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doncaster rover
29 Dec 17 19:04
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Date Joined: 22 Sep 08
| Topic/replies: 586 | Blogger: doncaster rover's blog
Got £550 trebles ( in total ) might bite k/g beuve dever c/h 3/1 and Samcro 2/1 pays around 16k been offered £1100 not desperate for the cash but not sure which way to go any thoughts (356 )

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Replies: 25
By:
Magic__Daps
When: 29 Dec 17 19:47
The cashout will be way under the true odds, so for that reason I would say no. Why do bets like that in the first place if you are not thinking of letting them run? I understand that you may lay a bit of the third leg if the second comes in but to cashout now seems crazy. You are basically going to be cashing out on Mite Bite at even money - you may as well have just had the 550 on him and been done with it with a bigger return.
By:
BornToWin
When: 29 Dec 17 19:52
Bookies came up with the cash out.

Put the bet on and leave it like a f@cking man.
By:
xmoneyx
When: 29 Dec 17 19:54
1. lose £550
2. profit £550
3. win 16k

3 me thinks
By:
Magic__Daps
When: 29 Dec 17 20:03
You are being offered 1100 for a bet that needs a 9/4 shot and a 5/6 shot (prices on here) so about 5/1ish when your bet will actually return way over those odds about 13.5/1 if I have read it correctly. I will offer you 1500 for it if you want no problem!!
By:
doncaster rover
When: 29 Dec 17 20:08
Yes I think you are all correct it would be silly to consider it ,I never expected a offer on an anti post bet in fact I have never seen one this far ahead,think it’s because of Faugheen pulling up today
By:
s.kenbo
When: 29 Dec 17 20:12
Are you missing a horse out of your equation, MD?

Might Bite
Buveur D'air
Samcro
By:
BigField
When: 29 Dec 17 20:19
Only way I'd be cashing out that bet is if it was 3am, I'd just done my last line of Charlie and was urgently in need of both another gram or 2 and a nice dutch prostitute aided by some d*ck pills.
By:
onlooker
When: 29 Dec 17 20:28
If you have spelt - Buveur Dair - as, "beuve dever ," on your slip - then they may well Void your bet(s) if they come in. Happy

Samcro - is also in 3 races at Cheltenham
-----------

At 3/1 and 2/1 - for £16k Pay-Out ... It looks like you have around £1,333 going onto the next leg, which is the Champion Hurdle.

BUVEUR DAIR is currently 1.88 to LAY on here - but not for £550.

In the run up to the race - at up to, or around, Evens - you could easily LAY your £550 Stake back on Buveur Dair in the Champion Hurdle - and still trouser circa £15,000 if it wins the Champion, and your Treble succeeds.

Better still - LAY Buveur Dair (at up to Evens) for £1,050 - and make yourself a £500 winner if your bet goes down - or a £14,500 winner if the Trebles go in.


The are many higher variables you could do ...

£2.050 LAY = £1,500 Profit if Trebles go down - But still £13,500 Profit if they come in.

Do that sometime soon - in case it does a 'Henderson injured on the gallops' - and becomes a NON-Runner - thus making your £550 Trebles LOSING bets.


Also - Buveur Dair could win the Champion - But SAMCRO then run (and even more galling, Win) a DIFFERENT race at the Festival - to the one you have backed it for.

Cash-Out by far the worst Option - But the above way means continuous monitoring, and work on your paert.

But, that is what proper punting is about.
By:
BigField
When: 29 Dec 17 20:31
OPs laughing, the bets a winner, would happily lump on a double with the remaining 2 (but at current odds better to wait for mid-march before doing that)
By:
Capt__F
When: 29 Dec 17 20:48
Are you missing a horse out of your equation, MD?

Might Bite
Buveur D'air
Samcro


King G Landed SK HappyHappy
By:
Capt__F
When: 29 Dec 17 20:49
ps

don't cash out why pay margin tice
By:
BigField
When: 29 Dec 17 20:50
I prefer beuve dever going to call it that myself from now on
By:
s.kenbo
When: 29 Dec 17 20:54
Doh!

I was thinking it was for The Gold Cup. Blush
By:
Magic__Daps
When: 29 Dec 17 21:04
Therefore - no I am not Kenbo LaughLaugh

(I did re-read it twice after though to make sure)
By:
doncaster rover
When: 29 Dec 17 21:05
Predictive txting
By:
s.kenbo
When: 29 Dec 17 21:16
I blame the holiday period. It's pickled my brain!
By:
Hibore
When: 29 Dec 17 21:26
This does sound a strange bet. The first two legs are fine but why would you have have circa £5k going onto a horse with two or three options ? The Ballymore is obviously the most likely but if the ground turned they may go for the Albert Bartlett. Good luck all the same !
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 29 Dec 17 22:23
i would let it run myself ,  onlookers post seems to  make sense and that probably is the wisest way to go .good luck
By:
captain rat
When: 30 Dec 17 06:54
never cash out-always bad value
By:
Virgin
When: 30 Dec 17 10:21
Can't always be bad value to cash-out Confused

Get your stake back (imo) but you're not desperate for the cash and it's your bet so crack on .....gl
By:
doncaster rover
When: 30 Dec 17 12:09
Samcro is for the ballymore
By:
doncaster rover
When: 30 Dec 17 12:09
Samcro is for the ballymore
By:
BornToWin
When: 30 Dec 17 22:28
It is always bad value.

Hedging elsewhere (here), is the way to go.
By:
BigField
When: 31 Dec 17 01:03
agree with BornToWin
By:
Ramruma
When: 31 Dec 17 03:33
Surely the problem with hedging here is tying up capital for three months?
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