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Eddie Batt
25 Jun 15 16:46
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Date Joined: 18 Oct 03
| Topic/replies: 1,591 | Blogger: Eddie Batt's blog
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Replies: 73
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 25 Jun 15 17:46
Job done.Ballydoyle will absolutely boss this race in my opinion.
By:
slickster
When: 25 Jun 15 18:04
Good man Eddie. How are things in the deise?
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 25 Jun 15 22:07
Ask me at 640 on Saturday.
By:
Try My Best
When: 25 Jun 15 22:40
Won't win. 4/6 was a ridiculous price
By:
Breedingmad
When: 25 Jun 15 23:55
Excited
By:
tonkability
When: 25 Jun 15 23:56
ballydoyle boss it with what ?
By:
Fashion Fever
When: 26 Jun 15 01:18
tatics will be intriqing here

think jh will just be different class myself

got a feeling laddies will go 6/4 this sat morning
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 26 Jun 15 08:49
Tonkability- 4 Ballydoyle runners-it's a safe bet they will try and make things awkward for Jack Hobbs-presumably by setting a strong pace.
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 26 Jun 15 08:50
Fashion Fever -I will be surprised if 6/4 isn't available.
By:
THE-GHOST-OF-DICKIE-BIRD
When: 26 Jun 15 09:19
Kill a man for his giro e w for me.
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 27 Jun 15 11:04
1.92 at the moment -I could cash out to win the price of a pint or go in again-I'm convinced the on course bookies will take him on and he will get chinned.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 27 Jun 15 18:40
2015-06-25
17:27    IRE Curr 27th Jun / 18:30 1m4f Grp1 / Jack Hobbs
Back         1.90    106.75    Won         96.08   

Not sure which of us was the mug considering the Betfair SP.
By:
mmmalushka
When: 27 Jun 15 19:05
Good to see see some opinion players are still on here.
By:
THE-GHOST-OF-DICKIE-BIRD
When: 27 Jun 15 19:20
well said mmmalushka
By:
sageform
When: 27 Jun 15 19:40
For once in a blue moon, Ballydoyle 3yo stayers are only group 3 class.
By:
Try My Best
When: 27 Jun 15 19:41
Taxi!!!!!!!
By:
sageform
When: 27 Jun 15 19:59
How good is Golden Horn? Jack Hobbs was probably better suited to the Curragh than to Epsom but even so, Golen Horn looked different class to him. Storm The Stars still looks like a St Leger horse provided that Jack Hobbs doesn't go there.
By:
EVILROYSLADE
When: 27 Jun 15 20:23
Golden Horn , Eclipse. I wonder how many will take him on? Bombproof!
By:
roida
When: 27 Jun 15 21:34
is eddie batt stumped?
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 27 Jun 15 21:50
Had a good day on Wednesday and turned €200 into €2000-decided this was the bet to set me up for the summer.I was fairly certain he would trade at odds against but didn't do any trading.To add salt to my wounds I had €50 on him for Epsom at 66/1.It's still been a good week.
Fair play to you Screaming-I was a million miles wrong and knew I was fcuked before they turned into the straight.
Mmmlushka -personally I think it wouldn't be a bad thing if people put up opinion bets on a regular basis-betfair could facilitate this by offering lower commission rates on bets matched the night before the race.
By:
roida
When: 27 Jun 15 21:58
so you were after a trade that didnt come to fruition?
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 27 Jun 15 22:03
Bad luck Eddie

but great to see someone getting a decent wedge up early and creating some interest.

good days/bad days

better luck tomorrow.
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 27 Jun 15 22:03
No -I was happy to let the bet run.I believe the technical term is greed.
By:
roida
When: 27 Jun 15 22:41
so why the comment 'thought it would drift to odds against'
By:
dj876
When: 27 Jun 15 22:46

Jun 27, 2015 -- 10:41PM, roida wrote:


so why the comment 'thought it would drift to odds against'


Anyone laying any 10/11 chance does so in the belief that the true probability of the outcome is an odds against chance, hence at some stage expects the market to reflect this.

Can't see why the OP is being criticised or questioned for his genuine contributions.

By:
roida
When: 27 Jun 15 22:57
maybe becos his contibution was miles away Confused
By:
dj876
When: 27 Jun 15 23:02
But it was a genuine pre-race view and didn't notice you contradicting his view point prior to the race?

I know you like a time advantage but 3 hours after the race,the market is surely suspended?
By:
Eddie Batt
When: 27 Jun 15 23:08
Betfair forumite gets it wrong -oh the shame.
By:
Eeternaloptimist
When: 27 Jun 15 23:32
I don't think you did Eddie. You just didn't take your profit when it came. I backed the horse at 2.04 and was alarmed when it went out to nearly 2.2. Had you taken your profit it would have been a nice call. No need to beat yourself up.
By:
Eeternaloptimist
When: 27 Jun 15 23:34
And don't pay any attention to that Geordie half wit. He's too busy scrabbling around in the dirt picking up other peoples pennies to have an opinion of his own.
By:
shearer2therestcue
When: 27 Jun 15 23:36
and thats why he is a rich **** -harsh but fair LaughLaugh
By:
Eeternaloptimist
When: 27 Jun 15 23:37
Each to their own shearer. No point in being the richest man in the graveyard if your fellow man despises you.
By:
Eeternaloptimist
When: 27 Jun 15 23:41
Not that I'm speaking about anybody specifically. Just a general observation.
By:
shearer2therestcue
When: 27 Jun 15 23:43
hairy muff mate - i see both sides but the guy makes muny -surely thats why we all come on here to try and do -whether you like it or not he has got it by the bollux -whatever advantage he has got
No offence meant
By:
roida
When: 28 Jun 15 00:22
fair play to anyone with an opinion..great stuff...but no point making observations that ' i thought it would drift to odds against'..there was no mention of a possible trade pre race so a drift is inconsequential to his opinion or lay.
By:
Rob_The_Bantam
When: 28 Jun 15 00:43
It's not inconsequential, though, is it?  As dj876 has already said, laying nags at 1.9 that you believe will be odds against at the off is good punting.  That is if you assume that the market has the price about right, which it generally does.

What was the BSP?  2.06?  Win or lose, 1.9 was a good lay.
By:
roida
When: 28 Jun 15 01:31
ehhh??? how was laying 1.9 a good lay?  it cantered in
By:
Rob_The_Bantam
When: 28 Jun 15 01:53
But, amazingly, this information wasn't known pre race.  Therefore it's fair to assume that if the market made it a 2.06 shot and the OP had laid 1.9, it was a good bet win or lose. 

If I get 5/4 about heads in a coin flip and it lands tails, would you be telling me I made a lousy bet?
By:
roida
When: 28 Jun 15 02:18
its pre race odds was down to a majority opinion....laying a t 1.9 something that canters in cant hardly be described as a good lay.
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