The figures I have for 3YO clear favs in All Age flat races on the Turf and AW for the past 5 years are:
Non-Hcaps - 43.7% winners for a 3.4% loss on turnover at SP ( 0.32% profit at Betfair SP after 5% commission).
Hcaps- 28% winners for a 11.3% loss at SP ( 6.8% loss at BSP)
I haven't looked in too much detail at the figures my computer has churned out but it looks like May is the best month to back non-hcap favs with a modest profit being returned in most years. Best months to lay them are January and (just about) August.
Best time to bet in Hcaps is in December for small profits. June and August best times to lay.
The figures I have for 3YO clear favs in All Age flat races on the Turf and AW for the past 5 years are:Non-Hcaps - 43.7% winners for a 3.4% loss on turnover at SP ( 0.32% profit at Betfair SP after 5% commission).Hcaps- 28% winners for a 11.3% loss
All favs in All Age non hcaps- 40.55% winners , loss of 7% at SP, loss of 3.6% at BSP
All favs older than 3 in All Age non -hcaps - 35.8% winners , loss of 12.55% at SP, loss of 9.58% at BSP.
On the face of it there might be a small edge in laying favs older than 3 in non-hcaps.
To answer Greenacres:All favs in All Age non hcaps- 40.55% winners , loss of 7% at SP, loss of 3.6% at BSPAll favs older than 3 in All Age non -hcaps - 35.8% winners , loss of 12.55% at SP, loss of 9.58% at BSP.On the face of it there might be a