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value bet
20 Mar 20 04:45
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 7,508 | Blogger: value bet's blog
If I get a chance will post live here, but fav low 85% - 80% blood counts at odds even; are getting rolled left right and centre.

67% of fav lose, I think I can tip most of them.

Amazing patterns forming.

Is this better than a roll of dunny paper?

James
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Report ProSniper March 20, 2020 3:52 AM GMT
BAMOS Jimmy!
Report value bet March 20, 2020 3:54 AM GMT
JUST TODAY

Low 85% blood (1) unplaced, its a great system fav out low blood. Port Macquarie blood count tips 1006

80% low blood fav. still running once again, what a great system 6-2 gets up for us. Swan hill blood count tips 1600m

5-8-6-1, once again fav. 3 on only 85% blood unseen, good system Albury 2400m

low 85% blood (1) unplaced, its a great system fav out low blood. Port Macquarie blood count tips 1006m

2nd 85% odds on got rolled again! Townesville blood count tips 1000m


I saw a horse 100% blood last night in South Africa at big odds, I roved it in the trifecta. It won at $30 and the 2 fav. ran 2nd and third....the HUGE BLOOD COUNT RESULTS WAS $926, WOW!



SATURDAY, I will be live streaming on facebook https://www.facebook.com/jim.conway.9849 for an hour or so, PLUS live tips here, all good James
Report ProSniper March 20, 2020 3:58 AM GMT
facebook suck balls Jimmy. Post here or nowhere at all. This will also be good for selling your books. If you can proof your 99.9% s/r to a forum full of betting enthusiasts, you're books will sell like beautiful little hot cakes..
Report value bet March 20, 2020 4:00 AM GMT
I post live on my web site.

Will get organized
Report value bet March 20, 2020 4:02 AM GMT
Race days mounting yards around Australia I am flat out.
Report value bet March 20, 2020 4:07 AM GMT
Fittest blood count wins at $16.20 WOW top blood count mail gets up, 85% low blood fav. $2.30 lost once again. 

Blood also tipped the trifecta in order. 8-4-5 exotics pay $350 

Swan Hill live blood count tips 2100m
Report GLASGOWCALLING March 20, 2020 4:16 AM GMT
NO.
Report value bet March 20, 2020 4:19 AM GMT
Slowing down now, getting tired, been at it for over 3 half hours and big day tomorrow, more to come

James
Report ProSniper March 20, 2020 4:33 AM GMT
BAMOS Jimmy! Get a good kip and come back fresh. The forum awaits your 1st tips..
Report value bet March 20, 2020 5:52 AM GMT
I have had my nap, but also thinking about all this, don't want to waist time just sleeping!

67% of fav lose that is a fact.


I think I can tip at least 90% of those low blood count 85% down favourites that cannot win.

I think I can tip at least 90% of those high blood count fav. 90% - 95% - 100% that win.


It has to be a huge break through for punters?

90% lose that gives you 9 points out of 10 bets.
1 wins that cost you 2 - 3 points.

Profit is 7 points and you have a dozen horses running for you each race with higher blood counts.


Two yesterday winners were rated 85% blood count fit but in fact they were 88%, so now those horse goes to 90% and they did win.

With out those two, which won't happen again, my recent lay unfit fav because of low blood counts would have to be close 95% strike rate.


Of that 25% were odds on.

Of that 25% - 70% = 18% were odds AND NEVER PLACED. with liabilities of $1.04 - $1.15

I will create or report betting patterns.

Ground breaking stuff guys and gals.
Report value bet March 20, 2020 6:22 AM GMT
A simple formula would be what barrier they draw.

1 - 5 a higher risk of at least placing

5 - 10  low risk

10 plus get on. lay win and lay place?



That may give you a 100% lay strike rate on low blood count horses.

I will work it out.
Report big aitch March 20, 2020 8:15 AM GMT
STOP IT NOW JIM

NOT ONE PERSON ON HERE BELIEVES ALL THE CRAP YOU POST, YOU ARE AN ABSOLUTE LOONY.
Report value bet March 21, 2020 3:53 AM GMT
18 out of 21 low blood count - 85% or less blood counts, favourites have got rolled.

86% lay strike rates on unfit favourites.

Win 18 units, pay out 8; win 10 units

Cool, but can be better.
Report value bet March 21, 2020 6:26 AM GMT
FAV RISK BUTTON, I now have this on my fitness spreadsheet program, some 85% blood count horses win and are not lays, but are not 90% BLOOD COUNT.

84% of low blood count horses lose, but I want to get it in the 90% strike rate range.


When u see the FAV RISK button activated before the race, this is your horse to lay or take over on hedge win or exotics,

James
Report value bet March 21, 2020 6:32 AM GMT
Best blood wins 7 ($5.80) nice finish, again 85% blood, Fav. (3) LOST

22/26 STRIKE RATE OF 85% low blood count lays, but will improve.

Mornington 1600m BLOOD COUNT TIPS.
Report big aitch March 21, 2020 7:19 AM GMT
Best blood wins 7 ($5.80) nice finish, again 85% blood, Fav. (3) LOST

SHOW THE BLOOD COUNTS OF ALL THE RUNNERS IN THAT RACE
Report rue-the- day March 21, 2020 8:16 AM GMT
Post selection name Pre race or FO
Report value bet March 21, 2020 4:36 PM GMT
Though I have a fear betting any large sums of money, I am going to try.

How to lay an unfit favorite.

Rules:

Must have 75% - 80% - 85% low blood count.
Low Strength Factors
Unfit ratings of: 88% - 97%
At least 5 fitter horses than the favorite.
A weakness in form: 2nd up, wide barrier, distance question.

Target: Up to 10,000% Profit a Month

Minimum Value in bets.

Martingale System


Theory: It should be impossible to lose 3 times running.


The next problem is I will be betting like a sheep; following punters markets, because How To Use Betfair
is still confusing despite many years of video watch.

I want to put my own price in?

That's about it.

It's 3.30am Melbourne time and back to bed.

I can't post UK because no races and you have insufficient mounting yard coverage.

If I did post Australian tips, who is going to get out of bed at 3am to have a bet?

Nobody.
Report davidr March 21, 2020 4:40 PM GMT
I do. I regularly open my smart phone at night to play the Aussie racing.
Report value bet March 21, 2020 4:50 PM GMT
OK, thanks.

People think just bet an unfit favorite or even betting is simple.

It is very complex.

And any edge takes decades of hard work.

Punters are generally very lazy and want things free on a plate for them.
Report leif March 21, 2020 4:59 PM GMT
Lots of people in the UK with low white blood platelets currently Jim.

Laying in hospital beds.

Any advice?
Report value bet March 21, 2020 5:02 PM GMT
I will have this edge in laying a favorite.

Must have 75% - 80% - 85% low blood count.
Low Strength Factors
Unfit ratings of: 88% - 97%
At least 5 fitter horses than the favorite.
A weakness in form: 2nd up, wide barrier, distance question.



You have this edge

A weakness in form: 2nd up, wide barrier, distance question.
A lucky guess.
Report davidr March 21, 2020 10:06 PM GMT
vaue bet, what do you mean by a weakness in 2nd up form? Is it that the 2nd up form, specifically, after a rest is the determining factor, or something else?
Report Willie Shafter. March 21, 2020 10:14 PM GMT
just simply incred.
Report breadnbutter March 21, 2020 10:20 PM GMT
Ask Jim to put a selection up pre race to  show us all  how it's done,how about doing a card Jim ,they will be unforgiving on here but show your skills over an entire card, stop insulting the forum with your fantasy exotic wet dreams m8, put up or shut up.
Report breadnbutter March 21, 2020 10:28 PM GMT
Sadly Jim's a non runner (vets cert) NAP
Report value bet March 21, 2020 10:40 PM GMT
A horse needs a certain amount of time to recover from a hard first up run.

18 - 21 days ok

Over 21 days it can go backward on fitness.

You need to see the horse, generally they drop off in fitness.


I post FREE blood count tips live from the mounting yards, 100 races a week on my platform.
Report Willie Shafter. March 21, 2020 10:42 PM GMT
jimmys on a par with hannibal lecter imo.
Report breadnbutter March 21, 2020 10:45 PM GMT
Jims on a platform in the mounting yard Plain
Report rue-the- day March 21, 2020 10:48 PM GMT
Post a selection pre race or get back to bondi beach
Report leif March 21, 2020 11:06 PM GMT
Bondi has been cleared

#Superspreaders
Report value bet March 24, 2020 3:31 AM GMT
GREG FROM USA.

I have bought your ebooks and they have saved me plenty when I handicap a race and then see a horse trot out to race and realize it has no chance after seeing it. I have also played some long shots based purely on fitness and blood counts with some success. I'm still learning but I know it's a matter of fine tuning the process. 

Many thanks again for teaching an old dog new tricks!

Greg

Thanks Greg I appreciate your comments, not many would be able to do these books ever.

Yes fine tune and you will be right, in USA, because of the speed of the race, u need blood counts and strength mate.

Good luck and I am here to help you and others, and post on your forum platforms if like.

Regards

James
Report Willie Shafter. March 24, 2020 11:09 AM GMT
have you any blood counts for this coronavirus jimmy?
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