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30 Sep 18
13:10
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Date Joined:
22 Apr 04
One of those dilemmas that come along now and again and usually about the same thing.
In this case have found a horse i really think has a great chance but ridden by someone who appears to have ridden in only 1 race and finished last on that!
Horse in question is Tony The Gent trained by Ger Lyons who further muddys the waters by running 2 others.
To my mind he's a much better horse on Good racing ground and think we can dismiss his last 2 runs completely indeed probably the last 4, but before that on Good ground ran 3 close 2nds from 88-90 one of which was a premier h'cap at the curragh.
Best distance is around a mile where he's won 3 races with 6 2nds.
The Irish cambridgeshire doesn't seem to be working out too well with only a couple of winners coming out of it, Lethal power and Dream Walker and both over different distances, and Tony The Gent would appear to have the beating of most of them through his earlier 2nds, feel would have a very good chance from 85 but with another 10lbs off makes him look thrown in. Question is can young Shinnick ride or not? Have had a few schillings to find out.
In this case have found a horse i really think has a great chance but ridden by someone who appears to have ridden in only 1 race and finished last on that!
Horse in question is Tony The Gent trained by Ger Lyons who further muddys the waters by running 2 others.
To my mind he's a much better horse on Good racing ground and think we can dismiss his last 2 runs completely indeed probably the last 4, but before that on Good ground ran 3 close 2nds from 88-90 one of which was a premier h'cap at the curragh.
Best distance is around a mile where he's won 3 races with 6 2nds.
The Irish cambridgeshire doesn't seem to be working out too well with only a couple of winners coming out of it, Lethal power and Dream Walker and both over different distances, and Tony The Gent would appear to have the beating of most of them through his earlier 2nds, feel would have a very good chance from 85 but with another 10lbs off makes him look thrown in. Question is can young Shinnick ride or not? Have had a few schillings to find out.
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In the 5fs sprint at 4.35 have to give a mention to Paul Midgeleys runners.
Tylery Wonder has a great record in this race having won it twice, with a 4th in between, once was at the curragh and here last year. Has copped for a poor draw today in 9 which will probably scupper his chance of winning but in stall 1 is his other visitor Line of reason who has a very creditable record when running in Ireland of 11373, the 7th was when btn just 2 1/2 lengths by Sole Power in a G2 back in 2015 and his most recent 3rd was in June this year when btn just 1/2 length by Battle of Jericho and Caspian Prince in a premier h'cap from 88. Has ran well at Ascot and Beverley since from around this mark ans split 2 Cowell sprinters lto. Has a very good EW chance about 9/1 imo.
Tylery Wonder has a great record in this race having won it twice, with a 4th in between, once was at the curragh and here last year. Has copped for a poor draw today in 9 which will probably scupper his chance of winning but in stall 1 is his other visitor Line of reason who has a very creditable record when running in Ireland of 11373, the 7th was when btn just 2 1/2 lengths by Sole Power in a G2 back in 2015 and his most recent 3rd was in June this year when btn just 1/2 length by Battle of Jericho and Caspian Prince in a premier h'cap from 88. Has ran well at Ascot and Beverley since from around this mark ans split 2 Cowell sprinters lto. Has a very good EW chance about 9/1 imo.
That was annoying, had the plum draw in 1 but jockey seemed more intent on watching what Dali was doing and ventured towards middle of track, meanwhile 2 rags drawn in 2 and 3 pull right away from field, even managed to get chinned for 3rd!
Interesting run from Alcatraz last but one two out yet managed to finally weave through and switching wide late on flew looked unlucky needs watching next time out
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