
Davros, we need to catch up, missed you!
yeah kelly was my concern tbh , hopefull of a place in the 6 will do .
Let em have it 12/1
First run but has been well supported.
First run but has been well supported.
disappointing finishing effort, coming into the straight I thought we'd be ok
Still we had a go!
Still we had a go!
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