Today's out of the ballpark guess 8/6/2015

All bets settled at BFSP with 5% commission deducted from any winnings:
Running P/L: +18.6

A P/L will also be kept at the early odds that were generally available:
Running P/L: +24.5

Today's guess:
Grand Diamond, 6.05 Ayr, 1pt EW

Positives
Despite his age, showed enough in 2014 to suggest there could be another race in him, placing on 4 occasions and running better than the bare form suggests on another occasion.

Now 12lb below his last winning mark and 6lb lower than when second over c/d last August.

Carol Bartley has ridden him once before and placed on him (though admittedly he went into that race in better form)

Negatives
Now an 11yo and has offered little in 2 starts this season, not helping his chance by taking a grip.

Undoubtedly better on a sound surface and could do with the ground a drying out.

History dictates that he peaks in the second half of the season.