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Slicer
26 Jun 18 13:40
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Date Joined: 10 Jan 03
| Topic/replies: 12,249 | Blogger: Slicer's blog
At that price one would hope it would always be trying throughout the race!
Pause Switch to Standard View 2.00 Victory Command @1.11
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Report Slicer June 26, 2018 1:41 PM BST
However, I never back or lay any runner from this stable, just in case the horse is "unlucky" in running.
Report know all June 26, 2018 1:47 PM BST
1/11 well the most inconsistent trainer bar none had a few winners lately and a 41 % strike rate with fave in these races i wonder which horse is going to turn up youd want evens for a johnstone one at least but if you had 250 horses surely you can win with a 1/10 certainty
Report Trident June 26, 2018 1:57 PM BST
Dont Lay Dont back is my only advise with this stable as long odds on.
Report stridingedge June 26, 2018 1:57 PM BST
surely just lay his winners and back his runners tailed off lto?
Report tyred June 26, 2018 1:58 PM BST
Slicer

what price would you expect it to be and which horse do you think is within 5 lengths of it ?!
Report Trident June 26, 2018 1:58 PM BST
Double penalty, perhaps the poets voice could find something to get close!
Report Slicer June 26, 2018 2:00 PM BST
Tyred- a race of this type is not for me, so I haven't looked at it-no bet. Plenty of other races today. As I said before, I never back or lay MJ's horses whatever the price.
Report tyred June 26, 2018 2:02 PM BST
just the way you pointed out the 1.11 as no value !
Report Slicer June 26, 2018 2:03 PM BST
I never said that. I said that at that price one would hope it would be trying because MJ's motto is "Always trying"!
Report mouse muldoon June 26, 2018 2:04 PM BST
didn't really need to try too hard
Report know all June 26, 2018 2:06 PM BST
those who back johnstones long term will go skint quickly im quite sure layers are happy to pay out because they know what the end game will be, well done the backers
Report stridingedge June 26, 2018 2:09 PM BST
know all if you backed all his thousands of runners on fast ground you'd have had a small profit.
Report tyred June 26, 2018 2:09 PM BST
Johnstone has nothing to do with backing an odds-on shot that has no opposition,

some odds-on shots are bad value, like ones in handicaps with a string of ones next to their names but in stakes races ...
Report Slicer June 26, 2018 2:12 PM BST
The point that I am making is that with some trainers you have a chance of working out how their horses will perform, albeit a small one. With MJ-you just never know. Add J O'Neil to that as another lot whose horses I never back or lay!
Report stridingedge June 26, 2018 2:16 PM BST
his runners are as consistent and he is as good a trainer to follow for the punter with his placed runners lto on fast ground.


If you want to disagree feel free to post something tangible Slicer.
Report Slicer June 26, 2018 2:21 PM BST
Stridingedge- I am NOT disagreeing with you. You have obviously done your homework. This is all about opinion and personal preference. Over the years I have evolved my own strategies and these include NOT backing or laying certain stables runners. MJs and J O'Ns are but 2. Whatever works for you is what I say. So good luck!
Report stridingedge June 26, 2018 2:24 PM BST
It's the whole inconsistency thing which for me is a lazy argument on here as if there are scores of trainers who's horses run the same race to race and these trainers are easy to profit from.

I'm sure plenty have made hay so far from this yard with all the fast ground, the horses have run pretty consistently as horses placed in the first 3 lto have an a/e of 1.44 and a profit to sp of 25% this season for the backer.
Report Slicer June 26, 2018 2:26 PM BST
Fair enough. I bow to your superior knowledge. His stables runners are not for me!
Report mouse muldoon June 26, 2018 2:28 PM BST
Striding, is the system when placed on fast ground lto and back on fast ground today?
Report stridingedge June 26, 2018 2:29 PM BST
It was actually placed in the first 3 on all ground lto mouse and today on g/f or firm
Report mouse muldoon June 26, 2018 2:31 PM BST
Ok, thanks.
Report stridingedge June 26, 2018 2:58 PM BST
I DO NOT get the money or ifwecancan in the 4:00!

be interested what this is like race time (6.6 currently). The stablemate looks the more likely of the two for me because its unexposed at the distance and looked to stay a bit further well lto ridden patiently.

Not a race I'm playing though.
Report stridingedge June 26, 2018 2:58 PM BST
*for ifwecancan
Report handtorofe June 26, 2018 2:59 PM BST
I lay quite a few of his runners mostly on soft ground and away from goodwood  ascot and newmarket ,I even back the odd one but very rarely and never with fanning on.
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