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enpassant
15 Jun 15 20:48
Joined:
Date Joined: 03 Jun 15
| Topic/replies: 9,039 | Blogger: enpassant's blog
Won very easily despite Ryan Moore at Sandown: So impressive they way he went passed and away from horses that were travelling /had first run and momentum on him. Gleneagles  is a worthy fav for what he has achieved  but Consort looks every inch a top class G1 horse.
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Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 8:59 PM BST
you didnt think to tell us that before Sandown?
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 9:07 PM BST
As it's the Sandown race i'm referring to, that would have been problematic (or proof of detailed prophesy).
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 9:09 PM BST
did you see Consort before Sandown?
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 9:10 PM BST
yes.
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 9:11 PM BST
so why did you not tell us before Sandown he was every inch a top class Group 1 horse
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 9:14 PM BST
Isee where you're coming fromnow.I was just posting my thoughts on a FORUM about a race at RA. You it semms think that is not what forums are for i take it ?
Report G1_Jockey_4 June 15, 2015 9:18 PM BST
14L improvement (plus more from hold up bias in the guineas) ina line through room key is a bit too much to ask imo.
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 9:20 PM BST
races are not run on paper G1
Report G1_Jockey_4 June 15, 2015 9:26 PM BST
at least you told us before royal ascot.

now gonna have to re adjust my speed figures to turf instead ffs
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 9:27 PM BST
Yes I looked at both races and the distances between them. Consort looked a class above them at Sandown and was not extended has aparently grown plenty(2/3yrs) and has 'gone forward' since then. He's taking on a double 2000 winner I know but at 13/2, until he's beat I'll be with him.
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 9:29 PM BST
Golden Horn the only horse in training who would have a chance against Consort.
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 9:35 PM BST
So you're already with Consort for tomorrow ? How long has this been the case: as I have only     this last week joined the forum.
Report millhouse June 15, 2015 9:46 PM BST
At 10-1 I could see where you're coming from but at current odds he's already priced up like he's a Group One horse, imho...
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 9:56 PM BST
for good reason imnsho
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 9:58 PM BST
I can't dispute your logic but sometimes it's a combination of gead and heart. I had, for me, a sizable bet at Sandown and 2f out thought Moore had blown it. The way he won (yes it takes a leap of faith to some extent) was just very impressive with bundles of improvment to come.
Report cardifffc June 15, 2015 9:58 PM BST
both times of consort were slow........
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 10:02 PM BST
Group races are just as likely to be run at sedate pace as any. Small fieled tomorrow and 70TP in a listed race (only his 2nd race)with his head in his chest.
Report cardifffc June 15, 2015 10:22 PM BST
he beat rubbish in a slow time and is only 6\1.........with those doubts i would want double figures
Report millhouse June 15, 2015 10:24 PM BST
Belardo on the other hand, who has shown that he is a Group One horse, is five times the price...
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 10:27 PM BST
for good reason
Report cardifffc June 15, 2015 10:28 PM BST
if a lesser trainer had consort it would be 12 or 14\1
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 10:30 PM BST
Was 12/1 for ages after Sandown, the shrewdies are on.
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 10:37 PM BST
the form of the Sandown race is irrelevant to me, I already knew what he was, you will see a very different animal again tomorrow, will leave that last run well behind

I thought the Tercentenary was the right race for him but the fact he runs here I think speaks volumes considering the trainer and thats why he is the price he is

there is no possible reason to think Belardo can beat Gleneagles on fast ground, thats why he is the price he is, he is exposed in the context of the race
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 10:50 PM BST
I should add, at the start of the season I backed Consort for the Guineas at 33/1, he was my Guineas horse since he won his maiden so hes always been up to this level in my book, he had a setback and missed the race and the chance to achieve worthwhile form, he apparently only started coming to hand not long before Sandown and thats why I suspect you will see a different horse again tomorrow

he should be much sharper physically and mentally and if his work was not backing that up I think he would running in the 1m2 G3, of course he has it to do on paper having only run in a listed race and taking on the winners of the English, French and Irish Guineas, but if there is a better unexposed candidate to take them on I have not seen it

tomorrow we will find out exactly what he is
Report millhouse June 15, 2015 10:52 PM BST
Oneyaallbeenwaiting4, Dewhurst winner beaten less than two lengths in the Irish 2000 Guineas at 33-1, or Listed and maiden winner having his third ever race in a Group One at 13-2, is a no contest in terms of where the value is, imho...
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 10:58 PM BST
he beat 5 horses rated 100+. Horses that had ran in G1's and 2's. He beat them despite a questionable ride by Moore and he beat them without extending himself in any real way. You can argue the point of price I accept that but to say he beat rubbish is frankly absurd.
Report millhouse June 15, 2015 11:05 PM BST
If that's for me, I didn't say that enpassant.

I think he's probably very good and likely to be up to this class, but at the prices, which is ultimately the ONLY thing that matters, he's pretty poor value against a Dewhurst winner and two Guineas winners, imho...
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 11:05 PM BST
I backed the Dewhurst winner in the Dewhurst, not many did, but I wouldnt back him at any price tomorrow, not saying it cant happen but if it does there wont be a decent reason to explain it, imo for something to be value there has to be a reason for it possibly winning, could understand maybe if it had come up soft ground but seems to me the only way Belardo can win is if the fav does not run his race and thats before you even take Consort and Make Believe into consideration and I think the betting reflects that

his form is obviously not too far away but its far enough away when talking about a Group 1 and id rather play Latharnach at 50/1 because ive always rated him, the ground is right for him and he has not yet been exposed by the favourite
Report cardifffc June 15, 2015 11:06 PM BST
he beat secret brief whose been beaten at epsom since and the cumani horse who was well beaten in his 2 previous starts at higher level.....hardly world beaters
Report cardifffc June 15, 2015 11:08 PM BST
room key the 4th was just over 4l behind was 14l behind gleneagles
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 11:14 PM BST
what if Room Key came on for his first run of the season, what if Consort was value for a lot more than the bare form and what if he comes on again a for what was only the second run of of his life and his first after a setback

too many variables and possibilities to just read racing off paper

Gleneagles is the one to beat but he wont be beating Consort 10L, dont worry about that
Report cardifffc June 15, 2015 11:15 PM BST
enpasse.....struggling to see the good horses he beat....personally i dont think gleneagles is that special but he may   not after to be.....if you are backing consort you are backing the trainer because what its done on the racetrack needs improving.....thats not saying he cant
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 15, 2015 11:21 PM BST
if you are backing Consort you are backing potential, maybe the best since Kingman

13/2 could look the bet of the century
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 11:30 PM BST
It's certainly credible to crab there bare form in terms of G1. Those horse though have competed at group level and Consort looked in a different league to them.
Report hello :-) June 15, 2015 11:46 PM BST
13/2 is poor poor value for inexperienced listed race winner against an improving dual guineas winner , and the rest are no mugs either

I may be totally wrong but the stoute yard doesn't have anything near the quality of previous years in general and I think is running with hope rather than expectation , I don't doubt the horse is quality but 6s is terrible value ,

if this was trained by lesser than stoutey it would be 16s 20s
Report enpassant June 15, 2015 11:57 PM BST
8's into 5'WH & Lad someone thought the odds were ok. The argument about it being SMS and not a 'lesser trainer': Stoute (and highclere) have classy animals to gallop with and choose from and hence where to enter them.
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 12:16 AM BST
bit anorakish but there is also a line through Integral that gives Solow the clear beating of N.O.T.
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 12:17 AM BST
*Solow thread
Report hello :-) June 16, 2015 12:29 AM BST
you may be right enpassant and if you back it I hope you are

The price just looks very skinny on achievement and experience , I wont play on this one I don't think just enjoy it
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 12:37 AM BST
Skinny I guess but for those that have crabbed his form ect (with fair points)and therefor his price: there is plenty money waiting to back him for layers, particularly those that think he ought to be nearer 16's.
Report hello :-) June 16, 2015 12:49 AM BST
with all the greats stoutes had over years he has won this once , and you need to go against solid top class form from a horse with maybe more improvement to come

to go against that with a listed win , 6s isn't value but I also know it wont be disgraced either but it wont be winning tomorrow
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 1:06 AM BST
Does anyone have the end of this sentence from a gallop report as frustratingly it ends there on the site I was on:

CONSORT be part of the action next week, a prospect made ever more juicy after he had gone half a dozen lengths clear of
Report hello :-) June 16, 2015 1:16 AM BST
wow that's frustrating , I want to know aswell Laugh
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 1:21 AM BST
I know oddly I found another site and it ended the same.
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 1:25 AM BST
Just think, if the line ends with.....Integral... you might have to reconsider !
Report Breedingmad June 16, 2015 7:22 AM BST
Make Believe for me GL AllExcited
Report geoff m June 16, 2015 8:31 AM BST
Consort beat Secret Brief that had finished last on his 2 previous runs and has subsequently got beat by a horse that was an also ran in Gleneagles Guineas.
The Guineas also ran gave Secret Brief 4lb.
If Consort finds a stone improvement he migh have a chance up against the winners of 3 GUineas.
4 me lay of the day.
Report G1_Jockey_4 June 16, 2015 8:49 AM BST
the race is run on grass mate not the racing post Laugh
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 12:12 PM BST
johnny Barnes : beaten 5 1/4L by Consort
Johnny Barnes : beaten 4L by Vert De Grece
Vert De Grece: beaten 3/4L BY Gleneagles

Now I'm not arguing that form lines are undisputable in terms of who wins but it is there for those that are using pure form lines to crab Consorts credentials.
Report Diff-rent June 16, 2015 12:17 PM BST
The 2nd at Sandown had the run of the race at Epsom and let the form down. None of the other Sandown runners have raced since. Will need to improve by ?? I'd say almost 10lbs unless the Fav runs poorly.
Report johnnyrant June 16, 2015 12:20 PM BST
Bit of an insult to Consort that they didn't even mention him when previewing thr race on the Morning Line.
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 16, 2015 12:20 PM BST

Jun 16, 2015 -- 8:49AM, G1_Jockey_4 wrote:


the race is run on grass mate not the racing post


Laugh

Report cardifffc June 16, 2015 12:37 PM BST
anyone who took the bigger prices is on a fair price but 6\1 is a little skinny
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 16, 2015 12:49 PM BST
When I backed Kingman for the Guineas before the Greenham, it wasnt on the strength of his 2L defeat of Emirates Flyer and Music Theory, for anyone who seen the class he showed on debut, the form of that race became irrelevant.

Suggesting Consort needs to find a stone is ridiculous, the Guineas this year were average renewals at best and Gleneagles was made to work to beat a similarly unexposed type last time in Ireland. Endless Drama wouldnt be in the same class as Consort for my money. Gleneagles is a decent miler in a poor year, also debatable how much improvement he has left in him, he could be vulnerable to something catching up with him and surpassing him as we often see happening in this division, especially to the ones who won the 2yo races. I wouldnt want anything to do with 4/6 about him today.
Report cardifffc June 16, 2015 12:55 PM BST
kingman won his maiden in a sensational time..........consort won his in probably the slowest time of the day
Report sageform June 16, 2015 1:00 PM BST
Like a few other unbeaten horses, you never quite know until they are tested at this level. The French Oaks fav. had all the stats in its favour but finished out the back. I am willing to take a chance with Consort who was not prepared early for the Guineas. Belardo only has 3 lb. to find on Gleneagles and he is 33/1!
Report cardifffc June 16, 2015 1:03 PM BST
sage.......its all about price ........people who have 14s and 16s have a good bet but i would struggle to make a case for him at 6s
Report oneyallbeenwaiting4 June 16, 2015 1:05 PM BST
was never 14s or 16s, was put in at 12/1 best price, been no bigger than 8/1 since being confirmed for the race
Report cardifffc June 16, 2015 1:18 PM BST
12s is better than 6s
Report geoff m June 16, 2015 1:35 PM BST
enpassant if you think johnny barnes on gd to firm @ Sandown performed to the same level as his soft ground second in the Criterium International its time to take up another sport.
Report geoff m June 16, 2015 1:43 PM BST
As added garbage to the Consort form White Lake who waltzed thro the filed like a knife thro butter looking for all a 7 f hoss had finished last of 7 in the Craven and the 4th Room Key finished 16th of 18 in the Guineas.
Consort is a horse of plenty of potential but @ 6s in this company @ this stage of his career no thanks .
Agree with Cardiffc its all about the price and imo 6s is wrong.
Report howard June 16, 2015 1:43 PM BST
Looks a top 10f horse. Running here because fav might have an off-day and the place money is useful anyway.
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 1:47 PM BST
goeff: You seem not to have taken the point I was making on board, it was that pure form lines need interpreting and therefor are open to conjecture and debate. So in a sense we agree. Hope that clears it up for you.
Report geoff m June 16, 2015 2:20 PM BST
Glad we agree then enpassant that the next 3 horses Consort beat last time out where either last or nearer last than first on their previous outing.
All open to interpretation and debate tho.
I wont wish you good luck as I will have done my conkers.
Report enpassant June 16, 2015 2:36 PM BST
hahaha
Report Diff-rent June 16, 2015 4:16 PM BST
Connections seem confident on Ch4 and Fav is sweating up.
Report EastLower Gooner June 16, 2015 4:19 PM BST
he sweated up before both guineas...seems to be a trait with some in the giants causeway family.
Report Whippin Piccadilly June 16, 2015 4:21 PM BST
I will be amazed if Consort beats Gleneagles & Make Believe
Report geoff m June 16, 2015 4:25 PM BST
Lovely pacemaker.
Report themover June 16, 2015 4:26 PM BST
seriously, how did it trade at 1.83 Crazy
Report cardifffc June 16, 2015 4:27 PM BST
8 hurdles and the triumph hurdle beckons
Report Diff-rent June 16, 2015 4:27 PM BST
Had the run of the race and still not on 1st two
Report geoff m June 16, 2015 4:28 PM BST
1.83 backers really need a trip to specsavers.
Report broadsword June 16, 2015 4:29 PM BST
hit 1.02 to place...ONLY laid stake off  at 1.14 AngryAngry
Report rewired June 16, 2015 4:29 PM BST
seriously, how did it trade at 1.83 Crazy
it is always looking workman like in running
but its no slouch
Report rewired June 16, 2015 4:30 PM BST
geoff m • June 16, 2015 4:28 PM BST
1.83 backers really need a trip to specsavers.
Grin
Report Whippin Piccadilly June 16, 2015 4:30 PM BST
Consort will never win a G1
Report geoff m June 16, 2015 4:31 PM BST
I was wrong i thought he needed to find a stone
Its clearly a stone and halfLaugh
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