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Andrew in Sweden
16 Apr 18 13:45
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Nov 07
| Topic/replies: 12,301 | Blogger: Andrew in Sweden's blog
https://www.racingpost.com/news/news/it-will-take-our-pants-down-paddy-power-fear-huge-payout-on-tramore-double/327720

Mart ? Wink
Pause Switch to Standard View Major Gamble at Tramore
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Report flukes April 16, 2018 1:51 PM BST
More likely to be drumming up business on a quiet post-National Monday but we shall see
Report equine flew April 16, 2018 1:55 PM BST
Paddy Power, who were by no means best-priced about either, have been stung on the 532-1 double with spokesman Paul Binfield reporting: "They've come for the double. We were 40-1 about Sunday In Augusta and he's now 3-1. Tornado Watch was 12s – he's now 9-4.

"We've seen a few singles for Sunday At Augusta, but it's mainly the double and it will take our pants down. It's over six figures."

At those prices, £200 would rack up £106,600 in terms of liabilities for Paddy Power.


So, in other words, they have laid £200 in bets Laugh
Report ItsMeSwaddle April 16, 2018 1:55 PM BST

Apr 16, 2018 -- 1:55PM, equine flew wrote:


Paddy Power, who were by no means best-priced about either, have been stung on the 532-1 double with spokesman Paul Binfield reporting: "They've come for the double. We were 40-1 about Sunday In Augusta and he's now 3-1. Tornado Watch was 12s – he's now 9-4."We've seen a few singles for Sunday At Augusta, but it's mainly the double and it will take our pants down. It's over six figures."At those prices, £200 would rack up £106,600 in terms of liabilities for Paddy Power.So, in other words, they have laid £200 in bets


Laugh

Report equine flew April 16, 2018 2:02 PM BST
On racingpost website, the article is under the headline "MONSTER GAMBLE"...
Report jmdc April 16, 2018 2:07 PM BST
Are we really concerned about ANOTHER coup at Ireland's top flapping track Tramore?  The Irish will be crying their eyes out when RUK drop the stinking hole and they can't get a bet on anymore.  Good Luck Charles Byrnes et al!
Report jmdc April 16, 2018 2:35 PM BST
Add Emmet Mullins to the list.  Carrying on at the same level as he was as a jockey.
Report OAKWOOD April 16, 2018 4:06 PM BST
be careful - don't throw your money away on these.
Report flukes April 16, 2018 5:47 PM BST
Here comes the 1st of the alleged gambles. Soon find out who is taking who's pants down
Report equine flew April 16, 2018 5:49 PM BST
Price holding up on here to be fair, usually the false ones drift
Report onlooker April 16, 2018 5:50 PM BST
Mick Fitz wondering if it is an EACH-WAY Double.
Report TheGoddess April 16, 2018 5:54 PM BST
boom
Report ItsMeSwaddle April 16, 2018 5:55 PM BST
Come racing!
Report Andrew in Sweden April 16, 2018 5:55 PM BST
First one in
Report flukes April 16, 2018 5:57 PM BST
The 2nd horse in the gamble is now 2-1 from 40's Grin
Report TheGoddess April 16, 2018 5:58 PM BST
Irresponsible to put it in at 40/1 with no worthwhile form in the race to go on - deserve what they get imo!!
Report onlooker April 16, 2018 5:59 PM BST
What are the odds that the second horse in the gamble - comes up as a late Non-Runner
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 6:00 PM BST
is mart on?
Report Andrew in Sweden April 16, 2018 6:00 PM BST
Gamble landed already i suspect, laid off the 2nd horse at 2's or declared a NR Wink
Report TheGoddess April 16, 2018 6:01 PM BST
Can trade out for a bigger profit than making it a nr tbh
Report equine flew April 16, 2018 6:03 PM BST
The second horses in the gambles, main market rival is trained by his uncle Willie, so sure WPM will be playing ball.
Report Andrew in Sweden April 16, 2018 6:04 PM BST
Why trade ? Better to have a NR
Report TheFear April 16, 2018 6:05 PM BST
place lay the second one surely,,,, lame and broke blood vessels in PTP. Even without those negatives why would it beat the other 3?
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 6:15 PM BST
lame and broke blood vessels in PTP

wey aye it did..
Report hulk23 April 16, 2018 6:15 PM BST
seems some people, some very shrewd people, can get £200 on at 532/1 with paddy power. 

whereas my £5 at 8/13 is referred to a trader ... Happy
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 6:17 PM BST
the £200 had to be total bets shirley
Report equine flew April 16, 2018 6:18 PM BST
400 people, 50p each.
Report flukes April 16, 2018 6:19 PM BST
Only those with VIP status got more than 50p on
Report hulk23 April 16, 2018 6:21 PM BST
they just sat there and watched 400 bets going on the same double ... ?
Report Gordon63 April 16, 2018 6:26 PM BST
those so called journalists at RP should post the stakes/odds on bets taken on these two by PP BEFORE posting some free publicity for them, which to be honest, few on here believe based on their personal experience with that mob...
Report TheFear April 16, 2018 6:26 PM BST
also fell! Unless that was made up tooSad

BBV - ketchup
Report flukes April 16, 2018 6:33 PM BST
Mart has just confirmed that 45k of the  potential 100k liability is his. He's spoken to the owner and they are relieved thats it's a cool evening in Tramore
Report impossible123 April 16, 2018 6:36 PM BST
A 6 figure liability on 2 minor races at Tramore on a monday evening? As good a chance as April Fool's day being moved to 16th April.
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 6:43 PM BST
be lucky to get a score ew at the prices..all utter bollox as per.
Report hulk23 April 16, 2018 6:43 PM BST
if boilsports say they took £2 as well I'll know its bogus ....
Report TheGoddess April 16, 2018 6:47 PM BST
tbf Sunday In Augusta was generally 50/1 at 1040 this morning with a lot of bookmakers
Report Andrew in Sweden April 16, 2018 6:53 PM BST
I'm surprised it was 50's earlier. A small field, bumper, no stand out fav, heavy going etc. It's not as though the horse has a lot of form to discount it.
Report yer ma April 16, 2018 6:55 PM BST
In fairness to bookies - if (and its a big if) I'd allowed some chunky bets pass then shouting about it and shining a bright light on any dubious riding / running in a 4 runner family ties / amateurs last race is probably a good tactic.
Report Andrew in Sweden April 16, 2018 6:59 PM BST
2 other gambles pulled off at Tramore tonight

Port Rashid and Lacken Bridge
Report impossible123 April 16, 2018 7:01 PM BST
Alarm bells would have rung louder than Big Ben especially if one of the two selections is 50/1. Logic says bookie invention, and untrue.
Report fronter April 16, 2018 7:10 PM BST
I am sceptical to but first won went in like it was meant to ExcitedHappy
Report Andrew in Sweden April 16, 2018 7:21 PM BST
112K matched here on the 2nd horse, out of a total 186K
Report flukes April 16, 2018 7:27 PM BST
The front 2 in the market are coming off long lay-offs and the other 2 are owned by Gigginstown. Looks like a minefield unless you are in the know.
Report StillLearning April 16, 2018 7:31 PM BST
Is Barney Curley involved?
Report DIFERENT GRAVY 12 April 16, 2018 7:47 PM BST
Plenty laid below 3.5
Report hulk23 April 16, 2018 7:48 PM BST
presume they took some money each way, which explains why the no-hoper was withdrawn at 1030 making it win only
Report tashkent terror April 16, 2018 7:50 PM BST
Nina for me...nice price.
Report flukes April 16, 2018 7:56 PM BST
Gamble not sponsored by Ryanair
Report hulk23 April 16, 2018 7:56 PM BST
2nd, whatever's inside JMc's brown envelope is money well spent ...
Report casemoney April 16, 2018 8:01 PM BST
Certainly ran well Enough
Report Andrew in Sweden April 16, 2018 8:02 PM BST
Probably a very poor field
Report the dealer April 16, 2018 8:13 PM BST
a
Report Cherrykino April 16, 2018 8:18 PM BST
How short did the gamble go in running.
Report posy April 16, 2018 8:50 PM BST
1.3
Report Cherrykino April 16, 2018 8:53 PM BST
Thought it looked the most likely winner 3 out but 1.3 was short enough.
Report 1st time poster April 16, 2018 8:54 PM BST
there were 2 gambles in the race late one on fav and mullins was a drifter all day, no way was that horse ever going to  be allowed to win even if good enough,bit like the one in the 2nd race trebling in price,the pikeys in mullins yard rarely get it wrong when laying the eyeballs out of the shorties
Report 1st time poster April 16, 2018 8:56 PM BST
its a billion pound operation ran like a flapping yard
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 8:59 PM BST
only 1 reason why most are in the game.

£
Report 1st time poster April 16, 2018 8:59 PM BST
3 horses trebling in price today mullins,s 2 and one deckie drove 700 mile round trip to ride and I doubt the layers even looked at the results to see if they,d collected
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 9:01 PM BST
spose they aint doing wot we wudnt given the opportuity.
Report 1st time poster April 16, 2018 9:02 PM BST
off course when stable lads are paid 7 quid an hour to look after millions worth of bloodstock,they can turn a blind eye to a few fivers on the floor
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 9:18 PM BST
if they wewre on 22 quid they'd still do it.
Report kennythebetboy April 16, 2018 9:38 PM BST
All the multi's were placed at precisely 11:30am this morning ... singles & doubles with all the firms.

The one in the last was layed short to give a £50k profit or £450k if it won.

About £150k won on the day..... Not bad for a small Irish meeting on a Monday.

I was not involved.

DevilWhoopsWinkWink
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 9:52 PM BST
absolutely beggars belief how any firm would go 40/1 about a once raced horse that was travelling ok 1st time out then fell.
Report Irish are lucky April 16, 2018 10:16 PM BST
kenny is talking drivel..as if you know pal
Report gpz6316 April 16, 2018 10:20 PM BST
m.o. of barney curley
Report chavman April 16, 2018 10:20 PM BST
anyone else he would slaughter...in his own words...cringeworthy..
Report chavman April 16, 2018 10:21 PM BST
all respect for shaft gone
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 10:23 PM BST
how can i slaughter..nothing to substantiate whether hes telling the truth or lying.
Report chavman April 16, 2018 10:27 PM BST
450 k and 150k won..nothing to substantiate
Report chavman April 16, 2018 10:29 PM BST
150 thousand quid,no worries burkey
Report chavman April 16, 2018 10:29 PM BST
hypocrite
Report kavvie April 16, 2018 10:55 PM BST
kenny you know, i know, and eveyone else on here knows what you say is pure drivel and not remotely possible to achieve.when the same firm refuse 25euro ew bets on 8/1 shots in 15 runner handicaps with a 3/1 fav and offer 1.12e ew at sp ?  do please dont insult peoples intelligence.
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 10:56 PM BST
500/1 double...£900 quid bet..spread about...not impossible.
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 11:00 PM BST
such are the red alerts these days it wouldnt take much to trigger the alarm bells...but £20ew bets could probably be obtained...mart would get £100ew easily.
Report kavvie April 16, 2018 11:01 PM BST
ud have to visit 50 shops and then the price would be gone..
Report mouse muldoon April 16, 2018 11:01 PM BST
mart would be fecking dangerous if he had another dozen brain cells
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 11:22 PM BST
you'd obv have many people placing bets...im highly scepitcal but at 500/1 wudnt needed fortunes on.
Report kennythebetboy April 16, 2018 11:46 PM BST
All the firms slavishly follow BF prices, so in these days of low liquidity in the early markets, even a £10 bet at 20's slaughters the price on BF and it halves and is quickly followed by the big firms who go under the odds at 8's. This alerts those who supposedly follow the money and the snowball effect starts. 8's on BF = 6's in the shops etc., etc.,

So what happens these days, as was evidenced by the David Evans cosy relationship with Ladcrooks. When a family with the name Mullins and their high roller owners wants to bet, they are readily accommodated to decent money and this is fed through the firms outside "the insider bookies"..... the one thing they do not do is blow their cover by backing them on BF Exchange early and spoiling the price.

When the exchange markets (win & place) become viable at around 15 minutes before the race, it is only then that any money is bet on BF, with a view to making a margin on the lay side ... ie bet at 3/1 and laid back at evs or shorter in running to give a win/win profit scenario, even with premium charges.

So it is not all one-sided, the favoured bookies are in the know and have to pay a little for the privilege, but they can offset their liabilities through the trade and also make a profit.....plus there are many "Mug" accounts (pro footballers, playboys etc., with more money than sense and with losing accounts) who can also be persuaded to get plenty on as a favour.

The fancy 50/1, 40/1 , 33/1 prices, if backed at all, would have been for peanuts, the real money was at 10/1 into 5/1 and caused the prices to shrink within minutes.

As we have all experienced and heard of, if Joe Bloggs suddenly wants a lumpy bet, he is referred to traders and is offered a silly amount to go away and if he manages to win on the horses or dogs consistently his account is closed ... but don't think that applies to everyone .... if you are in with the right crowd, there are ways and means.

DevilWhoopsWinkWink
Report Willie Shafter. April 16, 2018 11:59 PM BST
i'll concede a known mug/loser would be accommodated...a strange face wouldnt.
Report DECALEC April 17, 2018 12:36 AM BST
If you know said mug/loser there account can be valuable for as long as they will let and said mug gets a few €
Report Andrew in Sweden April 17, 2018 7:17 AM BST
Copied from RP ....

Bookmakers breathed a huge sigh of relief on a wet and dreary but far from mundane Monday evening at Tramore, avoiding six-figure payouts when the second half of a plunge went astray.

Victory for Tornado Watch, owned and trained by Emmet Mullins, sparked high hopes of a string of big-priced doubles being landed, but the defeat of Sunday At Augusta in the bumper meant bookmakers avoided a battering.

Tornado Watch was a best priced 16-1 earlier in the day and was returned the 11-4 second favourite, while market confidence behind Sunday At Augusta was even stronger.

The Stephen Murphy-owned Sunday At Augusta started the day as big as 50-1 but was sent off a 5-2 shot. However, while he ran well, he could not match 6-4 favourite Cuneo – owned by Gigginstown and trained by Henry de Bromhead – in the closing stages and finished second.

Paddy Power, who were by no means best-priced about either, were among the firms that would have been bowled over, with the double available with them at 532-1 early in the day.

'It will take our pants down'

Speaking after the first half of the double had been landed, their spokesman Paul Binfield said: "Punters have come for the double. We were 40-1 about Sunday At Augusta and he's now 15-8 [after the first winner].

"We've seen a few singles for Sunday At Augusta, but it's mainly the double and it will take our pants down. It's over six figures."

At those prices earlier in the day, a £200 double would have racked up £106,600 in terms of liabilities for Paddy Power.

Commenting after Sunday At Augusta had been beaten, Binfield added: "That was squeaky bum time and we're a trifle relieved."

'Nothing we can't cope with'

For Coral, David Stevens, speaking before Sunday At Augusta’s defeat, said: "These are races that we would typically trade carefully when the market was first up, and while we laid a couple of bets on the double early doors it was nothing of any great note, and clearly at the bigger prices available earlier it takes only a small amount to build up liabilities.

"While there is always a snowball effect to these things, it doesn't appear we're on the end of a widespread coup; obviously if both legs win there will be some winning punters, but nothing we can't cope with."

Mullins, who is part of the famous family dynasty headed by Ireland's reigning champion trainer Willie, is in his third season with a licence.

Speaking earlier in the day when phoned about the gamble, Mullins said: "I haven't had any money on it anyway, I don't know any more about it than you do.

"You're the one telling me about the gamble, I don't know anything about it."

Asked again if he had been involved in the gamble after Tornado Watch had won, the trainer replied: "Thank god he won."
Report know all April 17, 2018 9:35 AM BST
i found out something last week I had a winning bet went to collect casher said nothing on that so went to other shop same nothing to come phoned up customer services he asked for number on bottom of ticket a few seconds he had bet in front of him hold on a few mins later - if you go back into shop you will now be paid. That technology they use now can detect any gamble unless its all put on at the exact same time I didn't realise how sophisticated it had become silly me
Report 1st time poster April 17, 2018 10:16 AM BST
SO people were putting a 50 to 1 shot in a double but not backing it in a single as well.most days faces backing 50 to 1 shots into 15 to 8 would be considered a huge gamble landed,without already landing a 16,s touch, double would just be the icing on the cake
Report hulk23 April 17, 2018 10:29 AM BST
presume they were backing the 2nd one each-way with the 5 runners but all paddy had to do was pick the phone up and voila, Sweat Equity (reduction factor 0.3%) had started 'coughing'.  of course it had ....  rules mean any e/w bets struck reverted to win only.
Report Willie Shafter. April 17, 2018 11:11 AM BST
BELIEVE NOTHING.

unless you see it yourself.
Report Arklearkle April 17, 2018 11:23 AM BST
Willie I reckon seeing is not good enough one has to feel it nowadays to be sure (to be sure)
Report kincsem April 17, 2018 2:49 PM BST
If there was a big gamble why would the bookmakers announce it?
In other news .... "bookmakers and horses produce horse manure".
Report Willie Shafter. April 17, 2018 2:54 PM BST
'announce' = 'propaganda'
Report firstimevisor April 17, 2018 3:00 PM BST
Do you think there was no gamble, that the bookies just made up the whole story and by some freakish coincidence the 532-1 shot very nearly came off?
Report Willie Shafter. April 17, 2018 3:13 PM BST
gamble will be correct..the figures manipulated.
Report kavvie April 17, 2018 4:07 PM BST
first time visor pp said a six figure sum.rest assured if it was over 200k they would have said that.so a six figure sum would equate to a 200e double at the opening prices.i done a bet before cheltenham and the masters that would have netted me  over 300k.it cost 45 euro but i didnt see  any headlines over that?!?!?
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