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aypee
14 Aug 18 13:32
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Date Joined: 28 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 979 | Blogger: aypee's blog
Has 3 odds on shots currently a 11/10 shot and a 5/2 shot...odds on shots are 2 x 4/6 and a 1/12
Looks a great bet tbf
Pause • Switch to Standard View Skybet 7/4 ryan moore 3 winners...
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Report aypee • August 14, 2018 1:34 PM BST
maybe not read it wrong lol
Report domino14 • August 14, 2018 1:40 PM BST
I think the bankers are Alexanderthegreat & Ummalnar. This means you need 1 from 4 others, which include a 2yo in the opener which is short but no better than 2 others also at the head of the betting. A potentially well treated Abdullah horse, who is up in grade against better proven horses which hasn't run for around about a year, so again chance is taken on trust. Then you have the Cowell horse who looks too short albeit well backed, but has been running well, and finally you have Mudallel in the 3.00 who may appreciate this grade, but you would be hard pressed to say it was well treated off 80, and looks to have a chance but by no means a cert in a race where 3 horses all have a solid chance.

I think for Ryan to ride three, you are relying on the money for the Cowell horse being correct, or the 2yo finding 5-10lb improvement for the trip and possibly Blue Mist being ready after nearly a year off.

The fact is come 4pm, Ryan may have had 4 rides and only 1 winner, and would you be confident on BOTH the Cowell horse and Haggas horse in the last winning.

I think if he can get 2 winners from his first 4 rides, he'll get the 3, but I am far from certain and I personally feel he'll have just the two winners, and if it is 3, it will be the Cowell horse which is no good thing on my book.

For me the 7/4 isn't as good value as it may first appear if you analyse each horses chance individually.
Report bettinghelp • August 14, 2018 1:46 PM BST
The terms of the bet are not clear on the splash box, but when you go to the offer the terms are very clear.

Ummalnar (14.30C), Cowboy Soldier (16.30C) & Alexanderthegreat (17.00C) all to win  7/4
Report domino14 • August 14, 2018 1:48 PM BST
I think that's his best 3 chances on paper for me, but I would rather 8/11 the 1st and last leg, than 7/4 with the one in the middle.
Report aypee • August 14, 2018 1:49 PM BST
Yes incorrect bet, Sky kind of duping customers as this usually reads Jockey to ride 3+ winners but next page shows only the odds on shots, my fault as i should have read it properly. Wouldnt back it otherwise.
Report s.kenbo • August 14, 2018 1:54 PM BST
I'm punting on at least three Ryan Moore pocket talking threads being started today!
Report aypee • August 14, 2018 1:54 PM BST
Guaranteed 1/12
Report domino14 • August 14, 2018 1:55 PM BST
I call your 3 Kenbo and raise it to 5.
Report s.kenbo • August 14, 2018 1:57 PM BST
You can have it, Dom. It's a quiet Tuesday afternoon. The 1/12 shot would have to be turned over for five to land. Let's see though.
Report bettinghelp • August 14, 2018 1:58 PM BST
^String bet.
Report aypee • August 14, 2018 2:12 PM BST
Thought you were pot committed...
Report GEORGE.B • August 14, 2018 2:26 PM BST
It's around 7/4 that Hayley gets a winning interview with Ryan Wink
Report GEORGE.B • August 14, 2018 2:38 PM BST
Stand by, winning interview coming up...
Report GEORGE.B • August 14, 2018 3:14 PM BST
It's now 100-1 for a winning Ryan interview Grin
Report MJK • August 14, 2018 3:35 PM BST
Had Dettori boxed in there and just moved out for him turning in
Report s.kenbo • August 14, 2018 6:20 PM BST
I've counted three threads, Dom. Grin

Plenty of backers moaning though!
Report domino14 • August 14, 2018 6:53 PM BST
Yes Kenbo, sadly the anti's and whingers all replied to the thread created in his name, had that OP not been so carefully chosen his post title, he would have got 5 threads and Moore ;)
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