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When are the authorities going to scrutinise the record Jamie Spencer and the short price beaten favourites he rides that are beaten,The percentage beaten leaves a lot to be desired no wonder he did not retire?
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beyond reproach, if you ask why 3 lengths detached not just last he'll get all stroppy and walk off ....
you must be making fortunes laying his mounts , mick , don't tell everyone
If you look at the stats rather than relying on your own perception of things, you
get a more accurate picture.
Jamie Spencer results on odds-on favs for the last 10 years (Turf and A/W) :-
Total Runs 232 £1 Win SP £-18.32 (-7.9%)
Total Wins 135 (58.2%) £1 EW SP £-2.74 (-0.6%)
Total Placed 185 (79.7%) Avg Win SP 0.6-1
Source - https://www.flatstats.co.uk/both-jockey-j-p-spencer#stats-options
Comparable stats for Ryan Moore :-
Total Runs 413 £1 Win SP £-7.58 (-1.8%)
Total Wins 251 (60.8%) £1 EW SP £23.25 (3.0%)
Total Placed 340 (82.3%) Avg Win SP 0.6-1
Source - https://www.flatstats.co.uk/both-jockey-r-l-moore#stats-options
Only approx. 2% difference on success rates between the 2 Jockeys. Both jocks return a small
loss backing all mounts at ISP, but since those prices are the product of an overround Book,
you would expect that sort of Loss, wouldn't you?
Please note that whilst backing all Moore's odds-on mounts to win returns a small loss,
backing them each-way returns a 3% Profit!
That's totally counter-intuitive to most Punter's thinking, but sometimes it pays to do
some Research.
get a more accurate picture.
Jamie Spencer results on odds-on favs for the last 10 years (Turf and A/W) :-
Total Runs 232 £1 Win SP £-18.32 (-7.9%)
Total Wins 135 (58.2%) £1 EW SP £-2.74 (-0.6%)
Total Placed 185 (79.7%) Avg Win SP 0.6-1
Source - https://www.flatstats.co.uk/both-jockey-j-p-spencer#stats-options
Comparable stats for Ryan Moore :-
Total Runs 413 £1 Win SP £-7.58 (-1.8%)
Total Wins 251 (60.8%) £1 EW SP £23.25 (3.0%)
Total Placed 340 (82.3%) Avg Win SP 0.6-1
Source - https://www.flatstats.co.uk/both-jockey-r-l-moore#stats-options
Only approx. 2% difference on success rates between the 2 Jockeys. Both jocks return a small
loss backing all mounts at ISP, but since those prices are the product of an overround Book,
you would expect that sort of Loss, wouldn't you?
Please note that whilst backing all Moore's odds-on mounts to win returns a small loss,
backing them each-way returns a 3% Profit!
That's totally counter-intuitive to most Punter's thinking, but sometimes it pays to do
some Research.
I would of thought that both of them rode more than them rides over the last ten years.
The Spencer/Moore stats above are for all odds-on (SP Range 0 - 0.99) shots.
Mice, surely it is impossible for Ryan Moore to produce a profit backing his placed odds on shots with an average Win SP of 0.6 and a strike rate of 82.3%.
The average place SP (at 1/5 odds) would be 3/25 = 0.12 ??
The average place SP (at 1/5 odds) would be 3/25 = 0.12 ??
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