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taipan501
03 May 13 12:15
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Date Joined: 09 Aug 11
| Topic/replies: 6,321 | Blogger: taipan501's blog
not for me, can't have her. Looks a little whippet of a thing that wont take much racing. unsurprising she only once at 2, wonder how small she was then!

can easily see her bouncing and running unplaced/eased up




what's your thoughts folks
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Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 12:15 PM BST
*raced once at 2*
Report TheJudge • May 3, 2013 12:19 PM BST
My thoughts are you haven't seen her and are talking shíte again
Report hello :-) • May 3, 2013 12:24 PM BST
Done nothing wrong yet so cannot be discounted , and in the hands of someone who knows better than anyone alive what is needed with a filly in this race tho I will say the price is quite short

Liked the way it won last time aswell , looked very decent
Report john92 • May 3, 2013 12:26 PM BST
Looks leggy, Cecil's first thought was Ascot and may have benefited from the rail. There's enough to put me off at the price even though she clearly has a leading chance.
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 12:30 PM BST
Ye, can't argue with that. It's just the 3lbs she got from sky latern, and that it just looked like sky latern blew up in the last furlong. i can easily see her turn that form around. 12.5 is a value


hot snap far too short at 3/1, you can easily make cases for 5 other fillies. and i'll be a layer at 3/1
Report TheJudge • May 3, 2013 12:33 PM BST
definitely too short, she is no whippet of a thing I can tell you
Report hello :-) • May 3, 2013 12:34 PM BST
Good luck with that project takes a brave man to go against a cecil filly that won impressively last time out

Im going to wait till sunday and see what the market is doing
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 12:40 PM BST
ye, i'm defo gonna take her on. i'm convinced she was flattered in the nell gywn. she had plum draw, they went hard up front, 4 horses taking each other on, she was outpaced/held up at the back with sky latern, so no surprise they finished 1st and 2nd.

i give massive credit to winning express, best of those drawn wide, went with the pace, got buffeted around a fair bit.

still it wouldnt surprise me if the winner wasn't among those. fiercely competitve
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 12:48 PM BST
even if you lay her at 3/1 and if she travels as poorly as she did in the nell gywn, should be a very easy trade
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 12:58 PM BST
actually maybe not, can't see them going as hard at the front as they did in they did there
Report Pinza • May 3, 2013 3:07 PM BST
Horses with 1-1 form figures in previous 1000 gns races support the poster.

1982 Slightly Dangerous 5th 4/1
1986 Sonic Lady  3rd 6/4f
1990 Heart Of Joy 2nd 4/1
2000 Petrushka 3rd 6/4f
2003 Mezzo Soprano unp 7/1
2008 Infallible  4th 7/2

They don't come along often but a pretty good lay imo.
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 3:19 PM BST
great stat pinza, so looking at that she's just 50/50 to place. they have her place price right at about evens i think it was trading, so no value there. and defo no value in the win for sure
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 3:24 PM BST
can anybody check ROI% on  pivotal on flatstats?
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 3:26 PM BST
and don't forget, she may have won easy enough in the end, but no doubt she's had a hard race there, a very hard race.
Report taipan501 • May 3, 2013 3:38 PM BST
poor heart of joy, was beaten by salsabil, who only went and won the irish derby! wonder how many fillies have won either derby.

heart of joy went off fav on debut though, hot snap went off 7/1Plain
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