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06 Dec 15
19:16
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Date Joined:
23 May 10
havent got a scooby, looking for a steer.
found this : "Corinthians - Avai
Ok it is last fixture in league and the situation is very complicated..3 teams plus Avai are fighting for survival...Avai has the best chances with one point more than Vasco and Figueirense and in some combinations Avai can stay in league even with defeat..Offocurse to that Vasco has to play draw or loose ( because Vasco has better h2h vs Avai this season) and than it is not important if Figuerense will win or anythng...If Avai loose and Figueirence plays draw Avai wll stay because they have better H2H..But if both teams win than Avai is out even with a draw...So many combos here it is insane...But for Corinthians league is over because they have 14 points more than 2nd placed Atletico MG...They may put some kids on field tomorrow for all we know..This game means nothing to them while it means a lot to Avai..Win here will definetly secure them place no matter other results...Since that is the main reason for this bet it is not insane..If this was in the middle of the competton i would not even consieder it,but since situaton is like this imo this odds have great value...Avai knows how to play vs Corinthians they won 3 out of last 6 matches and i believe they will not loose this game..."
found this : "Corinthians - Avai
Ok it is last fixture in league and the situation is very complicated..3 teams plus Avai are fighting for survival...Avai has the best chances with one point more than Vasco and Figueirense and in some combinations Avai can stay in league even with defeat..Offocurse to that Vasco has to play draw or loose ( because Vasco has better h2h vs Avai this season) and than it is not important if Figuerense will win or anythng...If Avai loose and Figueirence plays draw Avai wll stay because they have better H2H..But if both teams win than Avai is out even with a draw...So many combos here it is insane...But for Corinthians league is over because they have 14 points more than 2nd placed Atletico MG...They may put some kids on field tomorrow for all we know..This game means nothing to them while it means a lot to Avai..Win here will definetly secure them place no matter other results...Since that is the main reason for this bet it is not insane..If this was in the middle of the competton i would not even consieder it,but since situaton is like this imo this odds have great value...Avai knows how to play vs Corinthians they won 3 out of last 6 matches and i believe they will not loose this game..."
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i don't take much from that - but it's a start. an entry point.
against that (the OP), we have the opposite view : " Avai is in desperate mood before this game against the title winners this season away from home at Corithians as they are currently just above the relegation zone in Brazil and they have a total of 41 points while teams like Figueirense and Vasco are just behind them in the relegation zone at this moment with a total of 40 points and they are counting on Corinthians to be winning this home game here against the team of Avai in order for them to have chances of escaping relegation this season, and my bet here in this game is going to be on the team of Corithians to be winning this game here against Avai as they are the best team in the league in their home games this season, and they should be able to help Vasco or Figueirense to avoid relegation this season "
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