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ThunderRoad
29 Jan 14 14:30
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Date Joined: 09 May 12
| Topic/replies: 6,295 | Blogger: ThunderRoad's blog
Another one-meeting day, another piece of analysis. Today's race is a 7 furlong, Class 7 handicap at Kempton Park (AW).

The first thing that's caught my eye is the number of potential front-runners. Six Silver Lane, Mucky Molly, Starbotton, Strategic Action, Rydale Lass all like to lead, and I would expect a furious pace, which will suit the hold-up horses in the race.

It is therefore no surprise to see Fleetwoodsands as the 6/1 favourite. Fleetwoodsands tends to be dropped out early, and always does his best work at the finish. He was well-backed into 4/1 favouritism after a 9 month break LTO, which suggests he's shown plenty at home. That trip was inadequate, and he probably needed the run too.  He'll improve for that, today's C+D will suit much better and the likely strong pace will fall right into his hands. Add to that the 3 pound drop in the weights, the drop in class, the new headgear and he looks a corker of a bet @ 6/1.

gl

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Replies: 6
By:
Pinza
When: 29 Jan 14 15:57
If it doesn't win you get another chance tommorrow
Entered at same track and grade over 8f
By:
BlackSamBellamy
When: 29 Jan 14 15:58
Horse is friendless, out to 9.6 Six Silver Lane and Surrey Dream the two for cash
By:
kemo sabe
When: 29 Jan 14 16:26
im interested ... if its a great bet at 6s are y going in again at bigger odds ,,,
By:
ThunderRoad
When: 29 Jan 14 16:39
Yes, I am
By:
kemo sabe
When: 29 Jan 14 16:40
thanks for yrs ive joined you in investing a tenner ... the best of luck ...
By:
Swardean
When: 29 Jan 14 17:52
Won the race last year... already a reason system to follow
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