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06 Jun 15
07:55
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Date Joined:
14 Apr 06
Having noticed PWise put my first fancy up so I wasn't going to post, but have decided to.. not sure what Tom Segal's take on Pearl Acclaims chance is as I don't buy the paper but here's mine....
E.W. bet(s) Pearl Acclaim 15.45 Epsom 25-1 generally(33-1 available when prices revert) , Nakeeta 16.55 Musselburgh 12-1 Ladbrokes + E.W. double.
The dash at Epsom is the only race on the card I was interested in terms of a bet, with plenty of old foes lining up to try and secure connections a very handsome pot just shy of 62K. I'm fairly sure that anyone involved in racing will tell you the cliche of run a 20 runner sprint handicap 20 times and you'd have the same amount of different winners, with this particular race I'd very much concur with that statement, as sprint races go it can often leave the form book looking monumentally wrong. With that above declaration in mind the proven ability to win the race and luck in running are probably the only two factors you will need to consider to fathom it out, such a shame that Imo all have the proven ability to win it, with the second factor being very much an unknown probable.
Knowing what it takes to win this race and winning it are, like the above, definitely on different sides of the coin. However Dandy Nicholls must rank highly within the training profession of knowing what it takes to win this, having had multiple successes in the 90's and early on in 2000. For whatever reason unknown to me David Nicholls has not got the same artillery in his arsenal he once had, but I'm fairly confident with the string he currently trains he still knows how to ready a one to the minute for these type of big races. Pearl Acclaim never progressed into the type of horse expected from his 2yrold campaign, quickly moved on by Richard Hannon into the care of Robert Cowell, he in turn not having the horse that long before parting with it, Dandy has subsequently taken over his care and sends him down with stablemate Barnet Fair for another crack at a prize he is synonymous with.
It's hard to know what to make of today's riding arrangements, but one thing's for sure the chap on board Paul Quinn has been at the helm of landing some mammoth gambles during his tenure with the stable, usually on horses that appear to be well down in the pecking order of the usual multiple entries the stable had. Despite his demise in the training profession and lack of decent stock Dandy Nicholls knows how to get one prepared for this purse, which can more often than not with this outfit have been months in the planning. I get the distinct impression that Pearl Acclaim looks to have been campaigned with one of these big type of prizes in mind, the fact that Paul Quinn get's back in the plate just about firms my personal theory up. Having showed some nice early toe in a reasonable contest Lto at York he kept on well to finish a respectable 6th of 15 behind Out Do, with some fair form transpiring from that event. He's now dropped to a mark of 87 and gets in here by the skin of his teeth of joint bottom weight, I'd not at all be surprised if he wasn't one of those springers in the market associated with this contest and as sprinters go he's not had that many miles on the clock considering his now connections... Is today the day? I do hope so.
Later on up at Musselburgh I'm hoping that the Ian Jardine trained Nakeeta could have a bigger run in him than his current price suggests, however outrunning those odds and getting a return on an investment are quite different, but at 12-1 I think he's a solid enough E.W. option in this type of race.
He is one of the more less exposed types in the line up, showing steady improvement with racing during his latest 3yrold campaign, bagging a couple of handicaps within that very light season. He did improve his mark by 14lbs from his initial handicap allocation in that time, with the way he's been campaigned so far indicating they may feel he has the potential to develop into a better older horse. His seasonal debut in his current campaign was just shy of a fortnight ago at Pontefract over today's trip, finishing 7th of the 8 runners. That day he was held up at the rear, running very fresh in the early part of the race despite the usual hood in place, the dawdling pace would not have helped either with those that were dictating matters filling the first 3 positions home, the clock also a sure indicator that the way the race developed he was never going to get involved. That spin should have at least tightened him up and taken that freshness off him, with the assessor also seeing fit to lop a pound off his mark for good measure. It's worth noting it was a similar story last season prior to his win second time out, a steady enough introduction on his first run back under G.Lee before David Nolan got the leg up, who is back in the plate today, who has a solid enough record when riding for the yard( 2 from 4 on Nakeeta). One or two of this line up like to press on, hopefully the pace will be more substantial than that of Pontefract, that I'm sure would be half the battle for this horse today.
GL if you get involved.
E.W. bet(s) Pearl Acclaim 15.45 Epsom 25-1 generally(33-1 available when prices revert) , Nakeeta 16.55 Musselburgh 12-1 Ladbrokes + E.W. double.
The dash at Epsom is the only race on the card I was interested in terms of a bet, with plenty of old foes lining up to try and secure connections a very handsome pot just shy of 62K. I'm fairly sure that anyone involved in racing will tell you the cliche of run a 20 runner sprint handicap 20 times and you'd have the same amount of different winners, with this particular race I'd very much concur with that statement, as sprint races go it can often leave the form book looking monumentally wrong. With that above declaration in mind the proven ability to win the race and luck in running are probably the only two factors you will need to consider to fathom it out, such a shame that Imo all have the proven ability to win it, with the second factor being very much an unknown probable.
Knowing what it takes to win this race and winning it are, like the above, definitely on different sides of the coin. However Dandy Nicholls must rank highly within the training profession of knowing what it takes to win this, having had multiple successes in the 90's and early on in 2000. For whatever reason unknown to me David Nicholls has not got the same artillery in his arsenal he once had, but I'm fairly confident with the string he currently trains he still knows how to ready a one to the minute for these type of big races. Pearl Acclaim never progressed into the type of horse expected from his 2yrold campaign, quickly moved on by Richard Hannon into the care of Robert Cowell, he in turn not having the horse that long before parting with it, Dandy has subsequently taken over his care and sends him down with stablemate Barnet Fair for another crack at a prize he is synonymous with.
It's hard to know what to make of today's riding arrangements, but one thing's for sure the chap on board Paul Quinn has been at the helm of landing some mammoth gambles during his tenure with the stable, usually on horses that appear to be well down in the pecking order of the usual multiple entries the stable had. Despite his demise in the training profession and lack of decent stock Dandy Nicholls knows how to get one prepared for this purse, which can more often than not with this outfit have been months in the planning. I get the distinct impression that Pearl Acclaim looks to have been campaigned with one of these big type of prizes in mind, the fact that Paul Quinn get's back in the plate just about firms my personal theory up. Having showed some nice early toe in a reasonable contest Lto at York he kept on well to finish a respectable 6th of 15 behind Out Do, with some fair form transpiring from that event. He's now dropped to a mark of 87 and gets in here by the skin of his teeth of joint bottom weight, I'd not at all be surprised if he wasn't one of those springers in the market associated with this contest and as sprinters go he's not had that many miles on the clock considering his now connections... Is today the day? I do hope so.
Later on up at Musselburgh I'm hoping that the Ian Jardine trained Nakeeta could have a bigger run in him than his current price suggests, however outrunning those odds and getting a return on an investment are quite different, but at 12-1 I think he's a solid enough E.W. option in this type of race.
He is one of the more less exposed types in the line up, showing steady improvement with racing during his latest 3yrold campaign, bagging a couple of handicaps within that very light season. He did improve his mark by 14lbs from his initial handicap allocation in that time, with the way he's been campaigned so far indicating they may feel he has the potential to develop into a better older horse. His seasonal debut in his current campaign was just shy of a fortnight ago at Pontefract over today's trip, finishing 7th of the 8 runners. That day he was held up at the rear, running very fresh in the early part of the race despite the usual hood in place, the dawdling pace would not have helped either with those that were dictating matters filling the first 3 positions home, the clock also a sure indicator that the way the race developed he was never going to get involved. That spin should have at least tightened him up and taken that freshness off him, with the assessor also seeing fit to lop a pound off his mark for good measure. It's worth noting it was a similar story last season prior to his win second time out, a steady enough introduction on his first run back under G.Lee before David Nolan got the leg up, who is back in the plate today, who has a solid enough record when riding for the yard( 2 from 4 on Nakeeta). One or two of this line up like to press on, hopefully the pace will be more substantial than that of Pontefract, that I'm sure would be half the battle for this horse today.
GL if you get involved.
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excellent write up,really fancy barnet fair myself.
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