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roder2
20 Jun 18 19:44
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Date Joined: 18 Jan 17
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Has the premium charge been taken today?

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Replies: 56
By:
11kv
When: 20 Jun 18 19:56
Hold on I shall have a look..
By:
Twoboyz
When: 20 Jun 18 20:05
yes
By:
TheFear
When: 20 Jun 18 20:09
surely changes are coming for the PC, BF haemorraghing (sp) business to rivals
By:
roder2
When: 20 Jun 18 20:24
Well you can now negotiate a fixed % on a 3 mths basic
By:
Willie Shafter.
When: 20 Jun 18 20:57
and if you're beating pc they will raise it..
By:
smirnoff2therescue
When: 20 Jun 18 21:01
is that whats happened Steve - if so that didnt last long CryCry - will have a chat next Fri if ya dont wanna ansa here
By:
lewisham ranger
When: 20 Jun 18 21:07
bf shooting themselves in the foot as high-rollers taking their business elsewhere.
By:
Wicklow
When: 20 Jun 18 21:10
I was wondering if its worth the effort calling them up to get a fixed % but by the sounds of it you will just end up paying the same.

Wille - Do you think your anyway better off from it financially, and the mindset must help - not getting railroaded on a wednesday especially if you have a poor mon/tues ?

cheers
By:
JML
When: 20 Jun 18 21:23
Willie did say that his profit per race fell when he went on fixed rate.

It could be that he was subconsciously waiting a fraction of a second longer to make a bet.
By:
Willie Shafter.
When: 20 Jun 18 23:59
i changed 5 weeks ago..done my absolutes ever since.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 00:05
Tell me it aint so? coincidence?
By:
Willie Shafter.
When: 21 Jun 18 00:33
from the day i changed i found it nigh on impossible..as of start of yesterday i was about level over the 5 weeks but had 4 losing days totalling 30k ish and paid around 8-9k commission.
theres nothing to lay at big prices..clicking £14 @1000 and getting matched 100-1000..sometimes 30-40 bets all under 20p.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 00:37
Same for the rest of your crew?
By:
Willie Shafter.
When: 21 Jun 18 00:43
not as such becos not many lay big prices,most aint got the funds ..most aint got the bottle..

a high number of track players are struggling badly..exe's/pc etc is killing them..its punter v bot now in last 3f..there just isnt enough to keep everyone going...lots will be leaving in running this year without doubt..seats at tracks arnt selling anymore..boxes wont be filled next year.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 00:50
The other guys in your box, are they basically all trying to back the one o ones?
By:
Willie Shafter.
When: 21 Jun 18 01:33
i'd say 90% of track players are backers..not necessarily big amounts at very short prices..most actually aint got the funds to risk..lot play mid race for smaller stakes.
By:
Wicklow
When: 21 Jun 18 06:46
sorry to hear about the bad run willie - hope you turn the corner.

yah im not sure about the flat rate, if you win and lose alot during the day to be an overall winner, you will prob end up paying more in commission than the PC and when your winning your only getting 80-85% of what you should be getting it might skew the figures.

maybe sometimes your better off with the devil you know even if it is PC.

Anyhow Good luck getting the mojo back and getting back on track.
By:
TheFear
When: 21 Jun 18 09:58
I really believe BF will have to make changes.

Previously they didn't care about the exchange because there were no rivals and the Sportsbook could pick up the "mug" money.

This was flawed imo and they should have gone with the idea of BF being the "one-stop" shop where punters placed all their bets, exchange, tote, sportsbook, football or whatever. There would be no reason to leave the site.

It's seem incredible that they have no allowed other rivals to emerge. One competitor offering 0% commission for a long period is extremely aggressive and a very good strategy imo. Take the short term hit but build up a big pool of punters who once they have switched might not switch back because imo we are creatures of habit.

The picture situation is obviously the other dire problem. Again Betfair should have some clout in this area but can't seem to use it/don't want to.
By:
TheFear
When: 21 Jun 18 09:59
have now* allowed
By:
JML
When: 21 Jun 18 10:36
Offering 0% doesn't attract the recreational punters.Purple have been 0% in the past.

There will be thousands of examples every day of a punter taking a price
when he would of got a better price in another shop 20 yards away.
By:
TheFear
When: 21 Jun 18 10:46
it's not just about recreational punters though is it, there is a group (imo) in between professional and recreational. Ive tried purple obviously but never felt they were serious about closing the gap. MB going 0% til xmas is much more like it. And word of mouth is important,,,
By:
TheFear
When: 21 Jun 18 10:49
the mentality i cant understand from betfair is why arent they greedy for ALL the money? I am pc because of in running, so why pc me if i want £50 pre-race on something today? It's insane to send me elsewhere for that.
By:
TheFear
When: 21 Jun 18 10:51
bookies and pros must be lapping up this 0% surely. BF liquidity looks down on Ascot to my eyes.
By:
JML
When: 21 Jun 18 10:56
I am pc because of in running, so why pc me if i want £50 pre-race on something today? It's insane to send me elsewhere for that.

You haven't thought it through properly.
By:
JML
When: 21 Jun 18 11:14
This is the calculation.

Take a really bad scenario of 50% PC and 5% commission.

The bet is £1000 at 2/1. 

Winnings are 2000-100-950                                  £950

Loses are £1000 with a reduction of £515 in PC           --£485


If you weren't on PC and had £485 on 2-1 you would have won

£970-48.5 = £921.50.

In fact you are winning more by being on PC.

If you want to risk £50 just place a £100 bet.
By:
TheFear
When: 21 Jun 18 11:58
i have thought it through (and im not just saying that because i think it was you who mentioned it the other day?).

I think you have to take human nature into consideration and the fact that PC payers aren't guaranteed to be winning all the time. The reduction in pc for the future isn't much good to me if im on an iffy run. And im not talking literally about myself.

If someone else asks me to put £50 on a 6/1 shot. What do i do, risk the PC hit if it wins or play the long game you suggest or just stick it one elsewhere at 0%?
By:
JML
When: 21 Jun 18 12:05
I agree with you in that when wanting to place a bet people will only see the negative affect of PC.

I'm sure you've had iffy runs before but always end up paying more PC.

I'm having bets that I wouldn't dream of if I wasn't paying PC.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 12:17
If you want to risk £50 just place a £100 bet.

I thought they were supposed to be promoting responsible gambling?
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 12:26
It's a nice theory that you could tailor your risk level to find an equilibrium where you're paying exactly 40% in commission, but in reality the swings are absolutely crazy.
By:
JML
When: 21 Jun 18 12:37
Nothing more than explaining why PC payers are better off placing their "non buisness"
bets on betfair.
By:
JML
When: 21 Jun 18 12:38
It should be something Betfair should have done a decade ago
but instead they dream up this stupid fixed rate charge
which will send people to other sites for any extra bets.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 12:42
I think it was a decade ago when they implemented the first version of PC. It's been a decade of stagnation since then.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 12:43
Or more of a downward spiral since they introduced the higher rates.
By:
salmon spray
When: 21 Jun 18 12:51
Once you get into PC territory can you get out of it again if your commission paid goes back over 20% of your profit ?
By:
JML
When: 21 Jun 18 13:02
Yes over 20% or 40% commission generated.
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 13:04
Yes, but it can encourage one to be a bit more reckless to get over the 20% (or 40%+ if applicable). The best way to do it is through arbitrage, if that route is available to you, as you're far more likely to win with the books and lose on bf than vice versa.
By:
salmon spray
When: 21 Jun 18 13:14
Only play on here tbh except on course when I habitually lose.
I am under 40% but nothing like a big enough player to pay the higher rate. Comfortably over 20% but have hopes   Excited
Can trade obviously but don't much. No accounts with bookies so can't arb.
By:
pablo-fanque
When: 21 Jun 18 13:44
from chats i have had with them . they say they would like to get rid of PC as i think they know it does them no favours ( so they say ) , but they are sticking to the line that for every £1 a PC payer earns it costs them 20p . my argument was that in that case PC should be set to no more than 25% , i didn't get too much back on that point  .

picture speeds - this isn't going to change anytime soon . RUK are happy with how it is and in-running is not a priority for them or the majority of their customers . SIS are bookmaker owned and they will do all they can to not help betfair .

sometimes a customer that costs you profit will be more valuable in the long term because they will bring more customers with them . like how  a 20 stone man goes to an all you eat restaurant with his family , he will probably be a break even or loss maker for the restaurant, but they will make it up and more on the rest of the family . same as on here , a PC maker may be unprofitable, but if they go away and liquidity drops, others stop playing or go elsewhere , and the rot continues .

betfair need to take a short term hit in order to get the ball rolling again imo

just make a flat rate for every PC payer 8%-10% Confused
By:
mouse muldoon
When: 21 Jun 18 13:46
Grin love the all you can eat analogy.
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