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EastLower Gooner
05 May 12 20:13
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Date Joined: 09 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 19,587 | Blogger: EastLower Gooner's blog
Whose backing what please?

My quicky run through:

#1 Daddy Long Legs - Connections of Hansen went crazy when the 1 was handed to DLL....says it all about this box...Mountain to climb in one of the toughest renewals for a while.

#2 Optimizer - Thrashed on separate occasions by Hansen, Gemologist, El Padrino and Bodemeister...pass

#3 Take Charge Indy - Set soft fractions to win the Florida lto....will need to adapt today but has the rail and Calvin Borel to aid his cause.

#4 Union Rags - Matz wasn't happy with 4. Smashing horse. His Champagne win last year was just brutal. Didn't fire last time in the Florida Derby but had excuses...been working the house down the last week or so. Big Chance.

#5 Dullahan - The deeeeeeep closer looking to capitalise on a pace meltdown up front. Won the Bluegrass last time when Hansen tired late in the strech. Matured and developed a lot through the spring. Big Chance if the chips fall his way.

#6 Bodemeister - Has to overcome the dreaded 130 year old curse of Apollo but along with Optimizer no other horse in the field has raced more times this year. Superstar performance in the Arkansas Derby lto earned him the highest BSF of this field and his third straight triple-digit figure. Impressive specimen of a horse and clearly ultra talented.

#7 Rousing Sermon - Another deep closer who look to pull off a Giocoma style shocker....needs a miracle.

#8 Creative Cause - A grey Giant's Causeway :) Ultra talented but quirky as f*** down the stretch. He loves to look at the crown but when he gets his head down he battles hard as he showed when mastering Bodemeister in the San Felipe but that was only Bode's 2nd lifetime start. Another with a big chance.

#9 Trinniberg - If the Derby was 6furlongs he'd be the favourite. But it isnt. This year's SongAndAPrayer.

#10 Daddy Nose Best - Undefeated this season and the switch back to dirt worked a treat in the Sunland Derby last time. I liked that performance. Gutsy and real wild card here. Not one to underestimate.

#11 Alpha - Clearly Godolphin have a talented horse but he just seems a bit of a softie for my liking.

#12 Prospective - The Tampa Bay Derby winner...and that's about all he's got going for him.

#13 Went the Day Well - Represents last year's winning connections and took the same route to the Derby as Animal Kingdom when he won the Spiral last time out. FIRST TIME BLINKERS. This lot mean business imo and expect a big run.

#14 Hansen - How can you not like this horse. The happy go lucky grey. Connections were very pleased with the draw so I'll have to take their word for it. Would be a very pleasing winner imo but surely Dullahan has him in his back pocket.

#15 Gemologist - The undisputed, undefeated battler out of New York. Monster. Don't look this fellow in the eye...he'll turn you away big style. Won the Wood Memorial last time when doing just that to Alpha. Another impressive beast of a horse and could definetly pound this lot into submission. The most likely candidate to deliver the KO punch to Bodemeister.

#16 El Padrino - I've heard there's rain in the air in Lousiville....a slop fest will see him bang in contention.

#17 Done Talking - And I'm done typing

#18 Sabercat - Asmussen was very happy with 18. Despite his cool name...cmon say it - SABRECAT yeaaah - well anyways he's a bit of a ****cat and can get a bit scared by all the kick back and lost vital ground at the start. 18 will give him the chance he's been waiting for to do himself justice.

#19 I'll Have Another - Did fantastically well to run down Creative Cause last time out in the Santa Anita Derby. His draw is a massive blow. If you can get past that then his odds represent good value.

#20 Liason - Yeah will take a mightly leap to be backing this won.

-------------

After Gemologist won the Wood Memorial I marked him down as my Kentucky Derby horse but then came Bodemeister's sensational performance in the Arkansas. It was truly impressive and I cant really ignore it. Backed Bodemeister eachway 6/1 with a nice saver on Gemologist.

Others to consider that I haven't back - Union Rags, Dullahan, Daddy Nose Best and Went the Day Well. 

Good luck.

ELG

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Replies: 149
By:
Night Sight
When: 05 May 12 20:55
That time of year again....just knew ELG would have a thread going tonight.

Don't have RUK but watching on the NBC Livestream kindly provided on a previous ELG thread.

Usually only have an interest in US racing for the BC and Triple crown but FWIW my selections in the Derby:

Gemologist ew 7/1 Grade 1 course winner.

I'll Have Another ew 14/1 Grade 1 winner again and will stay the trip well.(I hope)

Good luck with your picks lads.Should be a great race as always.

P.S.ELG posted this on the AP forum first but unfortunately it's a bit quiet over there these days.Plain

Btw I see Turallure is running tonight...painful memory that one for me in the BC Mile.
By:
Triple-Trigger
When: 05 May 12 20:56
Union Rags 4 me.Love the horse.
By:
Anaglogs Daughter
When: 05 May 12 21:02
When is it? Are Betfair betting on it?
By:
Anaglogs Daughter
When: 05 May 12 21:06
It's not a trick question.
By:
jasrich
When: 05 May 12 21:08
Nice post ,Im going for Daddys Nose and Gemoligist.Bodemeister put in a eye popping run last time but wont get the lead here with Trinniberg in the race.the twice hes had to rate hes lost.Throw in Hansen and you have a three way speed duel up front setting the race up for something else imo.Its wide open you could easily pick 5 or 6 and still not get the winner.
By:
Night Sight
When: 05 May 12 21:09
11.24 our time.

I've done my bets with the bookies but I'M sure Betfair have it in US racing.Haven't looked yet.
By:
bluenose7
When: 05 May 12 21:10
Don't bf,do Churchill ??  Confused
By:
Anaglogs Daughter
When: 05 May 12 21:10
Seem's as it is not on betfair
By:
blind boy of brighton
When: 05 May 12 21:13
Anyone know of a live feed tonight?
ELG i ve backed  the Meister on the back of your enthusiasm.
By:
Night Sight
When: 05 May 12 21:14
Indeed AD,very surprising they aren't betting on it.
By:
elise
When: 05 May 12 21:14
yo elg

no betfair markets, either bookies or daq
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 21:15
Tough race this year ELG.........im going to stick with Creative Cause.........tough horse.gl all whatever your pick........btw been in blistering form in the 1f claimers..........me not the horse.Wink
By:
Night Sight
When: 05 May 12 21:18
BB of Brighton,

Google NBC Livestream.It should get you there.Have to wait a while to load but after that it should be ok.I don't want to put up the link on here as it will probably get taken down.

Go to Stream 1 when you get there.
By:
Night Sight
When: 05 May 12 21:20
365 have it.
By:
elise
When: 05 May 12 21:22
fast track

want to oppose bode, have a shortlist of 4 to stay onside with

dullahan, gemologist, hansen, union rags

boxing em up, main play is gemologist
By:
BRIAN BORU
When: 05 May 12 21:22
RUK DOING THE STORY--- WHAT IS THE PROBLEM?????
By:
blind boy of brighton
When: 05 May 12 21:22
Thanks Night Sight.
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 05 May 12 21:34
yo elise!!! excited...awesome race this year.

just a word about the NBC stream...brilliant stream but as soon as the race started it started to buffer...i guess that's when the users peaked on it. will be using the one on bet america nearer post time with the mark johnston commentary.
By:
elise
When: 05 May 12 21:39
u not watching ruk?
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 05 May 12 21:47
stopped paying for it a while back...once I started back working I realised I wasn't home to see any of the races live during the week so ended my sub. no point paying for something I wont really be using.
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 21:52
ELG........getting concerned that nobody seems to like my Creative..........nutty as a fruitcake.........but it is because he knows he is good?SurprisedTongue Out
By:
elise
When: 05 May 12 21:52
is that the horse ot you that's nutty as a fruitcake?
By:
Triple-Trigger
When: 05 May 12 21:54
GT IS THE FRUIT.Laugh
By:
hOOd
When: 05 May 12 21:54
It's first 4 on the spreads so bought Hansen at 8 - cant see him out of first 4
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 21:55
Thanks for that TT..........you must come over and shag my wife some time.WinkLaugh
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 21:57
Elise you should behave.........you know what happens when you encourage the nutters.........Tripple T will be asking you for a "date" in a minute.napWink
By:
Triple-Trigger
When: 05 May 12 22:01
After the other night you are without doubt the King of the fruits GT.GrinLaughWink
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 22:03
Nuts?CrazyWink
By:
Triple-Trigger
When: 05 May 12 22:04
Fruit AND nutcase.CrazyLaughWink
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 22:05
Btw TT makes no difference..........ELG and me are pretty good on the US circuit.........Elise is not too bad but allows too many distractions.Wink
By:
Fernie
When: 05 May 12 22:06
sorry to be ignorant but can't see how to bet on kentucky Derby on betfair??? Thanks for help
By:
Fernie
When: 05 May 12 22:06
sorry to be ignorant but can't see how to bet on kentucky Derby on betfair??? Thanks for help
By:
Triple-Trigger
When: 05 May 12 22:06
You can't.
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 22:08
With apologies to Elise........do you have a clue about the subject TT?

Elise has a dead pus* to attach to the user name........yours seems somehow simple and a familiar trait of a previous Elise groupie?Wink
By:
Triple-Trigger
When: 05 May 12 22:10
English please.
By:
elise
When: 05 May 12 22:11
fernie, it's not on here, either have to go to daq or use a bookies site
By:
GT-MOLE
When: 05 May 12 22:14
Elise............price it up.........which one of your groupies is TT?Wink
By:
elise
When: 05 May 12 22:16
tt? that's the old max caddy/dark ros etc etc
By:
elise
When: 05 May 12 22:16
no offers
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