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After having my first real experience of Spread Betting today I'm going to investigate the factors affecting Distance betting and try and figure out which are the most significant. I'm sure it will be difficult to gain a regular advantage but I think it is worth a go.
I'll be trying to find the types of races where I'll most likely find big distance winners. i.e. a small field 3m4 handicap chase on a tough course in testing conditions (with a big odds-on favourite). Because I'll be looking to buy the distance in most instances.
But basically, I want to be in a position where I give my predicted average distance for each race add them up and compare them to the professionals.
Anyone had much experience with distance betting? I'm off to number crunch....
I'll be trying to find the types of races where I'll most likely find big distance winners. i.e. a small field 3m4 handicap chase on a tough course in testing conditions (with a big odds-on favourite). Because I'll be looking to buy the distance in most instances.
But basically, I want to be in a position where I give my predicted average distance for each race add them up and compare them to the professionals.
Anyone had much experience with distance betting? I'm off to number crunch....
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cant see where theres an edge - luck at the end of the day,hard enough to find a winner,but gl hope you win
I´m just thinking...just an idea....that the traders who price up the market are relaticely lazy and base it on a tried and tested formula.
It'll be a while before I play. I'm going to have to compile a hell of a lot of data for it to be considered semi-reliable!
It'll be a while before I play. I'm going to have to compile a hell of a lot of data for it to be considered semi-reliable!
they ll base it on previous averages/no of runners/ground/distance/field size,then over the long term you ll struggle as the index will have a built in profit .
concur with gt and upthehill...
there is no edge....its pot luck
there is no edge....its pot luck
I have tried that distance betting but its not for me, every time I shouted the odds across the road to bet freds a bus would go past!
I prefer to keep a "safe distence" from betting these days except on the exchanges.
Distance betting till about five or six years ago was one long gravy train, nothing lasts forever though 
spread betting is a one way street and you will always be going the wrong way on it...give up spread betting now..... isn't there enough money in the exchanges for you..... spread betting no no no NOOOO
I have a database of flat winning distances and the spread is usually right. They might make a mistake from time to time, but it isn't worth wasting time every day in the hope that they do.
thanks everyone. I'll look at the liquidity on the exchanges. After the 300quid free total goals bet from sporting index I'll probably give the spreads a wide berth.
I've sold the goals in the Arse - Chelsea match at 2.7
Also had a few quid on the Arse 3-0 and 3-1.
I've sold the goals in the Arse - Chelsea match at 2.7
Also had a few quid on the Arse 3-0 and 3-1.
glad ya copped on, I wouldnt tell anyone what or where to bet, but I dooooo know if you want to get wiped then spead betting will do a very nice tidy job on you ...... it is very dangerous betting, very dangerous!!!!
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