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I was looking at tomorrows Ascot Maiden hurdle and it seems way too competitive with top yards competing with some nice types.
I thought "no bet" but then I saw Alan King's record at Ascot in Maiden Hurdles:
20 runners, 5 winners (25%), ROI: 250%.
That is some record. He last struck in 2014 (with Simply A Legend) and since then a few placed efforts.
He runs: Royal Pretender (by Great Pretender) and it's 20/1!
This is my idea of a (small) bet in the race. I think its great value. Other than that your guess is as good as mine....
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I thought "no bet" but then I saw Alan King's record at Ascot in Maiden Hurdles:
20 runners, 5 winners (25%), ROI: 250%.
That is some record. He last struck in 2014 (with Simply A Legend) and since then a few placed efforts.
He runs: Royal Pretender (by Great Pretender) and it's 20/1!
This is my idea of a (small) bet in the race. I think its great value. Other than that your guess is as good as mine....
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Royal Pretender went into my notebook after rattling home last time out, still running green and finished fourth, this is tougher, much tougher but at the price, worth a win and place bet with in running lay off.
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cheers for that Tiger... I couldn't venture picking between the other 3 so this seems like a good idea for a small bet £ to enjoy the race!
G/L tomorrow, Tiger. I will have more thoughts in the morning! |
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Any rain will be a big plus for this French bred. 'Showers' are expected.
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Tiger Punts
I am trying to pick you brain if the fav bolts up in the race what price would it be for the Albert Bartlett and what price should it be today for the ab TIA have a nice evening regarda Ronnie. |
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Hi Ronnie,
For those backing the Fav the form of the Henderson yard has to be a concern. This is why I see this race being wide open including King's having a shot at a crazy price. I would not put anyone off any of the 4. It's a tough one to call... G/L |
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Ronnie, the AB is the most gruelling race of the festival imo when you take into account the ages of the entrants and that they are all novices. Should the Henderson horse win tomorrow you would still want to see 50/1, unless tomorrows performance is something special which looks unlikely, the horse so far has proved to be dodgy at his hurdles.
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Punts
thank you the reason I asked I want a score on fav to win the albert Bartlett but not one firm or ex have got him priced up. thanks again Ronnie. |
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Tiger
thank you have a nice evening regards Ronnie. |
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Tiger: Will there be a 3 TBP market tomorrow? If backing the place do it in that because of the previous runners King has had in races like this a lot have come 3/6 etc.
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Its hard to trade out in the minor markets.
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good luck ,i like the shape of the 1.30 ascot might be some value once the markets sort themselves out ,interesting race ,
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Punts I can't find anything in the pedigree to get excited about. Great Pretender isn't exactly a stand out NH sire unlike Flemensfirth, Getaway and even Scorpion. The dam and grand dam have not produced anything decent.
The Edgar Wallace is a half brother to Black Hercules Time Flies By, the dam has produced 4 good winners and the granddam Celestial Gold and Fiveforthree Good luck with your bet. |
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Thanks mrcombustible it's just a value bet. King has the best record in Maidens @ Ascot in the race
 & I can't choose between the others.. |
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Now 12/1 .........
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Punts - Where do you source your stats? Interesting. I only have access to the last five seasons data
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gibo: do you have email? post it
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Punts can you direct message me on here?
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Done gibo. I think.
I had to switch to new community etc. I hope you got it? |