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carrot1960
17 Feb 17 14:51
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Date Joined: 05 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 16,289 | Blogger: carrot1960's blog
Either that or he needs to shut up shop, both horses won as they wanted last time and looked on the up yet today were never in the hunt

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Replies: 9
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 17 Feb 17 14:54
Like the look of A Tail Of Intrigue in the 3.00. Useful for Williams a couple of years ago and there is money for this one, got 6.2 and 2.5, fingers crossed that Henderson has worked the oracle after a long lay off.
By:
carrot1960
When: 17 Feb 17 16:05
HappyHappyHappy
By:
kipling
When: 17 Feb 17 16:33
All 6 of Henderson's ran appalingly. Hard to figure this stable these days. Used to be a dream for backers. Can't all be put down to ordinary jockeys. I only ever back his double figure priced ones now. He must surely have the worst winning ratio of odds-on shots to winners of all trainers in the last few years.
By:
easygold
When: 17 Feb 17 16:35

Feb 17, 2017 -- 4:33PM, kipling wrote:


All 6 of Henderson's ran appalingly. Hard to figure this stable these days. Used to be a dream for backers. Can't all be put down to ordinary jockeys. I only ever back his double figure priced ones now. He must surely have the worst winning ratio of odds-on shots to winners of all trainers in the last few years.


Elliott wouldn`t be that far off that stat.

By:
kipling
When: 17 Feb 17 16:37
Never back that guy and usually don't bet in a race where he has a runner.
By:
Trusty
When: 17 Feb 17 16:44
That's a lot of high class races that you won't be backing in then kipling and a huge amount of mediocre ones!
By:
kipling
When: 17 Feb 17 16:57
Who are you talking about Elliott or Henderson? My last remark was about Elliott.
By:
kirovski
When: 17 Feb 17 17:02
According to my Proform database Henderson's strike rate with  odds on shots over the last 7 years, including this one, is 65%. In 2016 it was 70% and this year , up to a few of days ago when I last updated the database, it is 85%. The strike rate for all trainers over the 7 years is about 60%. So either Henderson is considerably better than average and people's perceptions are wrong or the database is defective in a major way. I don't think it is the database but I am willing to be persuade otherwise.
By:
kipling
When: 17 Feb 17 17:04
Sure your database is right K but that would include all those 1/4 to 1/10 shots that are two stone in.
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