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happysandwich
29 Mar 21 12:51
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Date Joined: 06 May 10
| Topic/replies: 4,473 | Blogger: happysandwich's blog
Because the poster Lil said he has paid for his summer holidays laying Newsboys tips I’m going to start a thread called “LAYING TIPSTERS” with the results of these 3 tipsters taken from the Sporting Life Naps table.

Daily Mirror - Newsboy
Wolverhampton Express - Andrew Bladen
Daily Post - Mercury

THESE ARE THE SIMPLE RULES

1.  Lay at odds NO bigger than BFSP 6.00
2.  Anything bigger than BFSP 6.00 = NO BET
3.  Lay to win a fixed amount e.g. £10

Starting with 5% of a £200 bank see how far we get (paper trading).

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Replies: 22
By:
happysandwich
When: 29 Mar 21 12:54
    Daily Mirror        Newsboy                                                   
    Wolverhampton Express        Andrew Bladen                                                   
    Daily Post        Mercury                                                   
                                                               
            Horse Name        Position        Odds        BFSP        Lost        Won        No Bets   
    Monday 29th March                                                           
    16:10 Fontwell        Jersey Wonder                                                   
    15:30 Wincanton        Ballybough Nora                                                   
    5:30 Stratford        Crystal Moon                                                   
                                                               
    Tuesday 30th March                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Wednesday 31st March                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Thursday 1st April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Friday 2nd April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Saturday 3rd April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Sunday 4th April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                    Weekly Totals        £0.00         £0.00            
                                                               
                                    Losing bets         0                   
                                    Winning bets        0                   
                                    No Bets        0                   
                                                               
By:
shiny new shoes please
When: 29 Mar 21 13:01
Cool
Ya can lay the  bigger odds  selections IR if they hit your 6.00
By:
Andrew.in.Sweden
When: 29 Mar 21 13:06
Good luck Happysandwich Happy
By:
Gaze733
When: 29 Mar 21 13:20
I tried a similar thing and it was a waste of time. There was a nap table of about 50 tipsters, I paper laid the bottom 10 and it broke even.
By:
i_agree_with_nick
When: 29 Mar 21 13:22
Good luck with this, Happy.

How about laying the most popular nap?

I would have thought individual tipsters will blow hot and cold but the horse tipped by the most papers will be overbet.
By:
happysandwich
When: 29 Mar 21 14:19
Shiny Shoes,

"Ya can lay the  bigger odds  selections IR if they hit your 6.00"


Far too complicated for me, I like to keep things simple but feel free to try I/R yourself.

Thanks, Andrew

It’s simply anyone who wants just 3 Lay bets a day, risking 15 points if they all happen to win @ BFSP 6.00.
When was the last time you picked a win treble?

Gaze733,

You're probably right but it’s only a bit of fun after all.
The bottom tipsters all seem to go for outsiders to try to catch up that’s why the BFSP 6:00 limit.

I Agree With Nick,

I just selected 3 at random but included Newsboy because the poster Lil said he gets his holiday money off of him.

Perhaps we could all meet up on the same beach this year?Laugh
By:
cardifffc
When: 30 Mar 21 07:59
Think i read that in all the years he has been newsboy Dave Yates had never finished with a positive total at the end of the season.He is currently just over 4ps down though a few weeks ago he was about 5pts up.
By:
Gaze733
When: 30 Mar 21 09:57
Why not lay Jersey Evening Post? -90pts to level stakes so far.
By:
happysandwich
When: 30 Mar 21 11:14
Cardifffc,

All these so-called Tipsters are no better than you or me and it’s only punters who believe otherwise that keep them in a job.
With the 3 I’ve selected I think you would break even over a period of time and that’s the best you could hope for.

Gaze733,

“Why not lay Jersey Evening Post? -90pts to level stakes so far.”

It’s the biggest outsider in the field @ 40/1 at the moment (£400 to win a tenner) and you might get away with it 399 times if you’re lucky.

The BFSP 6.00 limit is a well-proven safety net against a freak result that could wipe you out.
By:
General Midwinter
When: 30 Mar 21 11:31
The BFSP 6.00 limit is a well-proven safety net against a freak result that could wipe you out.

Just lay to a fixed loss if that's your concern
By:
happysandwich
When: 30 Mar 21 13:15
General Midwinter,

I only bet for fun and if I can break even I’m happy.

Paper traded the fixed loss and found it wasn’t worth the effort.

I’ve been laying Hat Trick Seekers to win £10 a time since I put Boris’s £200 in my account on 5th December.
At this moment in time, I have £220.31 and actual Screenshots of every bet since then (all 24 Pages) to prove it.

Andrew, who I am in email contact with, has copies of them.

Very few on here are £20.41p up after 4 months. Believe me.Laugh
By:
happysandwich
When: 30 Mar 21 13:19
£20.31p up after 4 months.
Sorry.
By:
happysandwich
When: 30 Mar 21 13:38
Make that £205.71 Cry

Lay (Bet Against)
Backer's odds Backer's stake Your liability
Peltwell
2.46
£10.00
£14.60
Ref: 228596161012 Submitted: 13:27 30-Mar-21
By:
wotsupdoc
When: 30 Mar 21 13:53
what time are todays selections being posted please ?
By:
happysandwich
When: 30 Mar 21 14:33
Wotsupdoc,

If you look on the RP you can see the 3 Tipsters selections sometimes late at night.

https://www.racingpost.com/tipping/naps-table/

    Daily Mirror        Newsboy                                                   
    Wolverhampton Express        Andrew Bladen                                                   
    Daily Post        Mercury                                                   
                                                               
            Horse Name        Position        Odds        BFSP        Lost        Won        No Bets   
    Monday 29th March                                                           
    16:10 Fontwell        Jersey Wonder        1st        2/1        3.15        (£21.50)                   
    15:30 Wincanton        Ballybough Nora        P.U.        2/1        3.20                £10.00            
    5:30 Stratford        Crystal Moon        6th        3/1        5.55                £10.00            
                                                               
    Tuesday 30th March                                                           
    4:00 Fakenham        Mr Jack                                                   
    3:35 Warwick        King D'argent                                                   
    3:35 Warwick        Generous Day                                                   
                                                               
    Wednesday 31st March                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Thursday 1st April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Friday 2nd April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Saturday 3rd April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
    Sunday 4th April                                                           
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                                               
                                    Weekly Totals        (£21.50)        £20.00            
                                                               
                                    Losing bets         1                   
                                    Winning bets        2                   
                                    No Bets        0                   
                                                               
By:
The Management
When: 30 Mar 21 15:04
This is so laughable (again) that I can't be bothered to point out (again) ALL of the flaws (and the lies) - but you are using BFSP, so ffs at least be honest enough to deduct the commission!

It's 50/50 that a monkey with a pin (or even Gaze) would be in profit if BF were to give him back all of his commission paid!
By:
duncan idaho
When: 30 Mar 21 15:07
Blush
By:
The Management
When: 30 Mar 21 22:20
Happy - if you want any clarification on why this is laughable, riddled with flaws (and lies) please let me know.

I'm more than happy to discuss it with you on THIS thread.
By:
wotsupdoc
When: 31 Mar 21 21:44
thankyou happysandwich i found the table

i noticed whilst perusing the above that Lee Sobot of the Yorkshire Evening Post has now given 12 consecutive winning naps

at odds of 3/1 8/11 5/4 8/13 evens 5/2 4/6 8/15 30/100 4/11 1/8 and todays at 10/11 ....a few shorties there but nonetheless

an impressive run.....has anybody beat this previously i wonder?


thursdays nap by him is aventuriere in the 7.20 at chelmsford....currently a 6/4 chance....will it be unlucky 13?
By:
hulk23
When: 01 Apr 21 19:14
lee's looking good for 13 ...
By:
tanglefoot
When: 01 Apr 21 19:18
4/6
By:
wotsupdoc
When: 01 Apr 21 21:52
wins @ 2/5.....biggest danger French Mistrel = non runner

fridays selection Indie Angel 2.35 Lingfield......best price 10/11 nobetvictor and bet 36.5p
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