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OliasOfSunhillow
20 Jun 15 09:52
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Date Joined: 05 Apr 12
| Topic/replies: 31,388 | Blogger: OliasOfSunhillow's blog
The nonsense spouted this week about the Stoute horses and the now drifting Telescope just shows how little a grasp we as humans have on statistical analysis. Our brains are wonderful and complex organs but when it comes to statistical bias we are chimpanzes.  He has had a few pull up this week which in the eyes of those who have to fill air time, means his yard is on the brink of oblivion. If you were intending to back Telescope I suggest you have more on at the price you never expected and thank the media
Pause Switch to Standard View STOUTES HORSES dont worry
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Report workrider June 20, 2015 10:04 AM BST
Having backed Yarrow yesterday I'd be worried, in fact I'd be very worried re the yard. This lad went from been happy to screaming in the space of a furlong,nothing of note has performed well in recent weeks excluding the one pulled up injuried yesterday.  Worrying times my friend, worrying times.
Report OliasOfSunhillow June 20, 2015 10:13 AM BST
He had a winner at Leicester the other day at 6/1 and Dartmouth outran his odds at Ascot on the 18th as did Quick Defence. What this really boils down to is that in the last couple of days he has a couple that have not just run poorly but pretty much ground to a halt. To some this means the whole stable is infected with equine Ebola to others it signals an opportunity
Report spyker June 20, 2015 10:22 AM BST
Good luck with this but Yarrow was heavily backed and still ran appallingly - ok it was pw but it was backed before that and so have a few others. It always concerns me if a stable has backed runners that run badly more than if they drift - I've had a few pennies on sheikhthingy for interest in the race but Stoute should get the winner - just not with my money on it!
Report sageform June 20, 2015 10:49 AM BST
It is not all nonsense. When stables have a problem it does not affect all of their horses so a few will run well enough to satisfy those who don't believe in trainer form. In my view several Newmarket trainers are out of form despite the odd winner. Varian, M Bell, Ed Dunlop despite his Gold Cup win, Lady Cecil, Fanshawe, Cumani and Stoute. None are getting the results you might expect. That does not mean that Telescope won't win as he has a lot in hand on ratings but I would still not be backing any horses trained by those above.
Report nellie1970 June 20, 2015 11:10 AM BST
the horse at ripon the other nite seemed to be well
Report Ibrahima Sonko June 20, 2015 11:17 AM BST
Really annoying me that i cannot get 3/1 on Eagle Top.


Stoute has been unlucky this week, injuries can happen to all horses, now get that listed winner back near evens you lemmings.
Report FrankRA June 20, 2015 11:20 AM BST
Telescope does not have a lot in hand on ratings,in fact this is a tight race on paper,Telescope not a prolific winner in stakes races having only won 3 from 10 and there are at least 2 serious rivals in Eagle Top and Postponed and imo 5/4 was way too short anyway,I dont fancy anything in this race myself,but if I was pushed to have a bet I would back Eagle Top.
Report CheltenhamRoar June 20, 2015 11:22 AM BST
I agree with Sonko Grin
Fancy ET big time with or without Soutes Horses running badly.
Report sageform June 20, 2015 11:43 AM BST
I also like Eagle Top but despite what I said below, Snow Sky has been on my to follow list since his 2yo debut, so I can't resist £2 at 15.5.
Report Layboy June 20, 2015 12:04 PM BST
Only 2 5yo winners in 14 years and the last 7 have all been 4yo so the Chimp in me says that the Stoute stable inconsistency is not the only reason why the price is drifting.Wink
Report ilikewavingatbuses June 20, 2015 12:06 PM BST
i have been waiting for Telescope in this race for weeks and thought he was the cert of the week.

I have had more on not because of this post but because i will be kicking myself if he goes and wins, but I'm worried when i thought he was unbeatable a few weeks back. I Literally think if hes 100% its a one horse race and he wins half the track.
Report kemo sabe June 20, 2015 12:09 PM BST
the cumani yard will not here of defeat of theirs ,,, especially on this ground ,,, i backed the whipless kirby yesterday hopefully he will get it right today ,,,
Report sageform June 20, 2015 12:10 PM BST
11/8 now so someone thinks it is OK.
Report EVILROYSLADE June 20, 2015 12:56 PM BST
Its a lay for me.
Report morpteh mackem June 20, 2015 12:57 PM BST
sad to read about Stravagante- rip
Report railroader June 20, 2015 1:06 PM BST
What will the going be like with the rain that's coming down and does telescope not prefer firm ground
Report Ibrahima Sonko June 20, 2015 1:08 PM BST
not proper rain, wont make an ounce of difference to the going but may make the sandy bends slippy.
Report railroader June 20, 2015 1:13 PM BST
Cheers.telescope basically needs everything to be spot on I was going to back it but somethings telling me no to.shame about stravagante,had the poor horse in my Canadian along with illuminate Arab dawn erveyda and hootenay didn't never realised it was injured that badly
Report EVILROYSLADE June 20, 2015 1:14 PM BST
I dont think the going will be an inconvenience if it were to change at all. Just dont fancy Telescope today. The RM factor has it at a false price IMO. Watched Eagle Top on its return. A 100% non buzzer that day. Jockey may as well have been asleep.It was laughable. Different today, FOR SURE!
Report railroader June 20, 2015 1:17 PM BST
It's always been a inconsistent horse and with the stout stable form a bit of a worry and like you have said people will back it because of the Moore factor,
Report CheltenhamRoar June 20, 2015 1:25 PM BST
Been beaten more times than not,Not for me.
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! June 20, 2015 3:13 PM BST
Keeping up the record

Wink
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 20, 2015 3:18 PM BST
got to think Consort was an absolute cert if the stable was in form
Report Diff-rent June 20, 2015 3:19 PM BST
Trainers not had much luck recently for sure. His oaks filly ran a stinker to
Report Ibrahima Sonko June 20, 2015 3:36 PM BST
Snow Sky the pacemaker Plain
Report aberdonia June 20, 2015 3:37 PM BST
it is a brave man that backs the favourite given the stable form.

Gosden horse for me.
Report FOYLESWAR June 20, 2015 3:39 PM BST
also going for jonny gs
Report Ibrahima Sonko June 20, 2015 3:43 PM BST
Kirby was a cont then

well done SS backers, knew telescope is a donkey.
Report Diff-rent June 20, 2015 3:44 PM BST
No excuses for the fav had a great position
Report sageform June 20, 2015 3:44 PM BST
Get in !!! Loyalty rewarded. He was a shade diappointing a couple of times last year but always looked a 4yo.
Report breadnbutter June 20, 2015 3:45 PM BST
I suggest you have more on at the price you never expected and thank the media

LaughLaughLaughLaugh

what a prat
Report EVILROYSLADE June 20, 2015 3:46 PM BST
Well done Sage. Telescope a cracking horse for layers.
Report sageform June 20, 2015 3:46 PM BST
That race really illustrated my point about stable form. Although Snow Sky won for Sir Michael, Telescope really bombed so there is definitely a problem in the yard.
Report duncan idaho June 20, 2015 3:47 PM BST
stable back in form  Cool
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 20, 2015 3:47 PM BST
Consort must have been one almighty certainty
Report themover June 20, 2015 3:47 PM BST
well done Stoutey
Report OliasOfSunhillow June 20, 2015 3:50 PM BST
The whole point and message behind this thread seems to have been totally lost on most as they revell in the singualarity of this result
Report breadnbutter June 20, 2015 3:50 PM BST
stouty  knew nothing was going to go on Laugh
Report duncan idaho June 20, 2015 3:53 PM BST
OP seems confused
Report sageform June 20, 2015 3:53 PM BST
Conversation on Thursday. Sir Michael to Lord Grimthorpe. "No other races for Snow Sky for a while. Would you mind if we use him as a pacemaker for Telescope in the Hardwicke-you might get some nice place money". Teddy-"help yourself". Just joking-or am I?
Report sageform June 20, 2015 3:55 PM BST
The original post was wrong in every aspect but there you go. Racing is all about opinions and mine was that Snow Sky was a daft price.
Report OliasOfSunhillow June 20, 2015 3:56 PM BST
Thats because like many on this thread you seem to think the original post was a tip for Telescope
Report duncan idaho June 20, 2015 4:02 PM BST
sageform
20 Jun 15 15:55

Racing is all about opinions and mine was that Snow Sky was a daft price.



what, cos it's been on your to-follow list since its 2yo debut  Laugh
Report cathy seldon June 20, 2015 4:05 PM BST
the winners improved significantly. got the best ride but the best horse clearly won. difficult to see before the race though.
Report the bloob June 20, 2015 4:08 PM BST
Cunningham just described Telescope as consistent, clueless muppet. Nick Luck soon put him right
Report sageform June 20, 2015 4:12 PM BST
duncan, that and because it did the business at York as well and Sir Michael is a master of improving horses from 3 to 4. It was nearly favourite for the 2014 Derby at one stage don't forget.
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