Today's out of the ballpark GUESS, 5/6/2015

All bets settled at BFSP with 5% commission deducted from any winnings:
Running P/L: +15.3

A P/L will also be kept at the early odds that were generally available:
Running P/L: +19

Today's guess:

Pearl Noir, 1pt EW, 2.50 Catt

Positives:

Trailblazer who was generally in fine form throughout the winter, winning twice and going close on other occasions.

Still shaped as though in good form on his penultimate start at Kempton when only caught late on by a mare who followed up by winning her next start by 6l.

Negatives:

Well held the last twice he was seen on turf in 2014 and now has to race off an 11lb higher mark.

Drawn away from the rail and likely to face competition for the lead.

Currently trading around 19.5, and generally a 20-1 poke.

Date	Horse	Stake	BFSP	Fin Pos	P/L	Running P / L	Early price	P / L	Running P/L
30/05/2015	Beedee	1ew	18	0	-2	-2	21	-2	-2
31/05/2015	Ya Halla	1ew	20.12 & 4.31	1	21.3	19.3	21	25	23
01/06/2015	Playboy Bay	1ew	38	0	-2	17.3	34	-2	21
03/06/2015	Juventas	1ew	74.8	0	-2	15.3	34	-2	19