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05 Apr 13
22:30
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Date Joined:
03 Jun 07
At Fishers Cross is one of the best 3 miles hurdlers in the last decade, would had placed in this race.
I didnt have African Gold as a 3miler, thought he was a 2m5f horse.
Given that you can discount the horses:
2-3-4-5-7-13
so that makes this a 7 runner race.
Celestial Halo - major chance, loves it good but still has to prove his stamina
Hollywell - grand horse but the formlines say no.
Medinas - adore this his after backing him at 33 at cheltenham. very smart horse but a bit behind group horses.
Oscara Dora - good horse, not good enough.
Smad Place - Made a career of mopping up behind the elite, can he make the gap ?
Solwhit - superstar - back him
I have just realised that AG has very little to beat
I didnt have African Gold as a 3miler, thought he was a 2m5f horse.
Given that you can discount the horses:
2-3-4-5-7-13
so that makes this a 7 runner race.
Celestial Halo - major chance, loves it good but still has to prove his stamina
Hollywell - grand horse but the formlines say no.
Medinas - adore this his after backing him at 33 at cheltenham. very smart horse but a bit behind group horses.
Oscara Dora - good horse, not good enough.
Smad Place - Made a career of mopping up behind the elite, can he make the gap ?
Solwhit - superstar - back him
I have just realised that AG has very little to beat
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You seem to have discounted the winner.
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the cheltenham race certainly has a solid look about it.
would give the mare (Utopie des bordes) that finished 5th in the race a solid chance in the Mersey novices. Beat Aim to Prosper a hell of a lot further than Up and Go did at Ascot (admittedly eased). |
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I'm on him as think conditions will be perfect, I do fear Solwhit though. I thought CH was miles past his best so either I'm wrong or the 3 mile divison is very weak and ready for a novice to come and show them how it's done!
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agree Ibrahima although have backed Celestial Halo as well...dutched
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Solwhit is MILES clear on my trends!
Not a 100% horse like At Fishers Cross was but still well clear. |
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solwhit "in fine fettle" atm do the exacta imo
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which one FB ?
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He must be on about Grand Crus I think,I suppose he gets better ground than he's had all year.
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No, he is not that stupid. More like Bears Affair or Attaglance who have decent ew chances.
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i'd be very afraid of solwhit actually finishing this race on this ground.....gonna have a few quid on a place lay just in case
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Bears Affair got no chance imo. They were weak handicaps he won and was well behind Oscar Dara last time.
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I would never judge a horse when its beaten by a stablemate, especially when he is holding up the handicap.
Anyway it would be much easier if FB reappeared. |
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AG may be young and improving but he's got to have improved out of sight in the last 3 weeks, I wouldn't back it at double the odds, I would be amazed if it places
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I've backed Bears Affair. Plenty to find on the book but he's unexposed,goes well fresh and on the track. Untried over the trip but by Presenting out of a dual 3m chase winner he's bred to relish it.
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Bear's Affair e/w for me too. Has won at the track and like FB says, is unexposed and open to lots of improvement. Given that Ocsara Dara was in receipt of nearly a stone when defeating him at Kempton, I wouldn't have thought he'll have much of a problem reversing the placings; especially with Gerraghty having chosen this one.
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