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koikeeper
12 Feb 15 08:56
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Date Joined: 02 Aug 07
| Topic/replies: 25,532 | Blogger: koikeeper's blog
Kelso 4.30

SIR DU BEARN does look a good thing , A good jumper and  will probably lead all the way.

Leicester 4,10

This is a cracking race, but hard to fathom as the bug bear is the 20f trip.... on good ground.

FOLLOWING DREAMS is the horse I have been waiting for, but not over this trip, it has the best form here and I think would have been very hard to beat over 3m, it has a habit of hitting one and if this tace is run at pace, it could force more errors, as this is its seasonal debut and maybe not as fit as the others.

WOODVIEW PRINCE came back after a long lay off (unbeaten bar an UR on its debut) and was beaten by Junior, who didnt look straight forward in that race yet still manage to win,  and no surprise to see WOODVIEW PRINCE finish 2nd when needing the race.
WOODVIEW PRINCE has since won well over 3m, but really stays well and I have reservations about this trip being on the sharp side..... it seems to be a good jumper, but a low jumper...
I just wonder if  WOODVIEW PRINCE maybe doesnt stand that much racing , 2 runs in 2011, 2 runs in 2012,  and only one run in 2013....
An interesting thing to note is that     WOODVIEW PRINCE was trained by Sheila Crow in all those previous races, but has returned after the layoff for JJ O'Shea...I dont know why though.
but  its  a rare occurrence that a horse actually improves when leaving the Crows,

Shelia Crow runs a very interesting "youngster" in MR MERCURIAL, this horse looks to travel and have a bit of speed and probably just get the 3m, this trip could be ideal.
Looked to win its point easily, but was said to be blowing and "its class got it home", so it is plausible that it will come on a fair bit for that run.
Paddy Gerety is a very good jock and his 5LB claim could make the difference.

Now I could have this totally wrong, but at the prices I am on MR MERCURIAL, I thing everything about this race will suit it more than the other two.
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Report REM February 12, 2015 9:53 AM GMT
Sir Du Bearn looks like an evens money punt to me and my attempts to better that over night proved futile.

Mr Mercurial won what I think was a slightly above average Larkhill intermediate (Storm Lantern was a big disappointment), but did seem to be emptying fast after a proper 3m gallop.  Difficult to weigh up Woodview Prince, but I do like what I've seen of Following Dreams. The shorter trip may help Mr Mercurial who has a recent run like Woodview Prince.  Probably not a great deal between the three of them, so would say there's a bit of value siding with Mr Mercurial, but the market doesn't seem far wrong with those three. An interesting race nonetheless.

Good luck.
Report NOW WE KNOW February 12, 2015 10:01 AM GMT
I think you lot should all be banned for having a sensible, calm discussion about the chance of horses in a horse race.Wink
Report allpoints February 12, 2015 11:24 AM GMT
Got to agree with you here Koi on the Kelso race,never bothered looking at the other race.However this race at Kelso there's some decent amateurs riding.Alright I know a lot of you don't like lady jockeys but watch Emma Todd,this girl is very useful.Tom Hamilton another top notcher.Will Biddick may be the best known of these but he's in with a good bunch here,none of this oh it's daddy's horse thing so I'll get the ride.These jocks have got these rides because they can ride & not because of who their fathers etc.are.
Report sparta 012 February 12, 2015 11:25 AM GMT
4.10 Mr mercurial
4.30 Monogram
Report koikeeper February 12, 2015 11:31 AM GMT
Emma rode a cracker yesterday on Drom, could not fault the ride.
Report hovekermit February 12, 2015 11:45 AM GMT
Sir Du Bearn is a very hard ride, even under Biddick...Think the mare Barachois Silver will be a better each way punt in case the fav puts in a bad day...mare needed the run first time out and will come on plenty for her point pipe opener...

Woodview Prince fall no bet would be my selection but bookie chaps not that generous.


great write up as usual Koi
Report kemo sabe February 12, 2015 3:47 PM GMT
it looks like we are all going to either win a load of cash or perhaps not as we all fancy the same horses .lets hope the crow swoops... though do know that connections of the fav in 4.10 really fancy it ... so i might have a saver ..just in case
Report koikeeper February 12, 2015 3:59 PM GMT
Kemo, JJ always fancies his lol
Report dave d February 12, 2015 4:05 PM GMT
hi lads goo write up koi however im against ya in the last at kelso with BARACHOIS SILVER .....getting the mares allowance was as big as a bull at Alnwick in December and I know has been going much better at home lately ...good luck everyone dd
Report layingdoesntwork February 12, 2015 4:20 PM GMT
Wow...
Report Scamp the man February 12, 2015 4:20 PM GMT
Unlucky Cry
Report layingdoesntwork February 12, 2015 4:20 PM GMT
Good job I laid out at 1.10, cheers Koi
Report BadBeat February 12, 2015 4:20 PM GMT
Carnage
Report ashleigh February 12, 2015 4:20 PM GMT
mugged.Sad
Report Wesdag February 12, 2015 4:21 PM GMT
If it's any consolation, it hit 1.01.

Hopefully a good trade out opportunity.
Report koikeeper February 12, 2015 4:22 PM GMT
I just wished he had kicked on a bit earlier, would have had a bit of a cushion, may still have been beat though.
Report georgebakerfanclub February 12, 2015 4:22 PM GMT
I blame the jockey again! should have sent it on instead of turning it into a sprint. Might not have won but would have had a better chance than waiting for the favorite to catch it up.
Report kemo sabe February 12, 2015 4:23 PM GMT
i would like to say thats ok i traded out like i usually do but in this case i didnt ... until five mins ago i was haveing a huge day ... now back to where i started ahhhg
Report kemo sabe February 12, 2015 4:25 PM GMT
i must not chase on the next one ,i must not chase on the next one.... etc etc
Report koikeeper February 12, 2015 4:25 PM GMT
The winner is one I have been waiting for, its been pulled out a few times, just thought the trip was against it today.
Report bannahan February 12, 2015 4:27 PM GMT
2 for me in this 16:30....MONOGRAM and DOUGLAS JULIAN.....gl all Wink
Report allpoints February 12, 2015 4:31 PM GMT
Well had another look at the race & had a sporting bet.Incase anything goes wrong with the jolly I've backed John Dawsons horse(Some something or other).True this horse did very little in Ireland pointing but it wasn't too bad on N.H..At Alnwick it went round quicker than B.S. & B.S.is more of a spring horse so why should it be about 80s when B.S. is in single figures?Laid B.S for a place also.
Report 1st time poster February 12, 2015 4:32 PM GMT
if your not careful your reasonably civilised threads will become the home of the blame the jock, and we wuz robbed merchants, Wink
Report polab February 12, 2015 4:37 PM GMT
well done banna..nearly the fc too
Report koikeeper February 12, 2015 4:38 PM GMT
A desperate run allpoints, nowwhere near the run of last time, just didnt jump today
Report kemo sabe February 12, 2015 4:39 PM GMT
well done bannahan.hope y did the forcast
Report kemo sabe February 12, 2015 4:39 PM GMT
well done bannahan.hope y did the forcast
Report bannahan February 12, 2015 4:41 PM GMT
Thanks chaps....no forecast (again)!


Jock deserves a lot of credit
Report koikeeper February 12, 2015 4:42 PM GMT
Still got it at 13, WD mate
Report polab February 12, 2015 4:44 PM GMT
Chosen Milan 4/1   Lost   -1    -1
Darsi Dancer  6/4   Lost   -1   -2
Double Dash   9/2   Lost   -1   -3
Palypso De Creek   4/1  Won  +4   +1
Current Event   5/2   Won   +2.5    +3.5
PDB    5/4     Won   +1.25    +4.75
Court Frontier   9/4  Lost   -1  +3.75
Walden    5/4   Lost   -1     +2.75
Executive Benefit    3/1   Lost   -1   +1.75
Mr Mercurial      7/2    Lost   -1   +0.75
Sir Du Bearn    10/11    Lost    -1   -0.25


Koi...have I missed anything out ?
Report bannahan February 12, 2015 4:44 PM GMT
Thanks koi Wink


Got 18.5 and 14
Report penzance February 12, 2015 4:44 PM GMT
1st & 3rd,right one won
Bana (12/1).
   wd
   GL
Report bannahan February 12, 2015 4:49 PM GMT
penz Wink
Report allpoints February 12, 2015 4:49 PM GMT
Played a draw on the race (apart from a few coppers)laid B.S. for a place to get my money back.The golden rule about B.S. is do not back it until the weather warms up.Come the end of March it will be a decent horse.Did you notice who rode the winner,this lad will be in demand when he turns conditional.One of the best young riders in the country at the moment.Emma also rode a cracker.
Report norn iron February 12, 2015 4:53 PM GMT
KOI HOW DID HIDDEN FUTURE RUN  (HIT 1.56 IR) WAS DECNT CHASER FOR MCBRATNEY 2ND TO ROCKY WEDNESDAY THAT WON YESTERDAY AND I CANCELLED FIVER @60  SO GOT LUCKY   

COULD PICK UP HUNTER ?
Report koikeeper February 12, 2015 4:58 PM GMT
Race 6 - 4:30pm THE LINGLIE OPEN HUNTERS' STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 6)
The Stewards considered the running of SIR DU BEARN (FR), ridden by Mr W. Biddick and trained by Mickey Bowen, which finished unplaced. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of the gelding during routine testing revealed that SIR DU BEARN (FR) was lame left hind.
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