8-30 Kempton

amen is wellbred son of galileo 48/1 back to lay
not sure how it will go here though gl

wom 20/80 win now 19 place 5.4.

I Said last time i would eat my saxophone if Asia Minor got beat and Luke Morris managed just that with her

Saxophone gone I will now eat my Trumpet if she gets beat tonight.

Race closer to the pace and she WILL beat these tonight.

Fill your stockings

she didnt used to have the strenght to get the bet out of anything over a mile, turnr, she has now

Asia Minor for me also

gl

THERABOUTS TOO

Asia minor good thing... beat 2nd fav comfortably, then run of race draw and slightly tactical inept ride cost it last times, no excuses tonight

2    921     Evergreen Forest    33
7    x2x66      Minority Interest    32
6    x5534      Thereabouts    31.5
4    x8647      Shalambar    31
Small bet on the overpriced minority.GL all.

Jesus

Some terrible rides there off a slow pace.

No bet for me btw

you want ketchup with that holmsie.

WD Zealot.

Why ride her out the back again

Forget the ketchup. I'll have a bottle of Jim Bean to wash it down

rides Kempton well Crowley

wd winners

wd zealot

Crowley is top dog at Kempers imho

A bit of aftertiming here, the Asia Minor costs me AGAIN....

thanks

Going to keep following Asia minor, last twice way race has panned out has cost her, surely it wouldn't hurt to ride her a bit closer to the pace

if ya knew anything about winter racing ya wouldnt be touching it, they bouncy bouncy bounce.


UK or Ireland - United Kingdom
Date (Month of Year)
February
Horse Data - characteristics in this race
Sex - Female
Horses Last Race - most recent run
Placing (LR)
First

Bets    Wins    ROI
1013    170    -33.08%

and just for good measure, out of the ones that dont bounce next run, and win 2 on the trot, the value in their prices for a third timer is dire, and they just have to be laid,

Bets    Wins    ROI
123    28    -49.66%

General Race Data - affects every runner
UK or Ireland - United Kingdom
Date (Month of Year)
February
Date (Year)
2007    2008    2009    2010
2011    2012    2013
Horse Data - characteristics in this race
Sex - Female
Horses Last Race - most recent run
Placing (LR)
First
Horses Second Last Race
Placing (2LR)
First


courtesy of hrb.

now the all-weather stats on there wn will make your eyes water.

i gave several of these back-fit systems away on here in 2010, this is how anyone that followed the lay winning females next time up would have gotten on, sign in if your one of the recipients.

anyway results all-weather only uk n ireland.

i did all on massey's originally, now hrb.

and i had based them on previous 4 yrs.




All Weather
Date (Month of Year)
January    February
Horse Data - characteristics in this race
Sex - Female
Horses Last Race - most recent run
Placing (LR)
First



Period    Bets    Wins    ROI
2013    120    23    -33.16%
2012    134    24    -23.23%
2011    113    18    -38.55%
2010    135    22    -33.70%
2009    110    12    -45.80%
2008    133    25    -21.77%
2007    103    18    -35.90%
2006    101    11    -45.83%


and out of the few that do double up, they pay back 40p on the pound for the 3rd timer.



General Race Data - affects every runner
Race Category    All Weather
Date (Month of Year)
January    February
Horse Data - characteristics in this race
Sex - Female
Horses Last Race - most recent run
Placing (LR)
First
Horses Second Last Race
Placing (2LR)
First


Bets    Wins    ROI
128    20    -60.82%

you would be needing 13/2 av sp for 3rd timer to break even

I remember it well Manxster
Still going strong i see

I know I'm no expert, but the one thing that almost ten (bloody 'ell.. ten) years on here has taught me is that, - unless you're talking Frankel type quality -  you have to rate a horse against the other runners in a race.  The broad approach of "it won last time out so it will win again today" is doomed to just chuck your money away.

More so with the female variety is the logic behind Manx's stats
Cold, time of the month blah
Rather be in the stable with a hot steaming bundle of hay etc

Remind you of anyone Yeah ?