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1.15 Cartmel
Finisk River
Really like the chance of this one it won very easy last time over the course beating a horse that had a rating on the flat in the 90s the second fav
only has a rating in the 70s I know it's a tenuous link but a link none the less.
I make it a very good bet at 4/7 or better the fact you can bet a lot better than that at the moment I would advise taking the price now.
Good luck
Seaside
Finisk River
Really like the chance of this one it won very easy last time over the course beating a horse that had a rating on the flat in the 90s the second fav
only has a rating in the 70s I know it's a tenuous link but a link none the less.
I make it a very good bet at 4/7 or better the fact you can bet a lot better than that at the moment I would advise taking the price now.
Good luck
Seaside
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Good luck seaside. You have obviously spent a lot of time to hunt out this nugget of a selection. Sadly my level of betting really rules me out of such speculative bets.
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I’m in Seaside some 1.75 available, Should be under 1.5 in my book, one to beat but that’s taking some money so presumed fancied but can’t see it.
All aboard the seaside express. |
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Also on at 1.75. Oh, I do like to be beside the seaside! Let's hope it wins like last nights greyhound.
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Backed the 2nd favourite here.
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8/13 about a hoss stepping up half a mile in trip. His first run suggested he did not get home but was that lack of stamina or lack of fitness?
Yes, he will probably win but at that sort of price, I'd want him to already have proved he stays. |
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PPP in form is like a red rag to a bull for me so Reign Back Dancer for me E/W at 66/1 :)
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Generally I think betting horses with such an obvious chance who are unproven in conditions against other unexposed horses is a fantastic method of losing money in the long run.
In this particular instance you have the favourite who over 2.5f shorter raced freely through most of the race and then seemed to run out of gas. Today he runs against a horse who stayed 2m on the flat well, is stepping up 2f and looks somewhat progressive. It seems you can't win here - a slow pace and the favourite may pull too hard, a fast pace and his stamina's under the microscope. On top of that is his best form really that far ahead of the second favourite's? I am in firm agreement with Ramruma. I do wonder whether the way to play this particular race is selling length supremacy between the two horses at 3.5 with a spread match bet. That or not bet at all. |
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It's proven on soft ground over a trip,
just beat in a 3m p2p on soft ground staying on well. |
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I ignore point to point form as a stamina indicator for rules racing so as far as I'm concerned it's unproven at the trip.
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Well it's 2/5 at the moment so I imagine seaside's already cleaned up
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3m in a PTP is same distance as 3m under Rules.
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It often doesn't translate - particularly in hurdles races which are run much quicker.
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Themightymac, having been to several p2ps over the years some of them are slowly run and in all truth would be 2m 6fur max...
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Nice one Seaside.
Keep up the good work. That one went to the toilet before they put it in the stalls.  |
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Bolts up!! Just like me, came home alone. Needs to brush up on his hurdling but possesses a serious engine. Is it too early to mention Albert Bartlett?
 Nice one Seaside. |
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Hattrick for Seaside.
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Work rider, all depends where they are run,
There are some proper staying p2p courses that take some getting. |
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WD if you backed it.
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^^^^
Bolts up!! Just like me, came home alone. Fatpunt Wait until they find out that bulge in your trousers is money. |
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Koikeeper, yes fully correct, some I have been to are slowly run and turn into sprints, a man asked me a few years ago to go and watch a horse he was interested in buying run in a p2p in Tinahealy , horse ran well enough but that day my eye was taken by a horse that hit every fence yet won pulling double ,which I recommended to the man in question who refused to buy it and bought the other one instead, Barry O'Connell bought the one I recommended for e250,000 and it turned into a top class G1 winner though it still carried its jumping faults into proper racing and fell a few times when holding winning chances , the one the other guy bought never won a race.Can't for the life of me remember the O'Connell horse.
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Well done Seaside.
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Just came back from my Sunday walk and see that it went very much to plan.
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1.75 was nice, to be fair there will be worse 2/5 chances this season.
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You are in good form s, well done..
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Yes Billy I am red hot at the moment but you know what it is like one can told cold in a flash.
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well done seaside , find 1 like that every now and then and keep the discipline thats the key especially with the shorties ,hope it continues for ya!
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